Champion Homes’ fourth quarter saw a positive market reaction, as management pointed to strong execution of strategic initiatives and resilience in a mixed housing market. CEO Tim Larson highlighted that product innovation and channel expansion were key contributors, with new home plans targeting broader buyer segments and an uptick in orders from company-owned retail stores. Larson emphasized, “We are encouraged in our buyer data that we’re seeing new consumers to offsite-built homes, and that really impacted our quarter.” While sales volumes declined, management attributed this to a challenging macroeconomic environment and the prior year’s weather-driven comparison, noting that pricing and product mix offset the dip in units sold.
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Champion Homes (SKY) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $656.6 million vs analyst estimates of $655.9 million (1.8% year-on-year growth, in line)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.96 vs analyst estimates of $0.84 (14.1% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $74.78 million vs analyst estimates of $68.97 million (11.4% margin, 8.4% beat)
- Operating Margin: 9.5%, down from 11.3% in the same quarter last year
- Sales Volumes fell 2.6% year on year (14.1% in the same quarter last year)
- Market Capitalization: $4.80 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Champion Homes’s Q4 Earnings Call
- Greg Palm (Craig-Hallum) asked about geographic trends and weather disruptions; CEO Tim Larson explained delays were localized and that the team’s focus is to make up lost production days by quarter end.
- Matthew Bouley (Barclays) questioned volume resilience relative to industry declines; Larson credited channel partner execution and agile product development for outperforming broader trends and expects order growth to benefit future quarters.
- Michael Dahl (RBC Capital Markets) requested details on margin drivers and inventory strategy; CFO Dave McKinstray described inventory build as a planned, seasonal move to prepare for spring, impacting Q4 gross margin but not indicating underlying business weakness.
- Philip Ng (Jefferies) sought clarity on inventory management with community REITs and legislative nuances; Larson noted close coordination with partners to calibrate inventory levels and expressed optimism about policy changes supporting offsite-built homes.
- Jesse Lederman (Zelman & Associates) asked about Champion’s involvement in federal affordable housing initiatives and the potential impact of tariffs; Larson highlighted the company’s alignment with policy goals and McKinstray reported that tariff impacts were managed below prior estimates and are being closely watched.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
Looking ahead, our team will focus on (1) the pace of inventory drawdown at captive retail stores as a leading indicator for spring demand, (2) the evolution of gross margin stability amid ongoing input cost fluctuations and product mix changes, and (3) progress on legislative reforms at both federal and local levels that could expand the market for offsite-built homes. The trajectory of consumer sentiment and weather-related disruptions will also be monitored for their impact on order flow.
Champion Homes currently trades at $86.75, up from $76.03 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).
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