Scientific instruments company Waters Corporation (NYSE:WAT) met Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q4 CY2025, with sales up 6.8% year on year to $932.4 million. The company expects next quarter’s revenue to be around $1.20 billion, coming in 64.5% above analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $4.53 per share was in line with analysts’ consensus estimates.
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Waters Corporation (WAT) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $932.4 million vs analyst estimates of $928.6 million (6.8% year-on-year growth, in line)
- Adjusted EPS: $4.53 vs analyst expectations of $4.51 (in line)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $381 million vs analyst estimates of $381.6 million (40.9% margin, in line)
- Revenue Guidance for Q1 CY2026 is $1.20 billion at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $732.4 million
- Adjusted EPS guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $14.40 at the midpoint, beating analyst estimates by 0.6%
- Operating Margin: 29%, down from 33.5% in the same quarter last year
- Organic Revenue rose 6% year on year (miss)
- Market Capitalization: $19.04 billion
StockStory’s Take
Waters Corporation’s fourth quarter was met with a significant negative market reaction, with shares falling sharply. Management attributed the mixed market response primarily to unexpected weakness in the newly acquired BD Biosciences and Diagnostic Solutions business, as well as margin pressures from higher R&D investment and a shift to a subscription model for its Empower software. CEO Udit Batra acknowledged, “Several issues emerged in Q4 that impacted the growth of both of those businesses that were not fully known in Q3.” The company’s core business saw growth in recurring revenues, chemistry, and high single-digit gains in pharma and industrial end markets, but these positives were offset by underperformance in the acquired portfolio and declining operating margins.
Looking ahead, Waters Corporation’s guidance for the coming year is shaped by both cautious integration plans for the BD Biosciences and Diagnostic Solutions acquisition and anticipated benefits from enhanced pricing discipline, new product launches, and operational synergies. Management is focused on improving commercial execution, particularly through a centralized deal desk and expanding service plan attachment rates. CFO Amol Chaubal emphasized that guidance assumptions are prudent, stating, “We have risk-adjusted the underlying growth assumptions, even though most of the headwinds that impacted the business in 2025 are already in the baseline.” The company also expects gradual recovery in the acquired business and incremental recurring revenue as more customers adopt subscription models.
Key Insights from Management’s Remarks
Management explained that quarterly results were shaped by strong recurring revenue in core markets, new product launches, and the integration of BD Biosciences—though the latter introduced new headwinds.
- BD Acquisition Headwinds: The newly acquired BD Biosciences and Diagnostic Solutions business underperformed due to softer demand in China, delayed U.S. export approvals, and a milder flu season, resulting in a lower baseline for 2026 expectations.
- Subscription Model Transition: Waters’ transition of its Empower software from a traditional license to a subscription-based model created a short-term headwind for reported instrument revenue, but management emphasized the long-term benefit of higher-quality recurring revenue.
- Chemistry and Consumables Growth: Strong adoption of new chemistry products, including MaxPeak Premier technology and related bioseparation columns, drove double-digit growth in recurring consumables revenue, supported by price increases and new product launches.
- Operational Investments: Strategic acceleration of R&D investment—especially in informatics and bioseparations—was cited as a factor in lower operating margins, with management expecting these investments to yield growth in future periods.
- Pricing Discipline Initiatives: The company is applying centralized pricing and discount controls, particularly in acquired product lines, to improve margins and align pricing power across both legacy and acquired businesses.
Drivers of Future Performance
Waters expects steady organic growth driven by new product adoption, integration of BD Biosciences, and continued expansion into recurring revenue streams, but faces risks from integration execution and market headwinds.
- Integration and Synergy Realization: The success of Waters’ acquisition of BD Biosciences and Diagnostic Solutions will depend on swiftly realizing targeted cost and revenue synergies, including restructuring, procurement savings, and network optimization. Management expects $55 million in cost synergies and $50 million in revenue synergies in the coming year, with further upside if operational improvements materialize.
- Product Innovation and Recurring Revenue: Continued launches of new products in bioseparations, diagnostics, and informatics—especially the shift to subscription-based software—are expected to drive high-quality, recurring revenue growth. Management forecasts that recurring revenue will become a larger share of total revenue as subscription adoption increases.
- Market and Execution Risks: Persistent headwinds in China, variability in academic and government funding, and slower recovery in certain BD segments could limit near-term growth. Management highlighted that many of these risks are already incorporated in current guidance, but execution on integration, pricing, and commercial strategy remains critical.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
Looking ahead, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) progress toward capturing cost and revenue synergies from the BD Biosciences integration, (2) the pace of customer adoption for subscription-based Empower software and related recurring revenue streams, and (3) stabilization and eventual recovery in the acquired business’s lagging segments, particularly in China and government markets. Continued product innovation and effective commercial execution will also be key areas of focus.
Waters Corporation currently trades at $319.44, down from $381.29 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).
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