Taylor Morrison Home’s fourth quarter revenue and adjusted earnings both surpassed Wall Street expectations, despite a double-digit decline in sales year-on-year. Management attributed the quarter’s performance to resilient demand in its move-up and resort lifestyle communities, particularly the Esplanade brand, and disciplined cost management. CEO Sheryl Palmer noted, “Our diverse operating model and broad consumer reach helped us navigate market headwinds,” while also highlighting a shift in buyer preferences and the company’s ability to maintain steady absorption rates despite industry challenges.
Is now the time to buy TMHC? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $2.1 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.96 billion (10.9% year-on-year decline, 7.2% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $1.91 vs analyst estimates of $1.74 (10% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $267.7 million vs analyst estimates of $248.9 million (12.8% margin, 7.5% beat)
- Operating Margin: 12.8%, down from 15.3% in the same quarter last year
- Backlog: $1.86 billion at quarter end, down 41.8% year on year
- Market Capitalization: $6.65 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Taylor Morrison Home’s Q4 Earnings Call
- Matthew Bouley (Barclays) asked about the future mix of entry-level buyers and geographic focus. CEO Sheryl Palmer explained that the company will reduce exposure to fringe markets while maintaining a strong presence in core regions like Florida and Phoenix.
- Alan Ratner (Zelman & Associates) questioned cost outlook and risk from rising material prices. CFO Curt VanHyfte noted ongoing house cost reduction initiatives and partnerships to offset potential headwinds.
- Trevor Allinson (Wolfe Research) inquired about the expected timeline for gross margin recovery. VanHyfte indicated margins should gradually improve over the year as the sales mix shifts and spec inventory is reduced.
- Michael Dahl (RBC Capital Markets) probed seasonal absorption trends and the sustainability of recent order momentum. Palmer pointed to stronger-than-usual seasonal patterns despite weather disruptions, but remained cautious about establishing a clear trend.
- Rafe Jadrosich (Bank of America) sought clarity on land investment strategy and anticipated returns in move-up segments. COO Erik Heuser highlighted a strategic “repivot” to core, higher-margin markets and said land conditions are stabilizing.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, our analyst team will be watching (1) the pace at which Taylor Morrison Home shifts its sales mix toward to-be-built homes and higher-margin buyer segments, (2) the effectiveness of new community openings—especially in the Esplanade brand—at driving order growth, and (3) the company’s ability to manage and sell down spec inventory without further eroding margins. Progress in AI-driven operational enhancements and digital sales tools will also be key indicators of future competitiveness.
Taylor Morrison Home currently trades at $68.11, up from $66.41 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).
The Best Stocks for High-Quality Investors
Your portfolio can’t afford to be based on yesterday’s story. The risk in a handful of heavily crowded stocks is rising daily.
The names generating the next wave of massive growth are right here in our Top 5 Strong Momentum Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).
Stocks that have made our list include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.