Illinois Tool Works delivered a positive fourth quarter, with management highlighting ongoing progress in customer-backed innovation (CBI) and disciplined execution across all business segments. CEO Christopher O’Herlihy pointed to improved product pipelines and a pickup in end market demand, particularly in test and measurement and automotive businesses. The quarter’s results were also supported by higher sequential revenue growth compared to historical trends and robust operating margins, with O’Herlihy noting, “Operating income increased 5% as our teams continued to execute at a high level, expanding segment margins and outperforming our underlying end markets.”
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Illinois Tool Works (ITW) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $4.09 billion vs analyst estimates of $4.06 billion (4.1% year-on-year growth, 0.7% beat)
- EPS (GAAP): $2.72 vs analyst estimates of $2.69 (1.3% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $1.11 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.19 billion (27.2% margin, 6.5% miss)
- EPS (GAAP) guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $11.20 at the midpoint, missing analyst estimates by 0.6%
- Operating Margin: 26.5%, in line with the same quarter last year
- Organic Revenue rose 1.3% year on year (miss)
- Market Capitalization: $84.3 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Illinois Tool Works’s Q4 Earnings Call
- Andrew Kaplowitz (Citigroup) asked about sustainability of the improvement in the semiconductor and test and measurement segments; CEO Christopher O’Herlihy said the recovery appears sustainable based on current orders and backlog, but past volatility leads to some caution.
- Joseph Ritchie (Goldman Sachs) questioned the impact of price-cost dynamics and resin costs; O’Herlihy clarified that price-cost is expected to be slightly favorable, but resin is now a minimal component of cost and unlikely to materially affect results.
- Julian Mitchell (Barclays) sought details on the seasonality of 2026 and CBI progress; O’Herlihy explained that seasonality should mirror last year, while CBI contributions are set to improve incrementally with a robust pipeline highlighted by increased patent filings.
- Scott Davis (Melius Research) inquired about M&A plans and the cost to achieve higher CBI targets; management emphasized that M&A remains opportunistic amid high valuations, and the CBI goal is driven by focus and leadership, not higher spending.
- Tami Zakaria (JPMorgan) asked about regional growth outlooks, particularly in China and Europe; O’Herlihy and CFO Michael Larsen noted strong growth prospects in China’s auto market due to EVs, but maintained a cautious view on Europe.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) the pace of CBI-driven new product launches and their impact on segment growth, (2) signs of sustained margin improvement from enterprise initiatives despite inflationary pressures, and (3) the trajectory of demand in North America and China, especially in automotive and test and measurement. Execution on innovation targets and resilience in weaker European markets will also be important signposts.
Illinois Tool Works currently trades at $289.83, up from $264.21 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).
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