Huntington Ingalls (HII)

Aerospace and defense company Huntington Ingalls (NYSE:HII) reported Q4 CY2025 results exceeding the market’s revenue expectations, with sales up 15.7% year on year to $3.48 billion. Its GAAP profit of $4.04 per share was 3.7% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Company Overview

Building Nimitz-class aircraft carriers used in active service, Huntington Ingalls (NYSE:HII) develops marine vessels and their mission systems and maintenance services.

Defense contractors typically require technical expertise and government clearance. Companies in this sector can also enjoy long-term contracts with government bodies, leading to more predictable revenues. Combined, these factors create high barriers to entry and can lead to limited competition. Lately, geopolitical tensions–whether it be Russia’s invasion of Ukraine or China’s aggression towards Taiwan–highlight the need for defense spending. On the other hand, demand for these products can ebb and flow with defense budgets and even who is president, as different administrations can have vastly different ideas of how to allocate federal funds.

Huntington Ingalls’ peers and competitors include Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT), Raytheon (NYSE:RTX), and General Dynamics (NYSE:GD)

A company’s long-term performance is an indicator of its overall quality. Even a bad business can shine for one or two quarters, but a top-tier one grows for years. Over the last five years, Huntington Ingalls grew its sales at a tepid 5.9% compounded annual growth rate. This was below our standard for the industrials sector and is a rough starting point for our analysis.

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within industrials, a half-decade historical view may miss cycles, industry trends, or a company capitalizing on catalysts such as a new contract win or a successful product line. Huntington Ingalls’s recent performance shows its demand has slowed as its annualized revenue growth of 4.4% over the last two years was below its five-year trend.

This quarter, Huntington Ingalls reported year-on-year revenue growth of 15.7%, and its $3.48 billion of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 12.7%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 1.9% over the next 12 months, a slight deceleration versus the last two years. This projection is underwhelming and indicates its products and services will see some demand headwinds.

Huntington Ingalls’s operating margin might fluctuated slightly over the last 12 months but has generally stayed the same, averaging 5.5% over the last five years. This profitability was paltry for an industrials business and caused by its suboptimal cost structure.

Analyzing the trend in its profitability, Huntington Ingalls’s operating margin might fluctuated slightly but has generally stayed the same over the last five years. This raises questions about the company’s expense base because its revenue growth should have given it leverage on its fixed costs, resulting in better economies of scale and profitability.

In Q4, Huntington Ingalls generated an operating margin profit margin of 4.9%, up 1.3 percentage points year on year. This increase was a welcome development and shows it was more efficient.

Revenue trends explain a company’s historical growth, but the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) points to the profitability of that growth – for example, a company could inflate its sales through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

Sadly for Huntington Ingalls, its EPS declined by 2.1% annually over the last five years while its revenue grew by 5.9%. However, its operating margin didn’t change during this time, telling us that non-fundamental factors such as interest and taxes affected its ultimate earnings.

Like with revenue, we analyze EPS over a shorter period to see if we are missing a change in the business.

For Huntington Ingalls, its two-year annual EPS declines of 5.2% show it’s continued to underperform. These results were bad no matter how you slice the data.

In Q4, Huntington Ingalls reported EPS of $4.04, up from $3.15 in the same quarter last year. This print beat analysts’ estimates by 3.7%. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Huntington Ingalls’s full-year EPS of $15.37 to grow 16%.

Although earnings are undoubtedly valuable for assessing company performance, we believe cash is king because you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

Huntington Ingalls has shown weak cash profitability over the last five years, giving the company limited opportunities to return capital to shareholders. Its free cash flow margin averaged 4.4%, subpar for an industrials business.

Taking a step back, an encouraging sign is that Huntington Ingalls’s margin expanded by 1.7 percentage points during that time. The company’s improvement shows it’s heading in the right direction, and we can see it became a less capital-intensive business because its free cash flow profitability rose while its operating profitability was flat.

Huntington Ingalls’s free cash flow clocked in at $516 million in Q4, equivalent to a 14.8% margin. This result was good as its margin was 5.6 percentage points higher than in the same quarter last year, building on its favorable historical trend.

EPS and free cash flow tell us whether a company was profitable while growing its revenue. But was it capital-efficient? A company’s ROIC explains this by showing how much operating profit it makes compared to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Huntington Ingalls historically did a mediocre job investing in profitable growth initiatives. Its five-year average ROIC was 8.1%, somewhat low compared to the best industrials companies that consistently pump out 20%+.

We like to invest in businesses with high returns, but the trend in a company’s ROIC is what often surprises the market and moves the stock price. Unfortunately, Huntington Ingalls’s ROIC averaged 2.5 percentage point decreases each year over the last few years. Paired with its already low returns, these declines suggest its profitable growth opportunities are few and far between.

We were impressed by how significantly Huntington Ingalls blew past analysts’ revenue expectations this quarter. We were also glad its EPS outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. Zooming out, we think this was a solid print. The market seemed to be hoping for more, and the stock traded down 10.7% to $368.93 immediately following the results.

Updated: February 5, 2026 at 7:42 AM EST

The latest quarterly earnings matters, sure, but we actually think longer-term fundamentals and valuation matter more. Investors should consider all these pieces before deciding whether or not to invest in Huntington Ingalls.

We see the value of companies helping their customers, but in the case of Huntington Ingalls, we’re out. To begin with, its revenue growth was uninspiring over the last five years, and analysts expect its demand to deteriorate over the next 12 months. And while its projected EPS for the next year implies the company’s fundamentals will improve, the downside is its declining EPS over the last five years makes it a less attractive asset to the public markets. On top of that, its diminishing returns show management's prior bets haven't worked out.

Huntington Ingalls’s P/E ratio based on the next 12 months is 23.2x. At this valuation, there’s a lot of good news priced in - you can find more timely opportunities elsewhere.

Wall Street analysts have a consensus one-year price target of $380.60 on the company (compared to the current share price of $368.93).