Qualys closed the fourth quarter with results that met Wall Street’s revenue expectations and delivered stronger-than-anticipated non-GAAP profitability. Management attributed the company’s performance to robust adoption of its agentic AI-powered risk management offerings and expanding partner-led sales. CEO Sumedh Thakar highlighted that customers are increasingly seeking unified solutions for pre-breach risk management, emphasizing the operational efficiencies and risk reduction achieved through Qualys’ Enterprise Threat Management (ETM) platform and the Risk Operations Center (ROC) model. The continued uptick in large customer upsells and international momentum also contributed to the quarter’s growth.
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Qualys (QLYS) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $175.3 million vs analyst estimates of $173.2 million (10.1% year-on-year growth, 1.2% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $1.87 vs analyst estimates of $1.78 (4.9% beat)
- Adjusted Operating Income: $80.13 million vs analyst estimates of $76.61 million (45.7% margin, 4.6% beat)
- Revenue Guidance for Q1 CY2026 is $173.5 million at the midpoint, roughly in line with what analysts were expecting
- Adjusted EPS guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $7.31 at the midpoint, missing analyst estimates by 1.3%
- Operating Margin: 33.6%, up from 31% in the same quarter last year
- Annual Recurring Revenue: $697 million vs analyst estimates of $699.3 million (9.5% year-on-year growth, in line)
- Billings: $204.9 million at quarter end, up 5.6% year on year
- Market Capitalization: $3.95 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Qualys’s Q4 Earnings Call
- Jonathan Ho (William Blair) asked about the QFlex pricing model and its impact on platform adoption. CEO Sumedh Thakar explained that QFlex provides customers with flexibility to leverage different Qualys capabilities throughout the year, easing transitions and encouraging broader usage.
- William Kingsley Crane (Canaccord) inquired about the efficacy of Agent Val within ETM and the resulting customer benefits. Thakar described significant customer time savings by safely confirming exploitability and enabling automated remediation, reducing false positives and manual workload.
- Rahul Chopra (Berenberg) questioned whether the core market for vulnerability management is shrinking and about the impact of competition from ServiceNow’s acquisition of Armis. Thakar acknowledged evolving customer needs but emphasized Qualys' focus on patch management and agentic AI as core differentiators.
- Nehal Chokshi (Northland Capital) pressed for reasons behind stable net dollar expansion rate guidance. CFO Joo Mi Kim explained that guidance reflects the current pipeline, with upside possible as ETM adoption and partner activity increase, but broad-based acceleration is not yet visible.
- Rudy Kessinger (D.A. Davidson) asked what needs to happen for net expansion rates or revenue growth to accelerate. Thakar highlighted that stronger partner channel execution, QFlex rollout, and increased ETM penetration are necessary, but adoption is still early.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will monitor (1) the pace of ETM and agentic AI adoption among existing customers, (2) execution and revenue contribution from newly certified mROC partners, and (3) incremental progress in federal sector expansion following the FedRAMP High authorization. Additionally, we will track how effectively Qualys leverages QFlex to drive cross-sell and upsell activity, as well as its ability to maintain differentiation amid intensifying competition.
Qualys currently trades at $110.25, down from $127.81 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
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