W.W. Grainger’s fourth quarter performance was met with a positive market reaction, as revenue exceeded Wall Street expectations, driven by robust execution in both its High Touch Solutions and Endless Assortment segments. Management credited gains to strategic investments in technology, expanded product assortment, and targeted marketing efforts that improved customer retention and share in key markets. CEO Donald Macpherson noted that “our merchandising efforts in 2025 resulted in net assortment growth of over 85,000 SKUs, our largest net SKU growth for the high-touch segment in nearly a decade.” The company also pointed to the successful integration of AI and machine learning to optimize operations and enhance customer experiences as contributors to the quarter’s healthy sales growth.
Is now the time to buy GWW? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
W.W. Grainger (GWW) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $4.43 billion vs analyst estimates of $4.39 billion (4.5% year-on-year growth, 0.7% beat)
- EPS (GAAP): $9.44 vs analyst expectations of $9.85 (4.1% miss)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $698 million vs analyst estimates of $702.9 million (15.8% margin, 0.7% miss)
- EPS (GAAP) guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $43.50 at the midpoint, missing analyst estimates by 0.8%
- Operating Margin: 14.3%, in line with the same quarter last year
- Organic Revenue rose 4.6% year on year (beat)
- Market Capitalization: $56.59 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From W.W. Grainger’s Q4 Earnings Call
- David Manthey (Baird) questioned Grainger’s cautious market outlook despite strong January sales; CEO Donald Macpherson said guidance starts conservatively, emphasizing variable market factors and early-year tailwinds.
- Jacob Levinson (Melius Research) asked about customer sentiment and mid-sized customer acceleration; Macpherson noted industry-specific optimism but no broad market tailwinds and attributed mid-sized growth to merchandising efforts.
- Ryan Merkel (William Blair) probed gross margin trends and sequential headwinds; CFO Deidra Cheeks Merriwether cited LIFO inventory valuation and Grainger’s sales meeting as primary drivers of margin pressure into Q1.
- Chris Dankert (Loop Capital Markets) inquired about digital investment metrics; Macpherson highlighted conversion rates and comprehensive digital competitiveness surveys as key performance indicators.
- Stephen Volkmann (Jefferies) asked about tariff pass-through and supplier pricing; Merriwether confirmed all known tariffs have been passed, with future changes not yet factored into guidance.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) the pace of AI and digital tool adoption and their measurable impact on productivity, (2) the ability to sustain share gains in the High Touch Solutions and Endless Assortment segments amid ongoing macro uncertainty, and (3) the effectiveness of pricing strategies in managing tariff and supplier cost pressures. Progress on new distribution centers and seller network expansion will also be key indicators of execution.
W.W. Grainger currently trades at $1,190, up from $1,096 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).
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