Designer Brands (DBI)

Underperform
Designer Brands is up against the odds. Its low returns on capital and plummeting sales suggest it struggles to generate demand and profits, a red flag. StockStory Analyst Team
Adam Hejl, CEO & Founder
Kayode Omotosho, Equity Analyst

2. Summary

Underperform

Why We Think Designer Brands Will Underperform

Founded in 1969 as a shoe importer and distributor, Designer Brands (NYSE:DBI) is an American discount retailer focused on footwear and accessories.

  • Lagging same-store sales over the past two years suggest it might have to change its pricing and marketing strategy to stimulate demand
  • Underwhelming 3.2% return on capital reflects management’s difficulties in finding profitable growth opportunities, and its shrinking returns suggest its past profit sources are losing steam
  • 12× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio makes lenders less willing to extend additional capital, potentially necessitating dilutive equity offerings
Designer Brands doesn’t satisfy our quality benchmarks. We’re on the lookout for more interesting opportunities.
StockStory Analyst Team

Why There Are Better Opportunities Than Designer Brands

Designer Brands is trading at $4.69 per share, or 7.2x forward EV-to-EBITDA. This certainly seems like a cheap stock, but we think there are valid reasons why it trades this way.

Our advice is to pay up for elite businesses whose advantages are tailwinds to earnings growth. Don’t get sucked into lower-quality businesses just because they seem like bargains. These mediocre businesses often never achieve a higher multiple as hoped, a phenomenon known as a “value trap”.

3. Designer Brands (DBI) Research Report: Q2 CY2025 Update

Footwear and accessories discount retailer Designer Brands (NYSE:DBI) met Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q2 CY2025, but sales fell by 4.2% year on year to $739.8 million. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.34 per share was 52.2% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Designer Brands (DBI) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $739.8 million vs analyst estimates of $737.9 million (4.2% year-on-year decline, in line)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.34 vs analyst estimates of $0.22 (52.2% beat)
  • Operating Margin: 3.6%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Locations: 668 at quarter end, down from 676 in the same quarter last year
  • Same-Store Sales fell 5% year on year (-1.4% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $203.6 million

Company Overview

Founded in 1969 as a shoe importer and distributor, Designer Brands (NYSE:DBI) is an American discount retailer focused on footwear and accessories.

The company operates under various banners including DSW (Designer Shoe Warehouse), The Shoe Company, and Shoe Warehouse. In addition to footwear, Designer Brands also carries a broad selection of handbags. A customer can find Nike, Converse, Clarks and other shoe brands as well as Michael Kors, Kate Spade, and Marc Jacobs bags. Prices on this merchandise are typically meaningfully lower than prices at traditional department stores and other specialty retailers.

Designer Brands can offer these low prices because the company typically purchases overstocks, closeouts, and discontinued styles directly from manufacturers, as well as from other retailers and distributors ridding themselves of unwanted stock. The typical customer is therefore someone who cares about brands and fashion but loves a good deal and doesn’t mind somewhat inconsistent selection.

The company’s stores vary, but the average size across the different banners is roughly 20,000 square feet. They are generally located in shopping centers and malls alongside other retailers and are laid out with sections dedicated to different categories such as women's footwear, children's footwear, and women’s accessories. In addition to the physical store footprint, Designer Brands has an e-commerce site for each banner.

4. Footwear Retailer

Footwear sales–like their apparel counterparts–are driven by seasons, trends, and innovation more so than absolute need and similarly face the bigger-picture secular trend of e-commerce penetration. Footwear plays a part in societal belonging, personal expression, and occasion, and retailers selling shoes recognize this. Therefore, they aim to balance selection, competitive prices, and the latest trends to attract consumers. Unlike their apparel counterparts, footwear retailers most sell popular third-party brands (as opposed to their own exclusive brands), which could mean less exclusivity of product but more nimbleness to pivot to what’s hot.

Retail competitors offering discount or mid-priced footwear and accessories include Foot Locker (NYSE:FL), Genesco (NYSE:GCO), and TJX (NYSE:TJX).

5. Revenue Growth

A company’s long-term sales performance is one signal of its overall quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but the best consistently grow over the long haul.

With $2.92 billion in revenue over the past 12 months, Designer Brands is a small retailer, which sometimes brings disadvantages compared to larger competitors benefiting from economies of scale and negotiating leverage with suppliers.

As you can see below, Designer Brands struggled to generate demand over the last six years (we compare to 2019 to normalize for COVID-19 impacts). Its sales dropped by 2.5% annually despite opening new stores. This implies its underperformance was driven by lower sales at existing, established locations.

Designer Brands Quarterly Revenue

This quarter, Designer Brands reported a rather uninspiring 4.2% year-on-year revenue decline to $739.8 million of revenue, in line with Wall Street’s estimates.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to remain flat over the next 12 months. While this projection implies its newer products will catalyze better top-line performance, it is still below the sector average.

6. Store Performance

Number of Stores

A retailer’s store count often determines how much revenue it can generate.

Designer Brands sported 668 locations in the latest quarter. Over the last two years, it has opened new stores quickly, averaging 2.5% annual growth. This was faster than the broader consumer retail sector.

When a retailer opens new stores, it usually means it’s investing for growth because demand is greater than supply, especially in areas where consumers may not have a store within reasonable driving distance.

Designer Brands Operating Locations

Same-Store Sales

The change in a company's store base only tells one side of the story. The other is the performance of its existing locations and e-commerce sales, which informs management teams whether they should expand or downsize their physical footprints. Same-store sales provides a deeper understanding of this issue because it measures organic growth at brick-and-mortar shops for at least a year.

Designer Brands’s demand has been shrinking over the last two years as its same-store sales have averaged 4.5% annual declines. This performance is concerning - it shows Designer Brands artificially boosts its revenue by building new stores. We’d like to see a company’s same-store sales rise before it takes on the costly, capital-intensive endeavor of expanding its store base.

Designer Brands Same-Store Sales Growth

In the latest quarter, Designer Brands’s same-store sales fell by 5% year on year. This performance was more or less in line with its historical levels.

7. Gross Margin & Pricing Power

Gross profit margins are an important measure of a retailer’s pricing power, product differentiation, and negotiating leverage.

Designer Brands has great unit economics for a retailer, giving it ample room to invest in areas such as marketing and talent to grow its brand. As you can see below, it averaged an excellent 46.9% gross margin over the last two years. That means Designer Brands only paid its suppliers $53.12 for every $100 in revenue. Designer Brands Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin

This quarter, Designer Brands’s gross profit margin was 43.7%, up 10.9 percentage points year on year and in line with analysts’ estimates. Designer Brands’s full-year margin has also been trending up over the past 12 months, increasing by 2.6 percentage points. If this move continues, it could suggest the company has less pressure to discount products and is realizing better unit economics due to stable or shrinking input costs (such as labor and freight expenses to transport goods).

8. Operating Margin

Designer Brands’s operating margin might fluctuated slightly over the last 12 months but has remained more or less the same. The company broke even over the last two years, inadequate for a consumer retail business. Its large expense base and inefficient cost structure were the main culprits behind this performance.

Analyzing the trend in its profitability, Designer Brands’s operating margin might fluctuated slightly but has generally stayed the same over the last year, which doesn’t help its cause.

Designer Brands Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

This quarter, Designer Brands generated an operating margin profit margin of 3.6%, in line with the same quarter last year. This indicates the company’s cost structure has recently been stable.

9. Cash Is King

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

Designer Brands broke even from a free cash flow perspective over the last two years, giving the company limited opportunities to return capital to shareholders.

Designer Brands Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

10. Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

EPS and free cash flow tell us whether a company was profitable while growing its revenue. But was it capital-efficient? A company’s ROIC explains this by showing how much operating profit it makes compared to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Designer Brands historically did a mediocre job investing in profitable growth initiatives. Its five-year average ROIC was 3.3%, lower than the typical cost of capital (how much it costs to raise money) for consumer retail companies.

11. Balance Sheet Risk

Debt is a tool that can boost company returns but presents risks if used irresponsibly. As long-term investors, we aim to avoid companies taking excessive advantage of this instrument because it could lead to insolvency.

Designer Brands’s $1.32 billion of debt exceeds the $44.94 million of cash on its balance sheet. Furthermore, its 12× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio (based on its EBITDA of $110.5 million over the last 12 months) shows the company is overleveraged.

Designer Brands Net Debt Position

At this level of debt, incremental borrowing becomes increasingly expensive and credit agencies could downgrade the company’s rating if profitability falls. Designer Brands could also be backed into a corner if the market turns unexpectedly – a situation we seek to avoid as investors in high-quality companies.

We hope Designer Brands can improve its balance sheet and remain cautious until it increases its profitability or pays down its debt.

12. Key Takeaways from Designer Brands’s Q2 Results

It was good to see Designer Brands beat analysts’ EPS expectations this quarter. Overall, we think this was a decent quarter with some key metrics above expectations. The stock traded up 9.6% to $4.57 immediately after reporting.

13. Is Now The Time To Buy Designer Brands?

Updated: December 4, 2025 at 9:39 PM EST

The latest quarterly earnings matters, sure, but we actually think longer-term fundamentals and valuation matter more. Investors should consider all these pieces before deciding whether or not to invest in Designer Brands.

Designer Brands falls short of our quality standards. First off, its revenue has declined over the last three years. And while its gross margins are a strong starting point for the overall profitability of the business, the downside is its declining EPS over the last three years makes it a less attractive asset to the public markets. On top of that, its relatively low ROIC suggests management has struggled to find compelling investment opportunities.

Designer Brands’s EV-to-EBITDA ratio based on the next 12 months is 7.2x. While this valuation is optically cheap, the potential downside is huge given its shaky fundamentals. There are better stocks to buy right now.

Wall Street analysts have a consensus one-year price target of $4.75 on the company (compared to the current share price of $4.69).