DoorDash (DASH)

High QualityTimely Buy
DoorDash is an amazing business. Its ability to balance growth and profitability while maintaining a bright outlook makes it a gem. StockStory Analyst Team
Adam Hejl, CEO & Founder
Kayode Omotosho, Equity Analyst

2. Summary

High QualityTimely Buy

Why We Like DoorDash

Founded by Stanford students with the intent to build “the local, on-demand FedEx", DoorDash (NYSE:DASH) operates an on-demand food delivery platform.

  • Exciting sales outlook for the upcoming 12 months calls for 35.7% growth, an acceleration from its three-year trend
  • Orders have increased by an average of 20.2% annually, giving it the potential for margin-accretive growth if it can develop valuable complementary products and features
  • Performance over the past three years shows its incremental sales were extremely profitable, as its annual earnings per share growth of 1,009% outpaced its revenue gains
DoorDash is a no-brainer. The price seems reasonable in light of its quality, and we think now is an opportune time to invest.
StockStory Analyst Team

Why Is Now The Time To Buy DoorDash?

DoorDash’s stock price of $161.72 implies a valuation ratio of 20.4x forward EV/EBITDA. Scanning the consumer internet landscape, we think this multiple is reasonable - arguably even attractive - for the quality you get.

By definition, where you buy a stock impacts returns. Compared to entry price, business quality matters much more for long-term market outperformance. Buying in at a great price helps, nevertheless.

3. DoorDash (DASH) Research Report: Q4 CY2025 Update

On-demand food delivery service DoorDash (NYSE:DASH) missed Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q4 CY2025, but sales rose 37.7% year on year to $3.96 billion. Its GAAP profit of $0.48 per share was 17.7% below analysts’ consensus estimates.

DoorDash (DASH) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $3.96 billion vs analyst estimates of $4.00 billion (37.7% year-on-year growth, 1.1% miss)
  • EPS (GAAP): $0.48 vs analyst expectations of $0.58 (17.7% miss)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $780 million vs analyst estimates of $773.6 million (19.7% margin, 0.8% beat)
  • EBITDA guidance for Q1 CY2026 is $725 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $800.3 million
  • Operating Margin: 3.7%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow Margin: 6.4%, down from 21% in the previous quarter
  • Orders: 903 million, up 218 million year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $69.97 billion

Company Overview

Founded by Stanford students with the intent to build “the local, on-demand FedEx", DoorDash (NYSE:DASH) operates an on-demand food delivery platform.

The company's main product is a mobile application that allows customers to order food from restaurants and have it delivered to their doorstep. Called Marketplace, this platform involves 3 stakeholders: the consumer, the merchant (the restaurant), and the Dasher (the delivery person).

For consumers, DoorDash enables digital ordering that is convenient and addresses the errors that can occur when ordering by phone. For merchants, DoorDash expands the addressable market through efficient customer acquisition. Online ordering has been shown to increase retention and the ability to press “reorder” can remove decision paralysis.

DoorDash generates revenue by charging restaurants a commission for each order on the platform. The company also charges customers a delivery fee and may impose other fees.

The company has also introduced new products to cover different use cases for restaurants that may have their own ordering platforms or want to brand a white-label service. For consumers, DoorDash has the DashPass, which is a subscription product with free unlimited delivery and other perks that aim to increase ordering frequency and eliminate the pesky delivery fees that give users pause.

4. Gig Economy

The iPhone changed the world, ushering in the era of the “always-on” internet and “on-demand” services - anything someone could want is just a few taps away. Likewise, the gig economy sprang up in a similar fashion, with a proliferation of tech-enabled freelance labor marketplaces, which work hand and hand with many on demand services. Individuals can now work on demand too. What began with tech-enabled platforms that aggregated riders and drivers has expanded over the past decade to include food delivery, groceries, and now even a plumber or graphic designer are all just a few taps away.

DoorDash competes in food delivery with UberEats (owned by Uber, NYSE:UBER), Just Eat Takeaway (ENXTAM:TKWY), and Delivery Hero (XTRA:DHER).

5. Revenue Growth

A company’s long-term sales performance is one signal of its overall quality. Even a bad business can shine for one or two quarters, but a top-tier one grows for years. Thankfully, DoorDash’s 27.7% annualized revenue growth over the last three years was exceptional. Its growth surpassed the average consumer internet company and shows its offerings resonate with customers, a great starting point for our analysis.

DoorDash Quarterly Revenue

This quarter, DoorDash pulled off a wonderful 37.7% year-on-year revenue growth rate, but its $3.96 billion of revenue fell short of Wall Street’s rosy estimates.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 31.2% over the next 12 months, an acceleration versus the last three years. This projection is eye-popping for a company of its scale and suggests its newer products and services will fuel better top-line performance.

6. Orders

Request Growth

As a gig economy marketplace, DoorDash generates revenue growth by expanding the number of services on its platform (e.g. rides, deliveries, freelance jobs) and raising the commission fee from each service provided.

Over the last two years, DoorDash’s orders, a key performance metric for the company, increased by 22% annually to 903 million in the latest quarter. This growth rate is among the fastest of any consumer internet business and indicates its offerings have significant traction. DoorDash Orders

In Q4, DoorDash added 218 million orders, leading to 31.8% year-on-year growth. The quarterly print was higher than its two-year result, suggesting its new initiatives are accelerating request growth.

Revenue Per Request

Average revenue per request (ARPR) is a critical metric to track because it measures how much the company earns in transaction fees from each request. This number also informs us about DoorDash’s take rate, which represents its pricing leverage over the ecosystem, or "cut" from each transaction.

DoorDash’s ARPR growth has been mediocre over the last two years, averaging 4.2%. This isn’t great, but the increase in orders is more relevant for assessing long-term business potential. We’ll monitor the situation closely; if DoorDash tries boosting ARPR by taking a more aggressive approach to monetization, it’s unclear whether requests can continue growing at the current pace. DoorDash ARPR

This quarter, DoorDash’s ARPR clocked in at $4.38. It grew by 4.4% year on year, slower than its request growth.

7. Gross Margin & Pricing Power

For gig economy businesses like DoorDash, gross profit tells us how much money the company gets to keep after covering the base cost of its products and services, which typically include server hosting, customer support, and payment processing fees. Another cost of revenue could also be insurance to protect against liabilities arising from providing transportation, housing, or freelance work services.

DoorDash’s gross margin is slightly below the average consumer internet company, giving it less room to invest in areas such as product and marketing to grow its presence. As you can see below, it averaged a 50.2% gross margin over the last two years. That means DoorDash paid its providers a lot of money ($49.76 for every $100 in revenue) to run its business. DoorDash Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin

DoorDash produced a 51.1% gross profit margin in Q4, down 2.5 percentage points year on year. On a wider time horizon, however, DoorDash’s full-year margin has been trending up over the past 12 months, increasing by 1.5 percentage points. If this move continues, it could suggest better unit economics due to more leverage from its growing sales on the fixed portion of its cost of goods sold (such as servers).

8. User Acquisition Efficiency

Consumer internet businesses like DoorDash grow from a combination of product virality, paid advertisement, and incentives (unlike enterprise software products, which are often sold by dedicated sales teams).

DoorDash is efficient at acquiring new users, spending 35.6% of its gross profit on sales and marketing expenses over the last year. This efficiency indicates relatively solid competitive positioning, giving DoorDash the freedom to invest its resources into new growth initiatives. DoorDash User Acquisition Efficiency

9. EBITDA

Operating income is often evaluated to assess a company’s underlying profitability. In a similar vein, EBITDA is used to analyze consumer internet companies because it excludes various one-time or non-cash expenses (depreciation), providing a clearer view of the business’s profit potential.

DoorDash has been a well-oiled machine over the last two years. It demonstrated elite profitability for a consumer internet business, boasting an average EBITDA margin of 19.1%. This result was particularly impressive because of its low gross margin, which is mostly a factor of what it sells and takes huge shifts to move meaningfully. Companies have more control over their operating margins, and it’s a show of well-managed operations if they’re high when gross margins are low.

Analyzing the trend in its profitability, DoorDash’s EBITDA margin rose by 14.8 percentage points over the last few years, as its sales growth gave it operating leverage.

DoorDash Trailing 12-Month EBITDA Margin

In Q4, DoorDash generated an EBITDA margin profit margin of 19.7%, in line with the same quarter last year. This indicates the company’s cost structure has recently been stable.

10. Earnings Per Share

Revenue trends explain a company’s historical growth, but the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) points to the profitability of that growth – for example, a company could inflate its sales through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

DoorDash’s full-year EPS flipped from negative to positive over the last three years. This is a good sign and shows it’s at an inflection point.

DoorDash Trailing 12-Month EPS (GAAP)

In Q4, DoorDash reported EPS of $0.48, up from $0.33 in the same quarter last year. Despite growing year on year, this print missed analysts’ estimates, but we care more about long-term EPS growth than short-term movements. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects DoorDash’s full-year EPS of $2.13 to grow 46.9%.

11. Cash Is King

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

DoorDash has shown robust cash profitability, driven by its cost-effective customer acquisition strategy that enables it to invest in new products and services rather than sales and marketing. The company’s free cash flow margin averaged 14.8% over the last two years, quite impressive for a consumer internet business.

Taking a step back, we can see that DoorDash’s margin expanded by 13 percentage points over the last few years. This is encouraging because it gives the company more optionality.

DoorDash Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

DoorDash’s free cash flow clocked in at $254 million in Q4, equivalent to a 6.4% margin. The company’s cash profitability regressed as it was 8.2 percentage points lower than in the same quarter last year, but we wouldn’t put too much weight on the short term because investment needs can be seasonal, causing temporary swings. Long-term trends are more important.

12. Balance Sheet Assessment

Companies with more cash than debt have lower bankruptcy risk.

DoorDash Net Cash Position

DoorDash is a profitable, well-capitalized company with $5.78 billion of cash and $3.29 billion of debt on its balance sheet. This $2.49 billion net cash position is 3.6% of its market cap and gives it the freedom to borrow money, return capital to shareholders, or invest in growth initiatives. Leverage is not an issue here.

13. Key Takeaways from DoorDash’s Q4 Results

We were very impressed by DoorDash’s number of requests this quarter. We were also happy its EBITDA narrowly outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its revenue slightly missed and its EBITDA guidance for next quarter fell short of Wall Street’s estimates. Overall, this quarter could have been better. The stock traded down 2.1% to $170.26 immediately after reporting.

14. Is Now The Time To Buy DoorDash?

Updated: February 18, 2026 at 4:45 PM EST

Before investing in or passing on DoorDash, we urge you to understand the company’s business quality (or lack thereof), valuation, and the latest quarterly results - in that order.

DoorDash is one of the best consumer internet companies out there. For starters, its revenue growth was exceptional over the last three years and is expected to accelerate over the next 12 months. On top of that, its rising cash profitability gives it more optionality, and its EPS growth over the last three years has been fantastic.

DoorDash’s EV/EBITDA ratio based on the next 12 months is 20.4x. Scanning the consumer internet landscape today, DoorDash’s fundamentals clearly illustrate that it’s an elite business, and we like it at this price.

Wall Street analysts have a consensus one-year price target of $272.07 on the company (compared to the current share price of $170.26), implying they see 59.7% upside in buying DoorDash in the short term.