MongoDB (MDB)

InvestableTimely Buy
MongoDB is a sound business. Its elite ARR growth suggests it not only generates recurring revenue but also is winning market share. StockStory Analyst Team
Adam Hejl, CEO & Founder
Kayode Omotosho, Equity Analyst

2. Summary

InvestableTimely Buy

Why MongoDB Is Interesting

Named after "humongous database," reflecting its ability to handle massive data loads, MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB) provides a flexible document-based database platform that helps developers build, deploy, and maintain modern applications more efficiently.

  • ARR trends over the last year show it’s maintaining a steady flow of long-term contracts that contribute positively to its revenue predictability
  • Annual revenue growth of 34.6% over the last five years was superb and indicates its market share is rising
  • On a dimmer note, its historical operating margin losses show it had an inefficient cost structure while scaling
MongoDB shows some potential. If you believe in the company, the price looks fair.
StockStory Analyst Team

Why Is Now The Time To Buy MongoDB?

MongoDB is trading at $371.74 per share, or 11.8x forward price-to-sales. MongoDB’s valuation is higher than that of many in the software space, sure. However, we still think the valuation is justified given the top-line growth.

If you think the market is undervaluing the company, now could be a good time to build a position.

3. MongoDB (MDB) Research Report: Q2 CY2025 Update

Database platform company MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB) beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q2 CY2025, with sales up 23.7% year on year to $591.4 million. Guidance for next quarter’s revenue was better than expected at $589.5 million at the midpoint, 1.2% above analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $1 per share was 52.4% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

MongoDB (MDB) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $591.4 million vs analyst estimates of $553.6 million (23.7% year-on-year growth, 6.8% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1 vs analyst estimates of $0.66 (52.4% beat)
  • Adjusted Operating Income: $86.82 million vs analyst estimates of $57.49 million (14.7% margin, 51% beat)
  • The company lifted its revenue guidance for the full year to $2.35 billion at the midpoint from $2.27 billion, a 3.5% increase
  • Management raised its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $3.69 at the midpoint, a 21.6% increase
  • Operating Margin: -11%, up from -14.9% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow Margin: 11.8%, down from 19.3% in the previous quarter
  • Customers: 59,900, up from 57,100 in the previous quarter
  • Billings: $581.5 million at quarter end, up 26.2% year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $17.85 billion

Company Overview

Named after "humongous database," reflecting its ability to handle massive data loads, MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB) provides a flexible document-based database platform that helps developers build, deploy, and maintain modern applications more efficiently.

MongoDB's platform bridges the gap between traditional relational databases and newer non-relational approaches, offering the flexibility developers need for modern applications while maintaining the reliability businesses demand. Its document-based architecture allows information to be stored in JSON-like formats that more naturally align with how developers work with data in their code.

Customers can deploy MongoDB in multiple ways: as a fully-managed cloud service (MongoDB Atlas), which MongoDB operates across major cloud providers like AWS, Google Cloud, and Microsoft Azure, or as self-managed software (MongoDB Enterprise Advanced) that organizations can run themselves in the cloud or on-premises.

The company has expanded beyond its core database functionality to offer an integrated developer data platform with capabilities for search, vector search for AI applications, time series data processing, data lifecycle management, and edge computing. This comprehensive approach allows organizations to reduce the number of specialized data technologies they need to maintain.

A typical MongoDB customer might be a retail company using the platform to power its e-commerce application, storing product information, customer profiles, and transaction data while leveraging Atlas Vector Search to enable AI-powered product recommendations based on customer behavior patterns.

4. Data Storage

Data is the lifeblood of the internet and software in general, and the amount of data created is accelerating. As a result, the importance of storing the data in scalable and efficient formats continues to rise, especially as its diversity and associated use cases expand from analyzing simple, structured datasets to high-scale processing of unstructured data such as images, audio, and video.

MongoDB competes with established legacy database providers like Oracle (NYSE:ORCL), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), and IBM (NYSE:IBM), as well as cloud providers offering database services including Amazon Web Services (NASDAQ:AMZN), Google Cloud (NASDAQ:GOOGL), and Microsoft Azure. Other competitors include specialized database vendors like Couchbase (NASDAQ:BASE) and Redis (NASDAQ:REDI).

5. Revenue Growth

A company’s long-term sales performance can indicate its overall quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years. Over the last three years, MongoDB grew its sales at a solid 27% compounded annual growth rate. Its growth beat the average software company and shows its offerings resonate with customers.

MongoDB Quarterly Revenue

This quarter, MongoDB reported robust year-on-year revenue growth of 23.7%, and its $591.4 million of revenue topped Wall Street estimates by 6.8%. Company management is currently guiding for a 11.4% year-on-year increase in sales next quarter.

Looking further ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 10.6% over the next 12 months, a deceleration versus the last three years. Still, this projection is above average for the sector and suggests the market is baking in some success for its newer products and services.

6. Billings

Billings is a non-GAAP metric that is often called “cash revenue” because it shows how much money the company has collected from customers in a certain period. This is different from revenue, which must be recognized in pieces over the length of a contract.

MongoDB’s billings punched in at $581.5 million in Q2, and over the last four quarters, its growth was impressive as it averaged 24.9% year-on-year increases. This alternate topline metric grew faster than total sales, meaning the company collects cash upfront and then recognizes the revenue over the length of its contracts - a boost for its liquidity and future revenue prospects. MongoDB Billings

7. Customer Base

MongoDB reported 59,900 customers at the end of the quarter, a sequential increase of 2,800. That’s roughly in line with what we observed last quarter and quite a bit above what we’ve seen over the previous year, confirming that the company is maintaining its sales momentum.

MongoDB Customers

8. Customer Acquisition Efficiency

The customer acquisition cost (CAC) payback period measures the months a company needs to recoup the money spent on acquiring a new customer. This metric helps assess how quickly a business can break even on its sales and marketing investments.

It’s relatively expensive for MongoDB to acquire new customers as its CAC payback period checked in at 384.5 months this quarter. The company’s slow recovery of its sales and marketing expenses indicates it operates in a highly competitive market and must invest to stand out, even if the return on that investment is low.

9. Gross Margin & Pricing Power

For software companies like MongoDB, gross profit tells us how much money remains after paying for the base cost of products and services (typically servers, licenses, and certain personnel). These costs are usually low as a percentage of revenue, explaining why software is more lucrative than other sectors.

MongoDB’s gross margin is better than the broader software industry and signals it has solid unit economics and competitive products. As you can see below, it averaged a decent 72.3% gross margin over the last year. That means for every $100 in revenue, roughly $72.33 was left to spend on selling, marketing, and R&D. MongoDB Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin

MongoDB produced a 71% gross profit margin in Q2, marking a 2.2 percentage point decrease from 73.2% in the same quarter last year. MongoDB’s full-year margin has also been trending down over the past 12 months, decreasing by 1.7 percentage points. If this move continues, it could suggest a more competitive environment with some pressure to lower prices and higher input costs.

10. Operating Margin

MongoDB’s expensive cost structure has contributed to an average operating margin of negative 7.5% over the last year. Unprofitable, high-growth software companies require extra attention because they spend heaps of money to capture market share. As seen in its fast historical revenue growth, this strategy seems to have worked so far, but it’s unclear what would happen if MongoDB reeled back its investments. Wall Street seems to be optimistic about its growth, but we have some doubts.

Over the last year, MongoDB’s expanding sales gave it operating leverage as its margin rose by 8.3 percentage points. Still, it will take much more for the company to reach long-term profitability.

MongoDB Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

In Q2, MongoDB generated a negative 11% operating margin.

11. Cash Is King

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

MongoDB has shown decent cash profitability, giving it some flexibility to reinvest or return capital to investors. The company’s free cash flow margin averaged 10.5% over the last year, slightly better than the broader software sector.

MongoDB Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

MongoDB’s free cash flow clocked in at $69.88 million in Q2, equivalent to a 11.8% margin. This result was good as its margin was 12.7 percentage points higher than in the same quarter last year, but we wouldn’t read too much into the short term because investment needs can be seasonal, causing temporary swings. Long-term trends carry greater meaning.

Over the next year, analysts predict MongoDB’s cash conversion will slightly fall. Their consensus estimates imply its free cash flow margin of 10.5% for the last 12 months will decrease to 9.1%.

12. Balance Sheet Assessment

Businesses that maintain a cash surplus face reduced bankruptcy risk.

MongoDB Net Cash Position

MongoDB is a well-capitalized company with $2.35 billion of cash and $35.74 million of debt on its balance sheet. This $2.31 billion net cash position is 9.6% of its market cap and gives it the freedom to borrow money, return capital to shareholders, or invest in growth initiatives. Leverage is not an issue here.

13. Key Takeaways from MongoDB’s Q2 Results

We were impressed by how significantly MongoDB blew past analysts’ billings expectations this quarter. We were also glad its EPS guidance for next quarter trumped Wall Street’s estimates. Zooming out, we think this was a solid print. The stock traded up 23.2% to $264.14 immediately following the results.

14. Is Now The Time To Buy MongoDB?

Updated: November 11, 2025 at 9:09 PM EST

Before deciding whether to buy MongoDB or pass, we urge investors to consider business quality, valuation, and the latest quarterly results.

There’s plenty to admire about MongoDB. To kick things off, its revenue growth was exceptional over the last five years. And while its operating margins are low compared to other software companies, its surging ARR shows its fundamentals and revenue predictability are improving.

MongoDB’s price-to-sales ratio based on the next 12 months is 11.8x. Looking at the software landscape right now, MongoDB trades at a pretty interesting price. If you trust the business and its direction, this is an ideal time to buy.

Wall Street analysts have a consensus one-year price target of $368.69 on the company (compared to the current share price of $371.74).