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O'Reilly (NASDAQ:ORLY) Misses Q2 Revenue Estimates

Petr Huřťák /

July 24, 2024

Auto parts and accessories retailer O’Reilly Automotive (NASDAQ:ORLY) fell short of analysts' expectations in Q2 CY2024, with revenue up 5% year on year to $4.27 billion. The company's full-year revenue guidance of $16.75 billion at the midpoint also came in slightly below analysts' estimates. It made a GAAP profit of $10.55 per share, improving from its profit of $10.22 per share in the same quarter last year.

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O'Reilly (ORLY) Q2 CY2024 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $4.27 billion vs analyst estimates of $4.32 billion (1.1% miss)
  • EPS: $10.55 vs analyst expectations of $11.00 (4.1% miss)
  • The company dropped its revenue guidance for the full year from $16.95 billion to $16.75 billion at the midpoint, a 1.2% decrease
  • Gross Margin (GAAP): 50.7%, down from 51.3% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow of $718.2 million, similar to the same quarter last year
  • Locations: 6,244 at quarter end, up from 6,071 in the same quarter last year
  • Same-Store Sales rose 2.3% year on year (9% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $61.78 billion

Serving both the DIY customer and professional mechanic, O’Reilly Automotive (NASDAQ:ORLY) is an auto parts and accessories retailer that sells everything from fuel pumps to car air fresheners to mufflers.

Auto Parts Retailer

Cars are complex machines that need maintenance and occasional repairs, and auto parts retailers cater to the professional mechanic as well as the do-it-yourself (DIY) fixer. Work on cars may entail replacing fluids, parts, or accessories, and these stores have the parts and accessories or these jobs. While e-commerce competition presents a risk, these stores have a leg up due to the combination of broad and deep selection as well as expertise provided by sales associates. Another change on the horizon could be the increasing penetration of electric vehicles.

Sales Growth

O'Reilly is larger than most consumer retail companies and benefits from economies of scale, giving it an edge over its competitors.

As you can see below, the company's annualized revenue growth rate of 10.7% over the last five years was decent as it opened new stores and grew sales at existing, established stores.

O'Reilly Total Revenue

This quarter, O'Reilly's revenue grew 5% year on year to $4.27 billion, falling short of Wall Street's estimates. Looking ahead, Wall Street expects sales to grow 6.5% over the next 12 months, an acceleration from this quarter.

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Same-Store Sales

A company's same-store sales growth shows the year-on-year change in sales for its brick-and-mortar stores that have been open for at least a year, give or take, and e-commerce platform. This is a key performance indicator for retailers because it measures organic growth and demand.

O'Reilly's demand within its existing stores has generally risen over the last two years but lagged behind the broader consumer retail sector. On average, the company's same-store sales have grown by 6.8% year on year. With positive same-store sales growth amid an increasing physical footprint of stores, O'Reilly is reaching more customers and growing sales.

O'Reilly Year On Year Same Store Sales Growth

In the latest quarter, O'Reilly's same-store sales rose 2.3% year on year. By the company's standards, this growth was a meaningful deceleration from the 9% year-on-year increase it posted 12 months ago. We'll be watching O'Reilly closely to see if it can reaccelerate growth.

Key Takeaways from O'Reilly's Q2 Results

We struggled to find many strong positives in these results. The company decreased its full-year EPS guidance and its gross margin missed Wall Street's estimates. Overall, this quarter could have been better. The stock traded down 3.2% to $1,020 immediately following the results.

O'Reilly may have had a tough quarter, but does that actually create an opportunity to invest right now? When making that decision, it's important to consider its valuation, business qualities, as well as what has happened in the latest quarter. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it's free.