Even if they go mostly unnoticed, industrial businesses are the backbone of our country. But their prominence also brings high exposure to the ups and downs of economic cycles. Luckily, the tide is turning in their favor as the industry’s 26.8% return over the past six months has topped the S&P 500 by 18.2 percentage points.
Regardless of these results, investors should tread carefully. The diversity of companies in this space means that not all are created equal or well-positioned for the inescapable downturn. On that note, here are three industrials stocks we’re steering clear of.
Littelfuse (LFUS)
Market Cap: $8.68 billion
The developer of the first blade-type automotive fuse, Littelfuse (NASDAQ:LFUS) provides electrical protection and control components for the automotive, industrial, electronics, and telecommunications industries.
Why Are We Hesitant About LFUS?
- Sales were flat over the last two years, indicating it’s failed to expand this cycle
- Earnings per share have dipped by 4.7% annually over the past two years, which is concerning because stock prices follow EPS over the long term
- Waning returns on capital from an already weak starting point displays the inefficacy of management’s past and current investment decisions
At $348.90 per share, Littelfuse trades at 27.1x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including LFUS in your portfolio.
AerSale (ASLE)
Market Cap: $349.6 million
Providing a one-stop shop that integrates multiple services and product offerings, AerSale (NASDAQ:ASLE) delivers full-service support to mid-life commercial aircraft.
Why Should You Dump ASLE?
- Products and services are facing end-market challenges during this cycle, as seen in its flat sales over the last two years
- Negative free cash flow raises questions about the return timeline for its investments
- Eroding returns on capital from an already low base indicate that management’s recent investments are destroying value
AerSale is trading at $7.42 per share, or 12.1x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why ASLE doesn’t pass our bar.
Atmus Filtration Technologies (ATMU)
Market Cap: $5.06 billion
Spun out of Cummins in 2023 after 65 years as part of the engine maker, Atmus Filtration Technologies (NYSE:ATMU) manufactures filters for trucks, construction equipment, and agriculture machinery to reduce emissions and protect engines.
Why Does ATMU Give Us Pause?
- Annual revenue growth of 3.4% over the last two years was below our standards for the industrials sector
- Competitive supply chain dynamics and steep production costs are reflected in its low gross margin of 26.2%
- Capital intensity has ramped up over the last five years as its free cash flow margin decreased by 2.9 percentage points
Atmus Filtration Technologies’s stock price of $62.10 implies a valuation ratio of 14.4x forward EV-to-EBITDA. If you’re considering ATMU for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.
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