
Workday (WDAY)
We’re not sold on Workday. Its sluggish sales growth shows demand is soft, a worrisome sign for investors in high-quality stocks.― StockStory Analyst Team
1. News
2. Summary
Why Workday Is Not Exciting
Founded by industry veterans Aneel Bushri and Dave Duffield after their former company PeopleSoft was acquired by Oracle in a hostile takeover, Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY) provides cloud-based software for organizations to manage and plan finance and human resources.
- Sales trends were unexciting over the last three years as its 17.2% annual growth was below the typical software company
- A silver lining is that its robust free cash flow profile gives it the flexibility to invest in growth initiatives or return capital to shareholders
Workday is skating on thin ice. We’d search for superior opportunities elsewhere.
Why There Are Better Opportunities Than Workday
High Quality
Investable
Underperform
Why There Are Better Opportunities Than Workday
Workday’s stock price of $253.40 implies a valuation ratio of 7.5x forward price-to-sales. We acknowledge that the current valuation is justified, but we’re passing on this stock for the time being.
We’d rather invest in similarly-priced but higher-quality companies with more reliable earnings growth.
3. Workday (WDAY) Research Report: Q1 CY2025 Update
Finance and HR software company Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY) reported Q1 CY2025 results topping the market’s revenue expectations, with sales up 12.6% year on year to $2.24 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $2.23 per share was 11% above analysts’ consensus estimates.
Workday (WDAY) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $2.24 billion vs analyst estimates of $2.22 billion (12.6% year-on-year growth, 1% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $2.23 vs analyst estimates of $2.01 (11% beat)
- Adjusted Operating Income: $677 million vs analyst estimates of $621.7 million (30.2% margin, 8.9% beat)
- Q2 guidance for subscription revenue beats expectations, but full-year subscription revenue guidance in line
- Operating Margin: 1.7%, down from 3.2% in the same quarter last year
- Free Cash Flow Margin: 18.8%, down from 46.4% in the previous quarter
- Billings: $1.57 billion at quarter end, up 6.4% year on year
- Market Capitalization: $71.83 billion
Company Overview
Founded by industry veterans Aneel Bushri and Dave Duffield after their former company PeopleSoft was acquired by Oracle in a hostile takeover, Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY) provides cloud-based software for organizations to manage and plan finance and human resources.
Surprisingly a lot of companies still rely on a mixture of paper records, spreadsheets and legacy on-premise software to run their finance, HR and resource planning. As a result, critical information is often being siloed in systems that are unable to communicate with each other, and that makes planning and keeping track of expenses slow, error prone and cumbersome work.
Workday offers cloud-based software that integrates all of the finance and HR data and functions as a de facto operating system of the company. Majority of the company’s customers are large enterprises, and Workday often replaces tens of individual, single-purpose software applications. The platform initially started as an HR tool, helping companies manage employee onboarding, payroll, time tracking and recruiting pipelines. Over time it added a similar set of functionalities for the finance teams, providing them with tools for accounting, finance reporting and contract tracking.
The key selling point for Workday is that it offers one, always up-to-date source of truth and system of record for the whole company, doesn’t matter how large or geographically spread. As a result it is also able to provide valuable business insights, for example find departments where high employee turnover might signal looming problems or identify what are the bottlenecks in the hiring process.
Implementing a system like Workday can be a lengthy process, and while cloud-based platforms are easier to onboard, it can still take more than a year. On the other hand it means that the products are naturally quite sticky and hard to leave.
4. Finance and Accounting Software
Finance and accounting software benefits from dual trends around costs savings and ease of use. First is the SaaS-ification of businesses, large and small, who much prefer the flexibility of cloud-based, web-browser delivered software paid for on a subscription basis than the hassle and expense of purchasing and managing on-premise enterprise software. Second is the consumerization of business software, whereby multiple standalone processes like supply chain and tax management are aggregated into a single, easy to use platforms.
Workday competes with enterprise software vendors like Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) and SAP (NYSE:SAP) as well as modern cloud platforms such as Anaplan (NYSE:PLAN), BlackLine (NASDAQ:BL), and Coupa (NASDAQ:COUP).
5. Sales Growth
Examining a company’s long-term performance can provide clues about its quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years. Over the last three years, Workday grew its sales at a 17.2% annual rate. Although this growth is acceptable on an absolute basis, it fell slightly short of our standards for the software sector, which enjoys a number of secular tailwinds.

This quarter, Workday reported year-on-year revenue growth of 12.6%, and its $2.24 billion of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 1%.
Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 12.8% over the next 12 months, a deceleration versus the last three years. Still, this projection is above the sector average and implies the market sees some success for its newer products and services.
6. Billings
Billings is a non-GAAP metric that is often called “cash revenue” because it shows how much money the company has collected from customers in a certain period. This is different from revenue, which must be recognized in pieces over the length of a contract.
Workday’s billings punched in at $1.57 billion in Q1, and over the last four quarters, its growth slightly outpaced the sector as it averaged 12.9% year-on-year increases. This alternate topline metric grew slower than total sales, meaning the company recognizes revenue faster than it collects cash - a headwind for its liquidity that could also signal a slowdown in future revenue growth.
7. Customer Acquisition Efficiency
The customer acquisition cost (CAC) payback period measures the months a company needs to recoup the money spent on acquiring a new customer. This metric helps assess how quickly a business can break even on its sales and marketing investments.
Workday does a decent job acquiring new customers, and its CAC payback period checked in at 47.5 months this quarter. The company’s relatively fast recovery of its customer acquisition costs gives it the option to accelerate growth by increasing its sales and marketing investments.
8. Gross Margin & Pricing Power
For software companies like Workday, gross profit tells us how much money remains after paying for the base cost of products and services (typically servers, licenses, and certain personnel). These costs are usually low as a percentage of revenue, explaining why software is more lucrative than other sectors.
Workday’s gross margin is good for a software business and points to its solid unit economics, competitive products and services, and lack of meaningful pricing pressure. As you can see below, it averaged an impressive 75.7% gross margin over the last year. That means for every $100 in revenue, roughly $75.66 was left to spend on selling, marketing, and R&D.
This quarter, Workday’s gross profit margin was 76%, in line with the same quarter last year. On a wider time horizon, the company’s full-year margin has remained steady over the past four quarters, suggesting its input costs have been stable and it isn’t under pressure to lower prices.
9. Operating Margin
Workday has managed its cost base well over the last year. It demonstrated solid profitability for a software business, producing an average operating margin of 4.5%. This result isn’t too surprising as its gross margin gives it a favorable starting point.
Analyzing the trend in its profitability, Workday’s operating margin might fluctuated slightly but has generally stayed the same over the last year. This raises questions about the company’s expense base because its revenue growth should have given it leverage on its fixed costs, resulting in better economies of scale and profitability.

In Q1, Workday generated an operating profit margin of 1.7%, down 1.5 percentage points year on year. Since Workday’s operating margin decreased more than its gross margin, we can assume it was less efficient because expenses such as marketing, R&D, and administrative overhead increased.
10. Cash Is King
If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.
Workday has shown terrific cash profitability, driven by its lucrative business model that enables it to reinvest, return capital to investors, and stay ahead of the competition while maintaining an ample cushion. The company’s free cash flow margin was among the best in the software sector, averaging 26.7% over the last year.

Workday’s free cash flow clocked in at $421 million in Q1, equivalent to a 18.8% margin. This result was good as its margin was 4.2 percentage points higher than in the same quarter last year, but we wouldn’t read too much into the short term because investment needs can be seasonal, leading to temporary swings. Long-term trends trump fluctuations.
Over the next year, analysts’ consensus estimates show they’re expecting Workday’s free cash flow margin of 26.7% for the last 12 months to remain the same.
11. Balance Sheet Assessment
One of the best ways to mitigate bankruptcy risk is to hold more cash than debt.

Workday is a profitable, well-capitalized company with $7.97 billion of cash and $3.39 billion of debt on its balance sheet. This $4.58 billion net cash position is 6.3% of its market cap and gives it the freedom to borrow money, return capital to shareholders, or invest in growth initiatives. Leverage is not an issue here.
12. Key Takeaways from Workday’s Q1 Results
It was good to see Workday narrowly top analysts’ revenue expectations this quarter. Looking ahead, Q2 subscription revenue guidance was ahead of Wall Street Consensus, but full-year subscription revenue guidance was roughly in line. Additionally, its billings missed. Overall, this was a mixed quarter. The stock traded down 3.2% to $263.44 immediately after reporting.
13. Is Now The Time To Buy Workday?
Updated: May 22, 2025 at 10:03 PM EDT
Before making an investment decision, investors should account for Workday’s business fundamentals and valuation in addition to what happened in the latest quarter.
Workday has some positive attributes, but it isn’t one of our picks. Although its revenue growth was a little slower over the last three years and analysts expect growth to slow over the next 12 months, its bountiful generation of free cash flow empowers it to invest in growth initiatives.
Workday’s price-to-sales ratio based on the next 12 months is 7.5x. Investors with a higher risk tolerance might like the company, but we don’t really see a big opportunity at the moment. We're pretty confident there are superior stocks to buy right now.
Wall Street analysts have a consensus one-year price target of $299.06 on the company (compared to the current share price of $253.40).
Want to invest in a High Quality big tech company? We’d point you in the direction of Microsoft and Google, which have durable competitive moats and strong fundamentals, factors that are large determinants of long-term market outperformance.
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