Amkor (AMKR)

Underperform
Amkor is in for a bumpy ride. Its underwhelming revenue growth and failure to generate meaningful free cash flow is a concerning trend. StockStory Analyst Team
Anthony Lee, Lead Equity Analyst
Kayode Omotosho, Equity Analyst

2. Summary

Underperform

Why We Think Amkor Will Underperform

Operating through a largely Asian facility footprint, Amkor Technologies (NASDAQ:AMKR) provides outsourced packaging and testing for semiconductors.

  • High input costs result in an inferior gross margin of 14.4% that must be offset through higher volumes
  • Weak free cash flow margin of 4.1% has deteriorated further over the last five years as its investments increased
  • Projected sales growth of 5.5% for the next 12 months suggests sluggish demand
Amkor’s quality is not up to our standards. Better stocks can be found in the market.
StockStory Analyst Team

Why There Are Better Opportunities Than Amkor

At $53.56 per share, Amkor trades at 30.6x forward P/E. Amkor’s multiple may seem like a great deal among semiconductor peers, but we think there are valid reasons why it’s this cheap.

We’d rather pay up for companies with elite fundamentals than get a bargain on weak ones. Cheap stocks can be value traps, and as their performance deteriorates, they will stay cheap or get even cheaper.

3. Amkor (AMKR) Research Report: Q4 CY2025 Update

Semiconductor packaging and testing company Amkor Technology (NASDAQ:AMKR) reported Q4 CY2025 results exceeding the market’s revenue expectations, with sales up 15.9% year on year to $1.89 billion. On top of that, next quarter’s revenue guidance ($1.65 billion at the midpoint) was surprisingly good and 7% above what analysts were expecting. Its GAAP profit of $0.69 per share was 56.9% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Amkor (AMKR) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.89 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.83 billion (15.9% year-on-year growth, 3% beat)
  • EPS (GAAP): $0.69 vs analyst estimates of $0.44 (56.9% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $369 million vs analyst estimates of $317.2 million (19.5% margin, 16.3% beat)
  • Revenue Guidance for Q1 CY2026 is $1.65 billion at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $1.54 billion
  • EPS (GAAP) guidance for Q1 CY2026 is $0.23 at the midpoint, missing analyst estimates by 1.5%
  • Operating Margin: 9.8%, up from 8.3% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow Margin: 1.1%, down from 15.5% in the same quarter last year
  • Inventory Days Outstanding: 25, up from 21 in the previous quarter
  • Market Capitalization: $12.2 billion

Company Overview

Operating through a largely Asian facility footprint, Amkor Technologies (NASDAQ:AMKR) provides outsourced packaging and testing for semiconductors.

Although headquartered in the US, Amkor was founded in South Korea in 1968. When the company began shipping to US customers in 1970, these shipments constituted Korea’s first semiconductor exports. The company went public in 1998.

Semiconductor manufacturing begins with a silicon wafer upon which circuit patterns are transferred. The fabricated material (the die) is then separated (dicing), typically using automation and precision tools such as lasers. Packaging comes next and serves three key purposes: connects the chip to an external environment (e.g. a circuit board), protects the chips against physical damage, and dissipates excess heat.

Amkor’s customers are semiconductor foundries (manufacturers), fabless semiconductor companies (designers who outsource manufacturing), and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). The company’s packaging aims to meet customers’ requirements for size, electrical and mechanical performance, and interconnect technology (wiring systems to connect chips). For example, one of Amkor’s key packaging offerings is the ‘Flip-Chip Chip Scale Package’, where the package is no larger than the chip. This supports increasingly small form factors found in smartphones, tablets and other mobile devices. In addition to packaging, Amkor also offers testing services to ensure that semiconductors are defect-free and meet specifications before being deployed or sold.

Other companies offering outsourced semiconductor packaging and testing services include ASE Technology (TWSE:3711), Powertech Technology (TWSE:6239), and Siliconware Technology.

4. Revenue Growth

A company’s top-line performance can indicate its business quality. Rapid growth can signal it’s benefiting from an innovative new product or burgeoning market trend. Amkor’s annualized revenue growth rate of 1.6% over the last two years was mediocre for a semiconductor business. Semiconductors are a cyclical industry, and long-term investors should be prepared for periods of high growth followed by periods of revenue contractions.

Amkor Quarterly Revenue

Long-term growth is the most important, but short-term results matter for semiconductors because the rapid pace of technological innovation (Moore's Law) could make yesterday's hit product obsolete today. Amkor’s recent performance shows its demand has slowed as its annualized revenue growth of 1.6% over the last two years was below its five-year trend. Amkor Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

This quarter, Amkor reported year-on-year revenue growth of 15.9%, and its $1.89 billion of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 3%. Beyond the beat, we believe the company is still in the early days of an upcycle as this was the third consecutive quarter of growth - a typical upcycle tends to last 8-10 quarters. Company management is currently guiding for a 24.9% year-on-year increase in sales next quarter.

Looking further ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 7.8% over the next 12 months. Although this projection implies its newer products and services will spur better top-line performance, it is still below the sector average.

5. Product Demand & Outstanding Inventory

Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO) is an important metric for chipmakers, as it reflects a business’ capital intensity and the cyclical nature of semiconductor supply and demand. In a tight supply environment, inventories tend to be stable, allowing chipmakers to exert pricing power. Steadily increasing DIO can be a warning sign that demand is weak, and if inventories continue to rise, the company may have to downsize production.

This quarter, Amkor’s DIO came in at 25, which is 5 days below its five-year average. These numbers show that despite the recent increase, there’s no indication of an excessive inventory buildup.

Amkor Inventory Days Outstanding

6. Gross Margin & Pricing Power

Gross profit margin is a key metric to track because it shows how much money a semiconductor company gets to keep after paying for its raw materials, manufacturing, and other input costs.

Amkor’s gross margin is one of the worst in the semiconductor industry, signaling it operates in a competitive market and lacks pricing power. As you can see below, it averaged a 14.4% gross margin over the last two years. Said differently, Amkor had to pay a chunky $85.63 to its suppliers for every $100 in revenue. Amkor Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin

Amkor produced a 16.7% gross profit margin in Q4, marking a 1.5 percentage point increase from 15.1% in the same quarter last year. Zooming out, the company’s full-year margin has remained steady over the past 12 months, suggesting its input costs (such as raw materials and manufacturing expenses) have been stable and it isn’t under pressure to lower prices.

7. Operating Margin

Operating margin is a key measure of profitability. Think of it as net income - the bottom line - excluding the impact of taxes and interest on debt, which are less connected to business fundamentals.

Amkor’s operating margin might fluctuated slightly over the last 12 months but has remained more or less the same, averaging 7% over the last two years. This profitability was mediocre for a semiconductor business and caused by its suboptimal cost structureand low gross margin.

Analyzing the trend in its profitability, Amkor’s operating margin decreased by 5.5 percentage points over the last five years. This raises questions about the company’s expense base because its revenue growth should have given it leverage on its fixed costs, resulting in better economies of scale and profitability. Amkor’s performance was poor no matter how you look at it - it shows that costs were rising and it couldn’t pass them onto its customers.

Amkor Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

This quarter, Amkor generated an operating margin profit margin of 9.8%, up 1.5 percentage points year on year. The increase was encouraging, and because its operating margin rose more than its gross margin, we can infer it was more efficient with expenses such as marketing, R&D, and administrative overhead.

8. Earnings Per Share

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) for the same reason as long-term revenue growth. Compared to revenue, however, EPS highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

Amkor’s EPS grew at an unimpressive 1.5% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, lower than its 5.8% annualized revenue growth. This tells us the company became less profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Amkor Trailing 12-Month EPS (GAAP)

Diving into the nuances of Amkor’s earnings can give us a better understanding of its performance. As we mentioned earlier, Amkor’s operating margin expanded this quarter but declined by 5.5 percentage points over the last five years. Its share count also grew by 2.4%, meaning the company not only became less efficient with its operating expenses but also diluted its shareholders. Amkor Diluted Shares Outstanding

In Q4, Amkor reported EPS of $0.69, up from $0.43 in the same quarter last year. This print easily cleared analysts’ estimates, and shareholders should be content with the results. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Amkor’s full-year EPS of $1.50 to grow 8.4%.

9. Cash Is King

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

Amkor has shown poor cash profitability over the last two years, giving the company limited opportunities to return capital to shareholders. Its free cash flow margin averaged 2.7%, lousy for a semiconductor business.

Taking a step back, we can see that Amkor’s margin dropped by 5.6 percentage points over the last five years. Almost any movement in the wrong direction is undesirable because of its already low cash conversion. If the trend continues, it could signal it’s in the middle of a big investment cycle.

Amkor Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

Amkor’s free cash flow clocked in at $21.6 million in Q4, equivalent to a 1.1% margin. The company’s cash profitability regressed as it was 14.3 percentage points lower than in the same quarter last year, suggesting its historical struggles have dragged on.

10. Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

EPS and free cash flow tell us whether a company was profitable while growing its revenue. But was it capital-efficient? A company’s ROIC explains this by showing how much operating profit it makes compared to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Amkor’s management team makes decent investment decisions and generates value for shareholders. Its five-year average ROIC was 15.2%, slightly better than typical semiconductor business.

Amkor Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

11. Balance Sheet Assessment

One of the best ways to mitigate bankruptcy risk is to hold more cash than debt.

Amkor Net Cash Position

Amkor is a profitable, well-capitalized company with $2.06 billion of cash and $1.52 billion of debt on its balance sheet. This $542.2 million net cash position is 4.2% of its market cap and gives it the freedom to borrow money, return capital to shareholders, or invest in growth initiatives. Leverage is not an issue here.

12. Key Takeaways from Amkor’s Q4 Results

It was good to see Amkor beat analysts’ EPS expectations this quarter. We were also glad its revenue guidance for next quarter exceeded Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its inventory levels materially increased. Zooming out, we think this quarter featured some important positives. The stock traded up 1.8% to $53.54 immediately after reporting.

13. Is Now The Time To Buy Amkor?

Updated: February 9, 2026 at 9:23 PM EST

Before investing in or passing on Amkor, we urge you to understand the company’s business quality (or lack thereof), valuation, and the latest quarterly results - in that order.

We cheer for all companies solving complex technology issues, but in the case of Amkor, we’ll be cheering from the sidelines. Although its revenue growth was mediocre over the last five years and is expected to accelerate over the next 12 months, its low free cash flow margins give it little breathing room. On top of that, the company’s low gross margins indicate some combination of pricing pressures or rising production costs.

Amkor’s P/E ratio based on the next 12 months is 30.6x. At this valuation, there’s a lot of good news priced in - you can find more timely opportunities elsewhere.

Wall Street analysts have a consensus one-year price target of $44.75 on the company (compared to the current share price of $53.56), implying they don’t see much short-term potential in Amkor.