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Why Apple (AAPL) Stock Is Trading Lower Today


Jabin Bastian /
2024/10/01 12:40 pm EDT

What Happened?

Shares of iPhone and iPad maker Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) fell 3.6% in the morning session after Barclays analyst Tim Long highlighted data that tracks global iPhone availability and wait times, suggesting weak demand for the new iPhone 16. The analyst has an Underweight (Sell) rating and a price target of $186.

Separately, the major indices declined (Nasdaq down 1.8%, S&P 500 down 0.9%) amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. NBC News reported (citing White House and Defense Department officials) that the U.S. "has indications that Iran is preparing to imminently launch a ballistic missile attack against Israel."

Lastly, Fed Chair Jerome Powell told investors there is no "preset course" regarding the pace of future rate cuts. He added in a speech delivered to the National Association for Business Economics, "Looking forward, if the economy evolves broadly as expected, policy will move over time toward a more neutral stance. But we are not on any preset course." While the markets could still be right about more rate cuts in the near term, Powell's comments added uncertainty to both the cadence and magnitude of cuts.

Following these updates, the VIX index (or fear gauge) spiked as the reports created more uncertainty, which investors certainly don't like.

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What The Market Is Telling Us

Apple’s shares are not very volatile and have only had 2 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful, although it might not be something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

Apple is up 21.1% since the beginning of the year, and at $224.76 per share, it is trading close to its 52-week high of $234.82 from July 2024. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Apple’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $4,003.

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