Financial services company Equitable Holdings (NYSE:EQH) fell short of the market’s revenue expectations in Q4 CY2025, with sales falling 5.2% year on year to $3.74 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $1.73 per share was 0.9% below analysts’ consensus estimates.
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Equitable Holdings (EQH) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $3.74 billion vs analyst estimates of $3.91 billion (5.2% year-on-year decline, 4.4% miss)
- Adjusted EPS: $1.73 vs analyst expectations of $1.75 (0.9% miss)
- Adjusted Operating Income: $728 million vs analyst estimates of $749 million (19.5% margin, 2.8% miss)
- Market Capitalization: $12.84 billion
StockStory’s Take
Equitable Holdings experienced a challenging fourth quarter, as results fell short of Wall Street expectations and the market response was negative. Management attributed the underperformance to elevated mortality claims in the individual life segment and higher commission expenses in retirement, both of which weighed on non-GAAP operating earnings. CEO Mark Pearson acknowledged that “growth was held back by elevated mortality claims,” while CFO Robin Raju noted, “the adverse mortality experience was concentrated in December and resulted from a high number of small claims with less reinsurance coverage.”
Looking forward, management’s guidance is anchored by reduced mortality exposure, ongoing growth in asset and wealth management, and the tailwind from recent share repurchases. CEO Mark Pearson stated, “Our business has solid momentum entering 2026, and we remain focused on achieving all of our 2027 financial targets.” The company expects further increases in organic cash generation, stabilization in net interest margins, and continued expansion in its core retirement and wealth businesses. However, CFO Robin Raju cautioned that the company has incorporated a more conservative outlook for mortality in its guidance, reflecting recent volatility.
Key Insights from Management’s Remarks
Management pointed to a mix of higher mortality claims, increased commission expenses, and ongoing strategic investments as key drivers of the quarter’s results, while also highlighting momentum in core growth segments.
- Elevated mortality claims: The individual life segment saw a spike in mortality-related claims, especially in December, which management said led to adverse earnings impact. Exposure was partially mitigated by a recent reinsurance transaction, but volatility persisted.
- Retirement segment commission pressures: Increased sales in retirement products, particularly through third-party channels, resulted in higher commission expenses and a temporary earnings shift between segments due to internal allocation adjustments.
- Asset management margin resilience: AllianceBernstein delivered solid margin performance, supported by higher average assets under management (AUM) and performance fees above internal targets, despite overall net outflows related to the RGA reinsurance transaction.
- Wealth management outperformance: Wealth management earnings grew 40% year-over-year, bolstered by net inflows, adviser productivity gains, and a favorable commission adjustment. Management highlighted double-digit organic growth and progress ahead of internal earnings targets.
- Strategic capital actions: The company executed a significant life reinsurance transaction with RGA, freeing up capital, reducing mortality exposure by 75%, and enabling additional share repurchases. These actions are expected to improve future earnings stability and cash flow quality.
Drivers of Future Performance
Management expects improved earnings in the coming year, driven by lower mortality risk, ongoing growth in core segments, and disciplined capital allocation.
- Reduced mortality exposure: The RGA reinsurance deal has lowered Equitable’s exposure to mortality-related volatility by 75%, with management expecting this to materially decrease earnings swings in future periods—even if adverse mortality trends persist.
- Growth in retirement and wealth: Continued net inflows and adviser expansion in wealth management, along with robust sales momentum and institutional business growth in retirement, are expected to drive double-digit earnings growth assuming stable market conditions.
- Share count tailwind: The reduction of shares outstanding by 9% over the past year, largely due to buybacks funded by the RGA transaction, is projected to provide a boost to earnings per share. However, management remains cautious on competition in retirement products and is closely monitoring commission and spread dynamics.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
Looking ahead, the StockStory team will be watching (1) the stabilization of mortality experience post-reinsurance, (2) continued growth in adviser productivity and net inflows in wealth management, and (3) the company’s ability to expand margins in asset management despite market headwinds. Successful execution in institutional retirement products and the pace of share repurchases will also be key signposts for sustained earnings growth.
Equitable Holdings currently trades at $43.40, down from $44.80 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).
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