Vulcan Materials (VMC)

Underperform
We aren’t fans of Vulcan Materials. Its low returns on capital raise concerns about its ability to deliver profits, a must for quality companies. StockStory Analyst Team
Anthony Lee, Lead Equity Analyst
Kayode Omotosho, Equity Analyst

2. Summary

Underperform

Why Vulcan Materials Is Not Exciting

Founded in 1909, Vulcan Materials (NYSE:VMC) is a producer of construction aggregates, primarily crushed stone, sand, and gravel.

  • Number of tons shipped has disappointed over the past two years, indicating weak demand for its offerings
  • Anticipated sales growth of 4% for the next year implies demand will be shaky
  • One positive is that its successful business model is illustrated by its impressive operating margin, and it turbocharged its profits by achieving some fixed cost leverage
Vulcan Materials doesn’t meet our quality criteria. We’re hunting for superior stocks elsewhere.
StockStory Analyst Team

Why There Are Better Opportunities Than Vulcan Materials

Vulcan Materials’s stock price of $292.59 implies a valuation ratio of 30.8x forward P/E. This multiple is higher than that of industrials peers; it’s also rich for the business quality. Not a great combination.

We’d rather invest in similarly-priced but higher-quality companies with more reliable earnings growth.

3. Vulcan Materials (VMC) Research Report: Q3 CY2025 Update

Construction materials company Vulcan Materials (NYSE:VMC) reported revenue ahead of Wall Streets expectations in Q3 CY2025, with sales up 14.4% year on year to $2.29 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $2.84 per share was 4.5% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Vulcan Materials (VMC) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $2.29 billion vs analyst estimates of $2.27 billion (14.4% year-on-year growth, 0.8% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $2.84 vs analyst estimates of $2.72 (4.5% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $735.2 million vs analyst estimates of $718.9 million (32.1% margin, 2.3% beat)
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $2.4 billion at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $2.43 billion
  • Operating Margin: 23.7%, up from 16.8% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow Margin: 19.8%, down from 24.9% in the same quarter last year
  • Tons Shipped: 64.7 million, up 7 million year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $38.97 billion

Company Overview

Founded in 1909, Vulcan Materials (NYSE:VMC) is a producer of construction aggregates, primarily crushed stone, sand, and gravel.

Vulcan Materials was established as the Birmingham Slag Company initially producing construction aggregates through the processing of slag from steel mills. The company expanded over the decades by acquiring numerous aggregates-related businesses, ultimately changing its name to Vulcan Materials in 1956 to reflect its growing range of construction material products.

Today, Vulcan Materials is a supplier of essential construction materials, particularly focusing on products used in building critical infrastructure like roads, bridges, and airports, as well as various community facilities such as hospitals and schools. The company’s offerings encompass construction aggregates, including gravel, sand, and crushed stone, vital for foundational and structural projects. Vulcan also provides asphalt and ready-mixed concrete, essential for numerous construction applications from paving highways to constructing commercial buildings. Additionally, Vulcan's produces calcium carbonate used in animal feed, plastics, and water treatment industries.

Vulcan Materials generates revenue through the sale of construction aggregates, asphalt, concrete, and calcium products primarily in the United States. Their revenue streams are bolstered by a combination of direct sales to construction companies, infrastructure projects, and through distribution channels that include retailers and wholesalers.

Vulcan serves a diverse customer base in both public and private sectors. The demand for their products is influenced by long-term factors such as population growth, infrastructure investment, and economic cycles. In the public sector, projects like highways and bridges provide steady demand due to consistent government funding, making it less susceptible to economic fluctuations compared to the private sector. Private sector demand, covering residential and nonresidential construction, varies more with the economic climate, driven by factors like job growth, demographic trends, and the availability of financing. Overall, Vulcan's market positioning allows it to capitalize on long-term growth trends in regions with rising construction needs.

4. Building Materials

Traditionally, building materials companies have built competitive advantages with economies of scale, brand recognition, and strong relationships with builders and contractors. More recently, advances to address labor availability and job site productivity have spurred innovation. Additionally, companies in the space that can produce more energy-efficient materials have opportunities to take share. However, these companies are at the whim of construction volumes, which tend to be cyclical and can be impacted heavily by economic factors such as interest rates. Additionally, the costs of raw materials can be driven by a myriad of worldwide factors and greatly influence the profitability of building materials companies.

Competitors in the construction materials industry include Martin Marietta (NYSE:MLM), Eagle Materials (NYSE:EXP), and CEMEX (NYSE:CX)

5. Revenue Growth

Examining a company’s long-term performance can provide clues about its quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years. Luckily, Vulcan Materials’s sales grew at a solid 10.1% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. Its growth beat the average industrials company and shows its offerings resonate with customers.

Vulcan Materials Quarterly Revenue

Long-term growth is the most important, but within industrials, a half-decade historical view may miss new industry trends or demand cycles. Vulcan Materials’s recent performance shows its demand has slowed as its annualized revenue growth of 1.3% over the last two years was below its five-year trend. Vulcan Materials Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

Vulcan Materials also discloses its number of tons shipped, which reached 64.7 million in the latest quarter. Over the last two years, Vulcan Materials’s tons shipped averaged 1.6% year-on-year declines. Because this number is lower than its revenue growth during the same period, we can see the company’s monetization has risen. Vulcan Materials Tons Shipped

This quarter, Vulcan Materials reported year-on-year revenue growth of 14.4%, and its $2.29 billion of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 0.8%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 8.3% over the next 12 months, an improvement versus the last two years. This projection is above the sector average and implies its newer products and services will fuel better top-line performance.

6. Gross Margin & Pricing Power

For industrials businesses, cost of sales is usually comprised of the direct labor, raw materials, and supplies needed to offer a product or service. These costs can be impacted by inflation and supply chain dynamics in the short term and a company’s purchasing power and scale over the long term.

Vulcan Materials has bad unit economics for an industrials company, giving it less room to reinvest and develop new offerings. As you can see below, it averaged a 25.2% gross margin over the last five years. Said differently, Vulcan Materials had to pay a chunky $74.82 to its suppliers for every $100 in revenue. Vulcan Materials Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin

This quarter, Vulcan Materials’s gross profit margin was 30.4%, up 2.2 percentage points year on year. Vulcan Materials’s full-year margin has also been trending up over the past 12 months, increasing by 2.1 percentage points. If this move continues, it could suggest better unit economics due to more leverage from its growing sales on the fixed portion of its cost of goods sold (such as manufacturing expenses).

7. Operating Margin

Vulcan Materials has been a well-oiled machine over the last five years. It demonstrated elite profitability for an industrials business, boasting an average operating margin of 17.6%. This result was particularly impressive because of its low gross margin, which is mostly a factor of what it sells and takes huge shifts to move meaningfully. Companies have more control over their operating margins, and it’s a show of well-managed operations if they’re high when gross margins are low.

Looking at the trend in its profitability, Vulcan Materials’s operating margin rose by 1.4 percentage points over the last five years, as its sales growth gave it operating leverage.

Vulcan Materials Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

This quarter, Vulcan Materials generated an operating margin profit margin of 23.7%, up 6.9 percentage points year on year. The increase was solid, and because its operating margin rose more than its gross margin, we can infer it was more efficient with expenses such as marketing, R&D, and administrative overhead.

8. Earnings Per Share

Revenue trends explain a company’s historical growth, but the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) points to the profitability of that growth – for example, a company could inflate its sales through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

Vulcan Materials’s EPS grew at a remarkable 12.4% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, higher than its 10.1% annualized revenue growth. This tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Vulcan Materials Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

Diving into the nuances of Vulcan Materials’s earnings can give us a better understanding of its performance. As we mentioned earlier, Vulcan Materials’s operating margin expanded by 1.4 percentage points over the last five years. This was the most relevant factor (aside from the revenue impact) behind its higher earnings; interest expenses and taxes can also affect EPS but don’t tell us as much about a company’s fundamentals.

Like with revenue, we analyze EPS over a shorter period to see if we are missing a change in the business.

For Vulcan Materials, its two-year annual EPS growth of 13.1% is similar to its five-year trend, implying strong and stable earnings power.

In Q3, Vulcan Materials reported adjusted EPS of $2.84, up from $2.22 in the same quarter last year. This print beat analysts’ estimates by 4.5%. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Vulcan Materials’s full-year EPS of $8.46 to grow 13.5%.

9. Cash Is King

Although earnings are undoubtedly valuable for assessing company performance, we believe cash is king because you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

Vulcan Materials has shown robust cash profitability, enabling it to comfortably ride out cyclical downturns while investing in plenty of new offerings and returning capital to investors. The company’s free cash flow margin averaged 10% over the last five years, quite impressive for an industrials business.

Taking a step back, we can see that Vulcan Materials’s margin expanded by 1.6 percentage points during that time. This is encouraging because it gives the company more optionality.

Vulcan Materials Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

Vulcan Materials’s free cash flow clocked in at $454.8 million in Q3, equivalent to a 19.8% margin. The company’s cash profitability regressed as it was 5 percentage points lower than in the same quarter last year, but it’s still above its five-year average. We wouldn’t read too much into this quarter’s decline because capital expenditures can be seasonal and companies often stockpile inventory in anticipation of higher demand, leading to short-term swings. Long-term trends trump temporary fluctuations.

10. Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

EPS and free cash flow tell us whether a company was profitable while growing its revenue. But was it capital-efficient? A company’s ROIC explains this by showing how much operating profit it makes compared to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Vulcan Materials historically did a mediocre job investing in profitable growth initiatives. Its five-year average ROIC was 9.5%, somewhat low compared to the best industrials companies that consistently pump out 20%+.

Vulcan Materials Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

We like to invest in businesses with high returns, but the trend in a company’s ROIC is what often surprises the market and moves the stock price. Fortunately, Vulcan Materials’s ROIC averaged 2.1 percentage point increases over the last few years. This is a good sign, and if its returns keep rising, there’s a chance it could evolve into an investable business.

11. Balance Sheet Assessment

Vulcan Materials reported $191.3 million of cash and $4.87 billion of debt on its balance sheet in the most recent quarter. As investors in high-quality companies, we primarily focus on two things: 1) that a company’s debt level isn’t too high and 2) that its interest payments are not excessively burdening the business.

Vulcan Materials Net Debt Position

With $2.36 billion of EBITDA over the last 12 months, we view Vulcan Materials’s 2.0× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio as safe. We also see its $226.8 million of annual interest expenses as appropriate. The company’s profits give it plenty of breathing room, allowing it to continue investing in growth initiatives.

12. Key Takeaways from Vulcan Materials’s Q3 Results

It was encouraging to see Vulcan Materials beat analysts’ EBITDA expectations this quarter. We were also happy its revenue narrowly outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its full-year EBITDA guidance slightly missed. Zooming out, we think this was a mixed quarter. The stock remained flat at $295 immediately after reporting.

13. Is Now The Time To Buy Vulcan Materials?

Updated: December 4, 2025 at 10:46 PM EST

Before deciding whether to buy Vulcan Materials or pass, we urge investors to consider business quality, valuation, and the latest quarterly results.

There are some bright spots in Vulcan Materials’s fundamentals, but its business quality ultimately falls short. To kick things off, its revenue growth was solid over the last five years. And while Vulcan Materials’s gross margins are lower than its industrials peers, its impressive operating margins show it has a highly efficient business model.

Vulcan Materials’s P/E ratio based on the next 12 months is 31x. Investors with a higher risk tolerance might like the company, but we think the potential downside is too great. We're pretty confident there are superior stocks to buy right now.

Wall Street analysts have a consensus one-year price target of $317.70 on the company (compared to the current share price of $299.05).