O’Reilly Automotive’s fourth quarter results drew a negative market reaction, as cost pressures weighed on what management described as a period of robust same-store sales growth and continued market share gains. CEO Brad Beckham credited strong professional segment performance and steady execution on new store openings for driving top-line momentum. However, both Beckham and CFO Jeremy Fletcher acknowledged that rising self-insurance and healthcare costs created unexpected headwinds, with Fletcher describing the expense increases as persisting longer than anticipated. Management also noted the DIY segment remained pressured by cautious consumer behavior, despite some stabilization late in the quarter.
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O'Reilly (ORLY) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $4.41 billion vs analyst estimates of $4.39 billion (7.8% year-on-year growth, in line)
- EPS (GAAP): $0.71 vs analyst expectations of $0.72 (1.9% miss)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $972 million vs analyst estimates of $976.5 million (22% margin, in line)
- EPS (GAAP) guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $3.15 at the midpoint, missing analyst estimates by 5%
- Operating Margin: 18.8%, in line with the same quarter last year
- Locations: 6,585 at quarter end, up from 6,378 in the same quarter last year
- Same-Store Sales rose 5.6% year on year (4.4% in the same quarter last year)
- Market Capitalization: $78.67 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From O'Reilly’s Q4 Earnings Call
- Scot Ciccarelli (Truist Securities) asked about the persistence of elevated healthcare and self-insurance costs. CFO Jeremy Fletcher said these pressures have lasted longer than anticipated and remain a cautious element in 2026 guidance.
- Steven Forbes (Guggenheim) questioned the expense impact of expanding the hub network in the Northeast. CEO Brad Beckham and Fletcher explained that while new market entry requires upfront investment, they expect productivity gains to offset some costs as the network matures.
- Michael Lasser (UBS) inquired whether higher sales guidance reflects more visibility into inflation or pricing. Fletcher confirmed that improved pricing assumptions are a key differentiator, and the company does not foresee broad-based deflation even if tariffs are rolled back.
- Gregory Melich (Evercore ISI) asked about DIY customer caution and the impact of tax refunds. Beckham noted continued cautiousness among consumers but observed some stabilization and improvement in DIY trends as winter set in.
- Zachary Fadem (Wells Fargo) followed up on the margin outlook, especially the balance between professional segment growth and cost headwinds. Fletcher said professional growth creates some margin pressure, but acquisition cost improvements and distribution efficiencies should help offset negatives.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
Over the next few quarters, the StockStory team will closely watch (1) the pace of new store rollouts in the U.S., Mexico, and early-stage Canadian markets, (2) the ability to manage SG&A expense growth amid persistent insurance and healthcare inflation, and (3) the effectiveness of the new Virginia distribution center in enabling market share gains in the Mid-Atlantic. Monitoring consumer sentiment, especially in the DIY segment, will also be key for assessing demand resilience.
O'Reilly currently trades at $93.55, down from $96.74 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).
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