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MOG.A (©StockStory)

3 Overrated Stocks We Approach with Caution


Adam Hejl /
2025/12/31 11:35 pm EST

Each stock in this article is trading near its 52-week high. These elevated prices usually indicate some degree of investor confidence, business improvements, or favorable market conditions.

While momentum can be a leading indicator, it has burned many investors as it doesn’t always correlate with long-term success. Keeping that in mind, here are three stocks that are likely overheated and some you should look into instead.

Moog (MOG.A)

One-Month Return: +7.6%

Responsible for the flight control actuation system integrated in the B-2 stealth bomber, Moog (NYSE:MOG.A) provides precision motion control solutions used in aerospace and defense applications

Why Does MOG.A Fall Short?

  1. Muted 4.9% annual revenue growth over the last five years shows its demand lagged behind its industrials peers
  2. Capital intensity has ramped up over the last five years as its free cash flow margin decreased by 6.6 percentage points
  3. Below-average returns on capital indicate management struggled to find compelling investment opportunities

Moog is trading at $243.67 per share, or 26.2x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with MOG.A, check out our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Genco (GNK)

One-Month Return: -2.6%

Headquartered in NYC, Genco (NYSE:GNK) is a shipping company that transports dry bulk cargo along worldwide maritime routes.

Why Do We Think GNK Will Underperform?

  1. Demand for its offerings was relatively low as its number of owned vessels has underwhelmed
  2. Performance over the past two years shows each sale was less profitable as its earnings per share dropped by 46.6% annually, worse than its revenue
  3. Free cash flow margin dropped by 23.4 percentage points over the last five years, implying the company became more capital intensive as competition picked up

Genco’s stock price of $18.39 implies a valuation ratio of 12.3x forward P/E. If you’re considering GNK for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Radian Group (RDN)

One-Month Return: +0.9%

Founded during the housing boom of 1977 and weathering multiple real estate cycles since, Radian Group (NYSE:RDN) provides mortgage insurance and real estate services, helping lenders manage risk and homebuyers achieve affordable homeownership.

Why Are We Hesitant About RDN?

  1. Net premiums earned contracted by 3.2% annually over the last five years, showing unfavorable market dynamics this cycle
  2. Day-to-day expenses have swelled relative to revenue over the last two years as its combined ratio increased by 13.7 percentage points
  3. Earnings growth underperformed the sector average over the last two years as its EPS grew by just 2.2% annually

At $36.00 per share, Radian Group trades at 1x forward P/B. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why RDN doesn’t pass our bar.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

The market’s up big this year - but there’s a catch. Just 4 stocks account for half the S&P 500’s entire gain. That kind of concentration makes investors nervous, and for good reason. While everyone piles into the same crowded names, smart investors are hunting quality where no one’s looking - and paying a fraction of the price. Check out the high-quality names we’ve flagged in our Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today.