ManpowerGroup’s fourth quarter results for 2025 were received positively by the market, as revenue growth outpaced expectations despite ongoing profit pressure. Management attributed the quarter’s improvement to increased enterprise client demand, especially in key markets like the US, France, and Italy, along with strengthened cost discipline. CEO Jonas Prising emphasized that operational changes, such as structural cost reductions and digitization efforts, contributed to sequential improvements, noting, “We are seeing clear sequential improvement in key demand indicators, including Manpower associates on assignments in key markets.” While gross margins remained under pressure due to mix shifts toward enterprise clients and softer permanent recruitment activities, the company reported progress in stabilizing overall trends.
Is now the time to buy MAN? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
ManpowerGroup (MAN) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $4.71 billion vs analyst estimates of $4.63 billion (7.1% year-on-year growth, 1.8% beat)
- EPS (GAAP): $0.64 vs analyst expectations of $0.82 (21.7% miss)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $113.7 million vs analyst estimates of $108.7 million (2.4% margin, 4.6% beat)
- EPS (GAAP) guidance for Q1 CY2026 is $0.50 at the midpoint, roughly in line with what analysts were expecting
- Operating Margin: 1.7%, in line with the same quarter last year
- Organic Revenue rose 1.9% year on year (beat)
- Market Capitalization: $1.70 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From ManpowerGroup’s Q4 Earnings Call
- Mark Marcon (Baird) asked about margin aspirations in a moderate recovery scenario. CFO Jack McGinnis reiterated the commitment to reaching a 4.5%-5% EBITDA margin over time, emphasizing that recent technology investments and structural cost reductions should drive gradual improvement.
- Andrew Steinerman (JPMorgan) sought clarity on sustainable organic revenue growth post-recovery and the impact of flexible work demand. CEO Jonas Prising shared that while broad-based recovery timing is uncertain, flexibility remains a core client need and is expected to support future growth.
- Kartik Mehta (Northcoast Research) inquired about the effect of growing enterprise revenue on margins and cash flow. McGinnis explained that enterprise clients have longer payment terms, impacting cash flow timing, but that the shift’s margin impact has stabilized and actions are in place to mitigate DSO increases.
- Trevor Romeo (William Blair) requested more granular detail on near-term demand trends by country. McGinnis highlighted sequential monthly improvements in France, ongoing US stability, and strong momentum in Italy, with January trends aligning with Q1 guidance.
- Josh Chan (UBS) questioned SG&A and gross margin stabilization. McGinnis responded that SG&A leverage is improving due to cost actions, while gross margin remains pressured by mix shifts and low permanent recruitment, but should recover as higher-margin business returns.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will closely watch (1) the pace of permanent recruitment and professional staffing recovery, (2) the measurable impact of AI-enabled productivity tools on margin and win rates, and (3) ongoing momentum in key geographies like France, Italy, and the US. The progress of cost discipline initiatives and client demand for flexible workforce models will also be key signposts for future performance.
ManpowerGroup currently trades at $36.27, up from $28.96 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).
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