Otis’s fourth quarter results reflected a negative market reaction as the company missed Wall Street’s revenue expectations, despite delivering year-on-year top-line growth and meeting profit consensus. Management attributed the underperformance primarily to softer-than-anticipated new equipment sales, particularly in China and The Americas, and a lower-than-expected trajectory in repair within the service segment. CEO Judith Marks highlighted the company’s robust modernization orders and strong cash flow as key positives, noting, “We secured record modernization orders, building an unprecedented backlog.” The operational focus remained on expanding margins and growing the service portfolio, but external headwinds weighed on total revenue.
Is now the time to buy OTIS? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
Otis (OTIS) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $3.80 billion vs analyst estimates of $3.87 billion (3.3% year-on-year growth, 1.8% miss)
- Adjusted EPS: $1.03 vs analyst estimates of $1.03 (in line)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $675 million vs analyst estimates of $675.7 million (17.8% margin, in line)
- Operating Margin: 15.5%, up from 14.4% in the same quarter last year
- Organic Revenue was flat year on year (miss)
- Market Capitalization: $33.97 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Otis’s Q4 Earnings Call
- Amit Mehrotra (UBS) asked about growth expectations for maintenance and repair in 2026 and the trajectory of service profits. CEO Judith Marks and CFO Cristina Mendez highlighted anticipated double-digit repair growth and continued service profit expansion, with investments focused on improving customer retention.
- Joseph O'Dea (Wells Fargo) inquired about the components of service margin expansion and the sustainability of modernization margins. Mendez detailed the mix of higher repair margins, ramping modernization margins, and a one-time gain from service center asset sales as key contributors.
- Nick Housden (RBC Capital Markets) sought clarity on the annual growth potential of the modernization business and the rationale behind conservative EPS guidance. Marks explained that while 30% backlog growth is unlikely to persist annually, steady teens-level growth is expected, and guidance reflects a cautious approach amid macro uncertainty.
- Christopher Snyder (Morgan Stanley) questioned the ability to expand margins post-restructuring and the pace of converting modernization backlog to revenue. Mendez cited productivity, density, and pricing as future drivers, while Marks confirmed faster conversion for some modernization projects but longer timelines for complex installations.
- Julian Mitchell (Barclays) asked about portfolio unit growth and retention rates, especially outside China. Marks indicated a strategic focus on value over volume, aiming for stable to slightly improved retention rates, with growth concentrated in higher-contribution units.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will be closely watching (1) the pace of service revenue acceleration, especially in maintenance and repair, (2) execution on the large modernization backlog, including conversion rates in key markets, and (3) stabilization or improvement in new equipment sales outside China. Additional attention will be paid to the effectiveness of ongoing investments in service excellence and digital integration, as well as evolving government stimulus programs in China.
Otis currently trades at $87.18, down from $90.55 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
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