On-demand food delivery service DoorDash (NYSE:DASH) missed Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q4 CY2025, but sales rose 37.7% year on year to $3.96 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $1.27 per share was 1.4% below analysts’ consensus estimates.
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DoorDash (DASH) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $3.96 billion vs analyst estimates of $4.00 billion (37.7% year-on-year growth, 1.1% miss)
- Adjusted EPS: $1.27 vs analyst expectations of $1.29 (1.4% miss)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $780 million vs analyst estimates of $773.6 million (19.7% margin, 0.8% beat)
- EBITDA guidance for Q1 CY2026 is $725 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $800.4 million
- Operating Margin: 3.7%, in line with the same quarter last year
- Orders: 903 million, up 218 million year on year
- Market Capitalization: $75.32 billion
StockStory’s Take
DoorDash’s fourth quarter results were met with a positive market response, despite sales and non-GAAP profit landing slightly below Wall Street expectations. Management attributed quarterly growth to continued expansion across non-restaurant categories, such as grocery and retail, and cited strong user engagement as a key driver. CEO Tony Xu highlighted that "around 30% of customers are now ordering outside the restaurant category," reflecting successful diversification initiatives. The company’s international business, including the integration of Deliveroo and Wolt, also contributed to higher growth rates outside the U.S., while ongoing improvements in unit economics supported the overall performance.
Looking forward, DoorDash’s outlook is shaped by major investments in its global technology platform, increased spending on autonomy and merchant services, and strategic expansion into new verticals. Management emphasized that most of the redundant costs associated with running multiple tech platforms will phase out after 2026, leading to efficiency gains. CFO Ravi Inukonda stated, “Our goal has always been to maximize long-term free cash flow...these investments are the right investments, especially as we think about becoming the operating system for local commerce.” The company also expects further gains from expanding DashPass and leveraging advertising products, while acknowledging ongoing headwinds from investment spending and competitive pressures.
Key Insights from Management’s Remarks
Management cited strong momentum in non-restaurant verticals, successful integration of recent acquisitions, and progress on its global tech stack as primary drivers of fourth quarter performance.
- Non-restaurant order growth: DoorDash saw robust expansion in grocery and retail, with management noting that approximately 30% of monthly active users (MAUs) now place orders outside the restaurant category. This diversification is driving larger basket sizes and higher order frequency, fueling overall growth.
- International acceleration: The acquisition and early integration of Deliveroo and Wolt led to faster growth in major European markets, with CEO Tony Xu reporting that Deliveroo is “growing much faster at the same profit contribution” compared to pre-acquisition performance. The company is also leveraging operational lessons from previous integrations to enhance international execution.
- Tech platform investment: DoorDash continued to make significant investments in unifying its global technology stack, aiming to improve operational efficiency and accelerate feature development across all regions. Management acknowledged current redundancies but expects these to diminish as platforms are consolidated.
- Autonomous delivery initiatives: The company advanced its autonomous delivery platform, including the DoorDash Dot and drone projects, which are being piloted in various markets. Management believes orchestrating a mixed fleet of human and autonomous delivery options will be a long-term differentiator, especially in suburban and rural areas.
- Advertising and DashPass momentum: DashPass, DoorDash’s subscription program, experienced record growth in both subscribers and engagement. The advertising business, particularly following the Symbiosis acquisition, has doubled its advertiser count and tripled spend, supporting profitability and enhancing the value proposition for merchants.
Drivers of Future Performance
DoorDash’s updated outlook centers on efficiency gains from tech integration, ongoing expansion in non-restaurant categories, and increased investment in automation and merchant services.
- Tech stack consolidation impact: As DoorDash migrates its operations to a unified global technology platform, management expects improved speed in feature rollouts and reduced redundancy, which should enhance margins by 2027. The majority of transitional costs are expected to occur in 2026 before tapering off.
- Expansion of non-restaurant verticals: Management believes continued growth in grocery, retail, and convenience will be critical for sustaining order volume and increasing customer engagement. Efforts to convert a greater percentage of MAUs to include these categories in their shopping habits are expected to drive gross profit gains, especially as these segments move toward positive unit economics.
- Autonomous and merchant services investment: DoorDash is prioritizing investments in its autonomous delivery platform and merchant-facing services, viewing these as essential for long-term differentiation and competitiveness. While these initiatives may pressure margins in the near term, management contends they are necessary to maximize future free cash flow and support the company’s goal of becoming the "operating system for local commerce."
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, StockStory analysts will watch (1) the pace of tech platform consolidation and resulting efficiency gains, (2) further progress in driving non-restaurant vertical adoption and positive unit economics, and (3) successful integration and performance improvements at Deliveroo and Wolt. Execution in autonomous delivery and expansion of advertising products will also be key markers of DoorDash’s ability to deliver on its strategic ambitions.
DoorDash currently trades at $181.39, up from $173.88 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).
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