Applied Industrial’s fourth quarter results drew a significant negative reaction from the market, as revenue came in below Wall Street’s expectations. Management cited seasonally weak sales activity in December and higher than anticipated LIFO (last-in, first-out) inventory expense as key factors. CEO Neil Schrimsher described the environment as “mixed yet evolving,” noting that while underlying margin performance and cost control remained solid, organic growth lagged due to choppiness in customer demand. Despite these headwinds, management pointed to strong order momentum in the engineered solutions segment as a positive sign.
Is now the time to buy AIT? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
Applied Industrial (AIT) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $1.16 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.17 billion (8.4% year-on-year growth, 0.7% miss)
- EPS (GAAP): $2.51 vs analyst estimates of $2.49 (0.5% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $140.4 million vs analyst estimates of $142.6 million (12.1% margin, 1.5% miss)
- EPS (GAAP) guidance for the full year is $10.60 at the midpoint, roughly in line with what analysts were expecting
- Operating Margin: 10.6%, in line with the same quarter last year
- Organic Revenue rose 2.2% year on year (miss)
- Market Capitalization: $10.07 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Applied Industrial’s Q4 Earnings Call
- Christopher Glynn (Oppenheimer) asked about the sustainability and organic nature of engineered solutions order growth. CEO Neil Schrimsher confirmed orders were organic and highlighted broad-based strength, especially in automation and fluid power.
- David Manthey (Baird) questioned the trajectory of operating expenses, specifically whether SG&A will move in line with revenue as recent acquisitions are integrated. CFO David Wells indicated expense growth should close the gap with sales but remain disciplined.
- Brett Linzey (Mizuho) inquired about the drivers behind the 20% automation order growth, seeking clarity on pent-up demand versus new project activity. Schrimsher cited both catch-up projects and fresh customer investments in automation and robotics.
- Sabrina Abrams (Bank of America) pressed management on the pricing outlook and why price contribution might moderate despite earlier acceleration. Schrimsher explained most supplier price increases are now in effect, with potential moderation in Q4 as prior hikes roll off.
- Ken Newman (KeyBanc Capital Markets) probed the factors behind margin guidance, focusing on the balance between LIFO headwinds and mix benefits from engineered solutions. Wells noted that while LIFO is a drag, mix and volume improvements should aid margins as sales recover.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will monitor (1) the pace of automation and engineered solutions order growth, (2) the ability to offset inflation and LIFO-related margin headwinds through pricing and mix, and (3) progress in integrating recent acquisitions like Thompson Industrial Supply. We will also track whether core industrial and technology end-markets deliver on anticipated demand upcycles.
Applied Industrial currently trades at $269.20, down from $281.54 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
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