The Marzetti Company faced a challenging fourth quarter, with management attributing muted top-line performance to continued softness in retail volume and the impact of the U.S. government shutdown on consumer demand. CEO Dave Ciesinski cited strong growth from core brands like New York bakery garlic bread and Sister Schubert’s dinner rolls, but acknowledged that overall volume declines and a tough year-over-year comparison weighed on results. Ciesinski noted, “We were going up against a strong comp last year where our volume was actually up 7.4%.”
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The Marzetti Company (MZTI) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $509.8 million vs analyst estimates of $519.6 million (flat year on year, 1.9% miss)
- Adjusted EPS: $2.20 vs analyst expectations of $2.23 (1.1% miss)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $94.39 million vs analyst estimates of $93.6 million (18.5% margin, 0.8% beat)
- Operating Margin: 14.7%, in line with the same quarter last year
- Sales Volumes fell 3.1% year on year (6% in the same quarter last year)
- Market Capitalization: $4.24 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From The Marzetti Company’s Q4 Earnings Call
- Scott Michael Marks (Jefferies) asked about the impact of government shutdowns and inventory dynamics on retail volumes. CEO Dave Ciesinski explained that category slowdowns were most pronounced during the shutdown but have since shown signs of recovery, with expectations for low single-digit volume growth ahead.
- Todd Morrison Brooks (Benchmark) inquired about Bachan’s sales trajectory and potential for broader distribution. Ciesinski highlighted strong millennial and Gen Z appeal, noting the brand’s premium price point and high net promoter score, with plans to expand distribution and product lines in phases.
- Alton Kemp Stump (Loop Capital) questioned the rationale and timing behind the share buyback program and future appetite. CFO Tom Pigott indicated that opportunistic repurchases were made due to sector weakness, but future buybacks will be limited as capital is prioritized for the Bachan’s acquisition.
- Brian Holland (D.A. Davidson) pressed on Marzetti’s readiness to integrate Bachan’s, citing a spotty M&A track record. Ciesinski responded that recent investments in supply chain, IT, and product development have positioned Marzetti to successfully absorb and grow acquired brands.
- James Ronald Salera (Stephens) asked about Bachan’s manufacturing integration and margin impact. Ciesinski confirmed Bachan’s is currently co-packed but expects supply chain integration to deliver immediate gross margin accretion and future synergy opportunities.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, our analysts will watch (1) the pace and success of Bachan’s integration and distribution expansion, (2) sustained momentum in core and licensed brands like Texas Roadhouse dinner rolls, and (3) the effectiveness of supply chain productivity initiatives in offsetting cost inflation. Additional focus will be placed on management’s ability to deliver accretive synergies and adapt to shifting consumer demand patterns.
The Marzetti Company currently trades at $154.47, down from $173.91 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
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