Amkor (AMKR)

Underperform
Amkor doesn’t excite us. Its underwhelming revenue growth and failure to generate meaningful free cash flow is a concerning trend. StockStory Analyst Team
Adam Hejl, CEO & Founder
Kayode Omotosho, Equity Analyst

2. Summary

Underperform

Why We Think Amkor Will Underperform

Operating through a largely Asian facility footprint, Amkor Technologies (NASDAQ:AMKR) provides outsourced packaging and testing for semiconductors.

  • High input costs result in an inferior gross margin of 14.2% that must be offset through higher volumes
  • Lacking free cash flow limits its freedom to invest in growth initiatives, execute share buybacks, or pay dividends
  • On the plus side, its 5.8% annual revenue growth over the last five years was better than the sector average, highlighting the value of its products and services
Amkor’s quality isn’t great. We see more favorable opportunities in the market.
StockStory Analyst Team

Why There Are Better Opportunities Than Amkor

At $43.21 per share, Amkor trades at 28.4x forward P/E. This multiple is lower than most semiconductor companies, but for good reason.

Cheap stocks can look like a great deal at first glance, but they can be value traps. They often have less earnings power, meaning there is more reliance on a re-rating to generate good returns - an unlikely scenario for low-quality companies.

3. Amkor (AMKR) Research Report: Q3 CY2025 Update

Semiconductor packaging and testing company Amkor Technology (NASDAQ:AMKR) reported Q3 CY2025 results topping the market’s revenue expectations, with sales up 6.7% year on year to $1.99 billion. On the other hand, next quarter’s revenue guidance of $1.83 billion was less impressive, coming in 1.2% below analysts’ estimates. Its GAAP profit of $0.51 per share was 20.7% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Amkor (AMKR) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.99 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.94 billion (6.7% year-on-year growth, 2.6% beat)
  • EPS (GAAP): $0.51 vs analyst estimates of $0.42 (20.7% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $340 million vs analyst estimates of $315.5 million (17.1% margin, 7.8% beat)
  • Revenue Guidance for Q4 CY2025 is $1.83 billion at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $1.85 billion
  • EPS (GAAP) guidance for Q4 CY2025 is $0.43 at the midpoint, beating analyst estimates by 3.8%
  • Operating Margin: 8%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow was -$77.93 million compared to -$31.33 million in the same quarter last year
  • Inventory Days Outstanding: 21, down from 26 in the previous quarter
  • Market Capitalization: $8.10 billion

Company Overview

Operating through a largely Asian facility footprint, Amkor Technologies (NASDAQ:AMKR) provides outsourced packaging and testing for semiconductors.

Although headquartered in the US, Amkor was founded in South Korea in 1968. When the company began shipping to US customers in 1970, these shipments constituted Korea’s first semiconductor exports. The company went public in 1998.

Semiconductor manufacturing begins with a silicon wafer upon which circuit patterns are transferred. The fabricated material (the die) is then separated (dicing), typically using automation and precision tools such as lasers. Packaging comes next and serves three key purposes: connects the chip to an external environment (e.g. a circuit board), protects the chips against physical damage, and dissipates excess heat.

Amkor’s customers are semiconductor foundries (manufacturers), fabless semiconductor companies (designers who outsource manufacturing), and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). The company’s packaging aims to meet customers’ requirements for size, electrical and mechanical performance, and interconnect technology (wiring systems to connect chips). For example, one of Amkor’s key packaging offerings is the ‘Flip-Chip Chip Scale Package’, where the package is no larger than the chip. This supports increasingly small form factors found in smartphones, tablets and other mobile devices. In addition to packaging, Amkor also offers testing services to ensure that semiconductors are defect-free and meet specifications before being deployed or sold.

Other companies offering outsourced semiconductor packaging and testing services include ASE Technology (TWSE:3711), Powertech Technology (TWSE:6239), and Siliconware Technology.

4. Revenue Growth

A company’s top-line performance is one signal of its overall business quality. Strong growth can indicate it’s riding a successful new product or emerging trend. Amkor struggled to generate demand over the last two years as its sales dropped by 1.6% annually, a rough starting point for our analysis. Semiconductors are a cyclical industry, and long-term investors should be prepared for periods of high growth followed by periods of revenue contractions.

Amkor Quarterly Revenue

Long-term growth is the most important, but short-term results matter for semiconductors because the rapid pace of technological innovation (Moore's Law) could make yesterday's hit product obsolete today. Amkor’s performance shows it grew in the past but relinquished its gains over the last two years, as its revenue fell by 1.6% annually. Amkor Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

This quarter, Amkor reported year-on-year revenue growth of 6.7%, and its $1.99 billion of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 2.6%. Company management is currently guiding for a 12% year-on-year increase in sales next quarter.

Looking further ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 9.6% over the next 12 months. Although this projection implies its newer products and services will catalyze better top-line performance, it is still below average for the sector.

5. Product Demand & Outstanding Inventory

Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO) is an important metric for chipmakers, as it reflects a business’ capital intensity and the cyclical nature of semiconductor supply and demand. In a tight supply environment, inventories tend to be stable, allowing chipmakers to exert pricing power. Steadily increasing DIO can be a warning sign that demand is weak, and if inventories continue to rise, the company may have to downsize production.

This quarter, Amkor’s DIO came in at 21, which is 9 days below its five-year average. At the moment, these numbers show no indication of an excessive inventory buildup.

Amkor Inventory Days Outstanding

6. Gross Margin & Pricing Power

Gross profit margin is a key metric to track because it shows how much money a semiconductor company gets to keep after paying for its raw materials, manufacturing, and other input costs.

Amkor’s gross margin is one of the worst in the semiconductor industry, signaling it operates in a competitive market and lacks pricing power. As you can see below, it averaged a 14.2% gross margin over the last two years. That means Amkor paid its suppliers a lot of money ($85.75 for every $100 in revenue) to run its business. Amkor Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin

Amkor produced a 14.3% gross profit margin in Q3, in line with the same quarter last year. On a wider time horizon, Amkor’s full-year margin has been trending down over the past 12 months, decreasing by 1.5 percentage points. If this move continues, it could suggest a more competitive environment with some pressure to lower prices and higher input costs (such as raw materials and manufacturing expenses).

7. Operating Margin

Amkor was profitable over the last two years but held back by its large cost base. Its average operating margin of 6.8% was weak for a semiconductor business. This result isn’t too surprising given its low gross margin as a starting point.

Looking at the trend in its profitability, Amkor’s operating margin decreased by 5.1 percentage points over the last five years. This raises questions about the company’s expense base because its revenue growth should have given it leverage on its fixed costs, resulting in better economies of scale and profitability. Amkor’s performance was poor no matter how you look at it - it shows that costs were rising and it couldn’t pass them onto its customers.

Amkor Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

This quarter, Amkor generated an operating margin profit margin of 8%, in line with the same quarter last year. This indicates the company’s cost structure has recently been stable.

8. Earnings Per Share

Revenue trends explain a company’s historical growth, but the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) points to the profitability of that growth – for example, a company could inflate its sales through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

Amkor’s flat EPS over the last five years was below its 5.8% annualized revenue growth. This tells us the company became less profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Amkor Trailing 12-Month EPS (GAAP)

We can take a deeper look into Amkor’s earnings to better understand the drivers of its performance. As we mentioned earlier, Amkor’s operating margin was flat this quarter but declined by 5.1 percentage points over the last five years. Its share count also grew by 2.4%, meaning the company not only became less efficient with its operating expenses but also diluted its shareholders. Amkor Diluted Shares Outstanding

In Q3, Amkor reported EPS of $0.51, up from $0.49 in the same quarter last year. This print easily cleared analysts’ estimates, and shareholders should be content with the results. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Amkor’s full-year EPS of $1.25 to grow 24%.

9. Cash Is King

Although earnings are undoubtedly valuable for assessing company performance, we believe cash is king because you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

Amkor has shown poor cash profitability over the last two years, giving the company limited opportunities to return capital to shareholders. Its free cash flow margin averaged 5.1%, lousy for a semiconductor business.

Taking a step back, we can see that Amkor failed to improve its margin over the last five years. Its unexciting margin and trend likely have shareholders hoping for a change.

Amkor Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

Amkor burned through $77.93 million of cash in Q3, equivalent to a negative 3.9% margin. The company’s cash burn increased from $31.33 million of lost cash in the same quarter last year. These numbers deviate from its longer-term margin, indicating it is a seasonal business that must build up inventory during certain quarters.

10. Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

EPS and free cash flow tell us whether a company was profitable while growing its revenue. But was it capital-efficient? A company’s ROIC explains this by showing how much operating profit it makes compared to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Amkor historically did a mediocre job investing in profitable growth initiatives. Its five-year average ROIC was 15.4%, somewhat low compared to the best semiconductor companies that consistently pump out 35%+.

Amkor Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

11. Balance Sheet Assessment

One of the best ways to mitigate bankruptcy risk is to hold more cash than debt.

Amkor Net Cash Position

Amkor is a profitable, well-capitalized company with $2.11 billion of cash and $1.89 billion of debt on its balance sheet. This $219.3 million net cash position is 2.7% of its market cap and gives it the freedom to borrow money, return capital to shareholders, or invest in growth initiatives. Leverage is not an issue here.

12. Key Takeaways from Amkor’s Q3 Results

We were impressed by Amkor’s strong improvement in inventory levels. We were also glad its EPS outperformed Wall Street’s estimates and EPS guidance beat. On the other hand, its revenue guidance for next quarter slightly missed. Overall, this print was mixed. The stock remained flat at $32.90 immediately after reporting.

13. Is Now The Time To Buy Amkor?

Updated: December 3, 2025 at 9:36 PM EST

The latest quarterly earnings matters, sure, but we actually think longer-term fundamentals and valuation matter more. Investors should consider all these pieces before deciding whether or not to invest in Amkor.

Amkor’s business quality ultimately falls short of our standards. Although its revenue growth was mediocre over the last five years and is expected to accelerate over the next 12 months, its low gross margins indicate some combination of pricing pressures or rising production costs. And while the company’s failed to improve its cash profitability over the last five years, the downside is its low free cash flow margins give it little breathing room.

Amkor’s P/E ratio based on the next 12 months is 26.3x. Beauty is in the eye of the beholder, but we don’t really see a big opportunity at the moment. We're pretty confident there are more exciting stocks to buy at the moment.

Wall Street analysts have a consensus one-year price target of $36.44 on the company (compared to the current share price of $43.78), implying they don’t see much short-term potential in Amkor.