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BeautyHealth's (NASDAQ:SKIN) Q4 Sales Beat Estimates, Stock Jumps 19.6%


Full Report / March 12, 2024

Skincare company BeautyHealth (NASDAQ:SKIN) reported Q4 FY2023 results beating Wall Street analysts' expectations, with revenue down 1.4% year on year to $96.8 million. On the other hand, next quarter's revenue guidance of $80 million was less impressive, coming in 6.4% below analysts' estimates. It made a GAAP loss of $0.07 per share, down from its loss of $0.02 per share in the same quarter last year.

BeautyHealth (SKIN) Q4 FY2023 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $96.8 million vs analyst estimates of $87.61 million (10.5% beat)
  • EPS: -$0.07 vs analyst estimates of -$0.10 (28% beat)
  • Revenue Guidance for Q1 2024 is $80 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $85.51 million
  • Gross Margin (GAAP): 47.2%, down from 66.4% in the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $477.8 million

Operating in the emerging beauty health category, the appropriately named BeautyHealth (NASDAQ:SKIN) is a skincare company best known for its Hydrafacial product that cleanses and hydrates skin.

Traditionally, getting a facial is a very labor-intensive process, involving lots of rubbing, squeezing, and tweezing. There are serums and lotions. There might even be some steam for heat and cucumbers for cooling.

Hydrafacial adds technology and takes much of the manual labor out of this process. It involves a ‘Delivery System’--which is essentially a non-invasive medical device–as well as attachments for the device and serums delivered by the device. A Hydrafacial treatment involves the use of a specialized device that applies gentle suction while simultaneously delivering customized serums to the skin.

The company’s aim is to employ the razor/razorblade selling model. The Delivery Systems, which are sold to a network of aestheticians, physicians, day spas, resorts, and other partners, are the razors that can last for years. The single-use attachments and serums used with the devices are the razorblades, creating more recurring revenue.

As mentioned, the company operates in the emerging beauty health category. The category occupies a position at the intersection of medical aesthetics and over-the-counter personal care products. Historically, these categories were viewed separately, but they are increasingly converging as consumers combine the ever-present desire to look their best with advancements in medical technology.

Personal Care

While personal care products products may seem more discretionary than food, consumers tend to maintain or even boost their spending on the category during tough times. This phenomenon is known as "the lipstick effect" by economists, which states that consumers still want some semblance of affordable luxuries like beauty and wellness when the economy is sputtering. Consumer tastes are constantly changing, and personal care companies are currently responding to the public’s increased desire for ethically produced goods by featuring natural ingredients in their products.

Competitors in the beauty health category that employ medical technology and personal care products include AbbVie (NYSE:ABBV) and Venus Concept (NASDAQ:VERO) as well as private companies Cartessa Aesthetics and DermaSweep.

Sales Growth

BeautyHealth is a small consumer staples company, which sometimes brings disadvantages compared to larger competitors benefitting from better brand awareness and economies of scale. On the other hand, one advantage is that its growth rates can be higher because it's growing off a small base.

As you can see below, the company's annualized revenue growth rate of 49.5% over the last three years was incredible for a consumer staples business.

BeautyHealth Total Revenue

This quarter, BeautyHealth's revenue fell 1.4% year on year to $96.8 million but beat Wall Street's estimates by 10.5%. The company is guiding for a 7.3% year-on-year revenue decline next quarter to $80 million, a reversal from the 14.4% year-on-year increase it recorded in the same quarter last year. Looking ahead, Wall Street expects revenue to remain flat over the next 12 months.

Gross Margin & Pricing Power

All else equal, we prefer higher gross margins. They usually indicate that a company sells more differentiated products and commands stronger pricing power.

BeautyHealth's gross profit margin came in at 47.2% this quarter, down 19.2 percentage points year on year. That means for every $1 in revenue, $0.53 went towards paying for raw materials, production of goods, and distribution expenses.

BeautyHealth Gross Margin (GAAP)

BeautyHealth has best-in-class unit economics for a consumer staples company, enabling it to invest in areas such as marketing and talent to stay one step ahead of the competition. As you can see above, it's averaged an exceptional 52.7% gross margin over the last two years. Its margin, however, has been trending down over the last year, averaging 42.3% year-on-year decreases each quarter. If this trend continues, it could suggest a more competitive environment.

Operating Margin

Operating margin is an important measure of profitability accounting for key expenses such as marketing and advertising, IT systems, wages, and other administrative costs.

This quarter, BeautyHealth generated an operating profit margin of negative 19%, down 15.2 percentage points year on year. Because BeautyHealth's gross margin decreased more than its operating margin, we can infer the company had weaker pricing power and higher raw materials/transportation costs.

BeautyHealth Operating Margin (GAAP)

There are few unprofitable publicly traded consumer staples companies, and over the last two years, BeautyHealth has been one of them. Its high expenses have contributed to an average operating margin of negative 20.7%. On top of that, BeautyHealth's margin has declined by 25.5 percentage points on average over the last year. This shows the company is heading in the wrong direction, and investors are likely hoping for better results in the future.

EPS

Earnings growth is a critical metric to track, but for long-term shareholders, earnings per share (EPS) is more telling because it accounts for dilution and share repurchases.

In Q4, BeautyHealth reported EPS at negative $0.07, down from negative $0.02 in the same quarter a year ago. This print beat Wall Street's estimates by 28%.

BeautyHealth EPS (GAAP)

Between FY2020 and FY2023, BeautyHealth's EPS dropped 5%, translating into 1.7% annualized declines. We tend to steer our readers away from companies with falling EPS, especially in the consumer staples sector, where shrinking earnings could imply changing secular trends or consumer preferences. If there's no earnings growth, it's difficult to build confidence in a business's underlying fundamentals, leaving a low margin of safety around the company's valuation (making the stock susceptible to large downward swings).

On the bright side, Wall Street expects the company's earnings to grow over the next 12 months, with analysts projecting an average 95.7% year-on-year increase in EPS.

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

EPS and free cash flow tell us whether a company was profitable while growing revenue. But was it capital-efficient? Enter ROIC, a metric showing how much operating profit a company generates relative to how much money the business raised (debt and equity).

BeautyHealth's five-year average ROIC was negative 24.6%, meaning management lost money while trying to expand the business. Its returns were among the worst in the consumer staples sector.

Key Takeaways from BeautyHealth's Q4 Results

We were impressed by how significantly BeautyHealth blew past analysts' revenue expectations this quarter, driven by outperformance in "Americas consumables net sales and strong device placement in Asia-Pacific". This also enabled the company to beat Wall Street's EPS estimates. On the other hand, its gross margin missed analysts' expectations as it had "higher inventory related charges and higher product and warranty costs". Lastly, its full-year revenue and EBITDA guidance aligned with analysts' forecasts. We think this was a great quarter because of the top-line beat, and the stock is up 19.6% after reporting. It currently trades at $4.28 per share.

Is Now The Time?

BeautyHealth may have had a good quarter, but investors should also consider its valuation and business qualities when assessing the investment opportunity.

We cheer for all companies serving consumers, but in the case of BeautyHealth, we'll be cheering from the sidelines. Although its revenue growth has been exceptional over the last three years, its brand caters to a niche market. And while its projected EPS for the next year implies the company's fundamentals will improve, the downside is its relatively low ROIC suggests it has struggled to grow profits historically.

BeautyHealth's price-to-earnings ratio based on the next 12 months is 89.5x. While we've no doubt one can find things to like about BeautyHealth, we think there are better opportunities elsewhere in the market. We don't see many reasons to get involved at the moment.

Wall Street analysts covering the company had a one-year price target of $4.29 per share right before these results (compared to the current share price of $4.28).

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