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LADR (©StockStory)

Ladder Capital (LADR): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q3 Earnings?


Kayode Omotosho /
2025/12/31 11:05 pm EST

Since July 2025, Ladder Capital has been in a holding pattern, posting a small return of 1.2% while floating around $10.99. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 11.2% gain during that period.

Is there a buying opportunity in Ladder Capital, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? See what our analysts have to say in our full research report, it’s free for active Edge members.

Why Do We Think Ladder Capital Will Underperform?

We're swiping left on Ladder Capital for now. Here are three reasons why LADR doesn't excite us and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Revenue Tumbling Downwards

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within financials, a stretched historical view may miss recent interest rate changes, market returns, and industry trends. Ladder Capital’s recent performance marks a sharp pivot from its five-year trend as its revenue has shown annualized declines of 15.4% over the last two years. Ladder Capital Year-On-Year Revenue GrowthNote: Quarters not shown were determined to be outliers, impacted by outsized investment gains/losses that are not indicative of the recurring fundamentals of the business.

2. EPS Growth Has Stalled

Analyzing the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) shows whether a company's incremental sales were profitable – for example, revenue could be inflated through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

Ladder Capital’s flat EPS over the last five years was below its 10% annualized revenue growth. This tells us the company became less profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Ladder Capital Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

3. Declining TBVPS Reflects Erosion of Asset Value

We consider tangible book value per share (TBVPS) the most important metric to track for banks. TBVPS represents the real, liquid net worth per share of a bank, excluding intangible assets that have debatable value upon liquidation.

To the detriment of investors, Ladder Capital’s TBVPS declined at a 1.4% annual clip over the last two years.

Ladder Capital Quarterly Tangible Book Value per Share

Final Judgment

Ladder Capital doesn’t pass our quality test. With its shares underperforming the market lately, the stock trades at 1× forward P/B (or $10.99 per share). This valuation tells us a lot of optimism is priced in - we think there are better stocks to buy right now. We’d suggest looking at the most dominant software business in the world.

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