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Qualtrics (XM) Reports Upbeat Q2, Upgrades Full Year Guidance


Full Report / July 20, 2021
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Online survey software provider Qualtrics (NASDAQ:XM) reported Q2 FY2021 results topping analyst expectations, with revenue up 37.7% year on year to $249.3 million.

Qualtrics (XM) Q2 FY2021 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $249.3 million vs analyst estimates of $241.6 million (3.18% beat)
  • EPS (non-GAAP): $0.04 vs analyst estimates of -$0.02 ($0.06 beat)
  • Revenue guidance for Q3 2021 is $258 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $246.5 million
  • The company lifted revenue guidance for the full year, from $982 million to $1 billion at the midpoint, a 2.74% increase
  • Free cash flow of $53.7 million, up from negative free cash flow of -$81.24 million in previous quarter
  • Gross Margin (GAAP): 74%, in line with previous quarter

Founded in 2002 by Utah-based entrepreneur Ryan Smith, along with his father and brother, Qualtrics (NASDAQ:XM) provides organizations with software to collect and analyze feedback from customers and employees.

Data is commonly stored in silos across the organization, making it difficult to generate efficient insights from the feedback received from customers, employees, and partners. Qualtrics makes it easy and efficient to extract and unify the data to generate actionable business insights.

For example, when JetBlue observed a spike in negative feedback and reduced customer satisfaction at one of their airport terminals, they investigated the issue and found the terminal speaker was broken and passengers couldn’t hear what the gate agent was saying. With Qualtrics, JetBlue was able to send an automated alert to the airport maintenance crew and the issue was fixed the same day.

The software platform was originally designed for academic researchers. This has led to its widespread adoption in universities around the world, an important factor that has contributed to its success to date. Qualtrics has since evolved its software for the business world, which is increasingly flooded with data.

The growing adoption of digital tools means that organizations are generating more data that can be used to analyze their brands and products. This trend should increase demand for experience management software in the years ahead.

The experience management space includes competitors such as Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), IBM (NYSE:IBM), SurveyMonkey (now called Momentive, NASDAQ:MNTV), and Medallia (NYSE:MDLA).

Sales Growth

As you can see below, Qualtrics's revenue growth has been very strong over the last year, growing from quarterly revenue of $181 million, to $249.3 million.

Qualtrics Total Revenue

And unsurprisingly, this was another great quarter for Qualtrics with revenue up an absolutely stunning 37.7% year on year. But the growth did slow down compared to last quarter, as the revenue increased by just $10.7 million in Q2, compared to $25 million in Q1 2021. We'd like to see revenue increase by a greater amount each quarter, but a one-off fluctuation is usually not concerning.

Analysts covering the company are expecting the revenues to grow 19.8% over the next twelve months, although would expect them to review their estimates once they get to read these results.

Profitability

What makes the software as a service business so attractive is that once the software is developed, it typically shouldn't cost much to provide it as an ongoing service to customers. Qualtrics's gross profit margin, an important metric measuring how much money there is left after paying for servers, licences, technical support and other necessary running expenses was at 74% in Q2.

Qualtrics Gross Margin (GAAP)

That means that for every $1 in revenue the company had $0.74 left to spend on developing new products, marketing & sales and the general administrative overhead. This is around the average of what we typically see in SaaS businesses, but it is good to see that the gross margin is staying stable which indicates that Qualtrics is doing a good job controlling costs and is not under a pressure from competition to lower prices.

Key Takeaways from Qualtrics's Q2 Results

Since it is still burning cash it is worth keeping an eye on Qualtrics’s balance sheet, but we note that with market capitalisation of $19 billion and more than $635.1 million in cash, the company has the capacity to continue to prioritise growth over profitability.

We were impressed by the very optimistic revenue guidance Qualtrics provided for the next quarter. And we were also excited to see the really strong revenue growth. Overall, we think this was a strong quarter, that should leave shareholders feeling very positive. The company is up 1.47% on the results and currently trades at $38.44 per share.

Is Now The Time?

Qualtrics may have had a good quarter, but investors should also consider its valuation and business qualities, when assessing the investment opportunity. While Qualtrics is definitely a decent business we are not sure if it would be our first pick. While its revenue growth has been strong, analysts expect that growth will slow in the next year. Unfortunately, its growth is coming at a cost of significant cash burn, but at least its strong gross margins suggest it has the potential to operate profitably and sustainably.

Qualtrics's price to sales ratio, based on the next year, is 18.2x, indicating that the market is quite optimistic about its growth prospects. That multiple is noticeably higher than other tech companies with similar growth rates. We are a bit cautious about the business, and don't see much opportunity in Qualtrics at the current stock price.