LendingClub’s fourth quarter results outpaced Wall Street expectations for both revenue and GAAP earnings, yet the market responded negatively, reflecting concerns about underlying trends. Management attributed growth to robust loan originations, especially in personal loans and major purchase financing, as well as improved marketplace pricing and strong credit performance. CEO Scott Sanborn highlighted the company’s underwriting capabilities, stating, “Our discipline, combined with our advanced underwriting capabilities, delivered 40 to 50% better credit performance versus our competitive set.” Despite these drivers, higher marketing and operating expenses raised questions about cost trajectory and the sustainability of earnings momentum.
Is now the time to buy LC? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
LendingClub (LC) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $266.5 million vs analyst estimates of $261.9 million (22.7% year-on-year growth, 1.8% beat)
- EPS (GAAP): $0.35 vs analyst estimates of $0.34 (3.1% beat)
- Adjusted Operating Income: $50.03 million vs analyst estimates of $97.04 million (18.8% margin, 48.4% miss)
- EPS (GAAP) guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $1.73 at the midpoint, beating analyst estimates by 3.7%
- Operating Margin: 51.6%, up from 5.1% in the same quarter last year
- Market Capitalization: $1.86 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From LendingClub’s Q4 Earnings Call
- Tim Switzer (KBW) pressed for clarity on rising expenses, particularly marketing, and if this level of investment would moderate. CFO Drew LaBenne indicated spending should ease after the transition and rebranding are complete.
- Vincent Caintic (BTIG) asked about the impact of the fair value accounting change on loan mix and investor demand. LaBenne noted the new model should make held-for-investment and marketplace loans more comparable, supporting continued portfolio diversification.
- John Hecht (Jefferies) questioned whether the fair value discount rate could reveal implied annual loss rates and if credit quality assumptions would shift. LaBenne confirmed loss rates remain stable and consistent with prior underwriting.
- Kyle Joseph (Stephens) inquired about macroeconomic risks, including the effects of a larger tax refund season and the potential for federal rate caps. CEO Scott Sanborn said these factors were considered in guidance but expected impact is limited at present.
- Giuliano Bologna (Compass Point) focused on marketing expense deferrals under the new accounting model and the implied path for origination growth. LaBenne explained that marketing costs will reflect more directly in the P&L and expects origination growth to reaccelerate midyear.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will closely monitor (1) the rollout and early adoption of home improvement financing and other new verticals, (2) the effectiveness of increased marketing investments and progress toward normalizing expense ratios, and (3) the operational impact of the transition to fair value accounting. Progress on the rebranding initiative and cross-sell engagement within the deposit base will also serve as key indicators of execution.
LendingClub currently trades at $16.16, down from $19.57 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
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