Silgan Holdings (SLGN)

Underperform
We wouldn’t buy Silgan Holdings. Its weak sales growth and low returns on capital show it struggled to generate demand and profits. StockStory Analyst Team
Anthony Lee, Lead Equity Analyst
Kayode Omotosho, Equity Analyst

2. Summary

Underperform

Why We Think Silgan Holdings Will Underperform

Established in 1987, Silgan Holdings (NYSE:SLGN) is a supplier of rigid packaging for consumer goods products, specializing in metal containers, closures, and plastic packaging.

  • Absence of organic revenue growth over the past two years suggests it may have to lean into acquisitions to drive its expansion
  • High input costs result in an inferior gross margin of 16.8% that must be offset through higher volumes
  • Ability to fund investments or reward shareholders with increased buybacks or dividends is restricted by its weak free cash flow margin of 1.4% for the last five years
Silgan Holdings’s quality isn’t up to par. There’s a wealth of better opportunities.
StockStory Analyst Team

Why There Are Better Opportunities Than Silgan Holdings

Silgan Holdings is trading at $38.56 per share, or 10.5x forward P/E. Silgan Holdings’s valuation may seem like a bargain, especially when stacked up against other industrials companies. We remind you that you often get what you pay for, though.

Our advice is to pay up for elite businesses whose advantages are tailwinds to earnings growth. Don’t get sucked into lower-quality businesses just because they seem like bargains. These mediocre businesses often never achieve a higher multiple as hoped, a phenomenon known as a “value trap”.

3. Silgan Holdings (SLGN) Research Report: Q3 CY2025 Update

Rigid packaging solutions manufacturer Silgan Holdings (NYSE:SLGN) reported revenue ahead of Wall Streets expectations in Q3 CY2025, with sales up 15.1% year on year to $2.01 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $1.22 per share was in line with analysts’ consensus estimates.

Silgan Holdings (SLGN) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $2.01 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.92 billion (15.1% year-on-year growth, 4.4% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.22 vs analyst estimates of $1.22 (in line)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $281.6 million vs analyst estimates of $284.5 million (14% margin, 1% miss)
  • Management lowered its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $3.71 at the midpoint, a 6.1% decrease
  • Operating Margin: 9.9%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow Margin: 13%, down from 14.2% in the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $4.79 billion

Company Overview

Established in 1987, Silgan Holdings (NYSE:SLGN) is a supplier of rigid packaging for consumer goods products, specializing in metal containers, closures, and plastic packaging.

Founded in 1987 and headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, Silgan operates through three primary business segments: Dispensing and Specialty Closures, Metal Containers, and Custom Containers.

The Dispensing and Specialty Closures segment, is a worldwide manufacturer of dispensing systems and specialty closures for markets including fragrance and beauty, food, beverage, personal care, home care, and lawn and garden. This segment operates 40+ manufacturing facilities across North America, Europe, Asia, and South America, serving over 100 countries.

The Metal Containers segment is a leading manufacturer of metal containers in North America and Europe. In North America, Silgan claims to be the largest manufacturer of metal food containers with a market share of more than half. This segment operates 40+ manufacturing facilities in the United States, Europe, and Asia, serving over 50 countries.

The Custom Containers segment produces custom-designed plastic containers for markets such as food and beverage, consumer health and pharmaceutical, personal care, home care, and automotive. This segment operates 20+ manufacturing facilities in the United States and Canada.

The company employs various manufacturing processes across its segments, including compression and injection molding for closures, draw and iron or draw and redraw processes for metal containers, and extrusion blowmolding and injection blowmolding for custom containers.

4. Industrial Packaging

Industrial packaging companies have built competitive advantages from economies of scale that lead to advantaged purchasing and capital investments that are difficult and expensive to replicate. Recently, eco-friendly packaging and conservation are driving customers preferences and innovation. For example, plastic is not as desirable a material as it once was. Despite being integral to consumer goods ranging from beer to toothpaste to laundry detergent, these companies are still at the whim of the macro, especially consumer health and consumer willingness to spend.

Competitors in the packaging industry include Crown Holdings (NYSE:CCK), Ardagh Group (NYSE:ARD), and Silgan Holdings (NASDAQ:SLGN)

5. Revenue Growth

Examining a company’s long-term performance can provide clues about its quality. Any business can experience short-term success, but top-performing ones enjoy sustained growth for years. Over the last five years, Silgan Holdings grew its sales at a mediocre 6.3% compounded annual growth rate. This was below our standard for the industrials sector and is a tough starting point for our analysis.

Silgan Holdings Quarterly Revenue

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within industrials, a half-decade historical view may miss cycles, industry trends, or a company capitalizing on catalysts such as a new contract win or a successful product line. Silgan Holdings’s recent performance shows its demand has slowed as its annualized revenue growth of 2.6% over the last two years was below its five-year trend. Silgan Holdings Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

This quarter, Silgan Holdings reported year-on-year revenue growth of 15.1%, and its $2.01 billion of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 4.4%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 2.2% over the next 12 months, similar to its two-year rate. This projection is underwhelming and suggests its newer products and services will not catalyze better top-line performance yet.

6. Gross Margin & Pricing Power

Gross profit margin is a critical metric to track because it sheds light on its pricing power, complexity of products, and ability to procure raw materials, equipment, and labor.

Silgan Holdings has bad unit economics for an industrials business, signaling it operates in a competitive market. As you can see below, it averaged a 16.8% gross margin over the last five years. Said differently, Silgan Holdings had to pay a chunky $83.21 to its suppliers for every $100 in revenue. Silgan Holdings Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin

In Q3, Silgan Holdings produced a 16.3% gross profit margin, in line with the same quarter last year. On a wider time horizon, the company’s full-year margin has remained steady over the past four quarters, suggesting its input costs (such as raw materials and manufacturing expenses) have been stable and it isn’t under pressure to lower prices.

7. Operating Margin

Operating margin is one of the best measures of profitability because it tells us how much money a company takes home after procuring and manufacturing its products, marketing and selling those products, and most importantly, keeping them relevant through research and development.

Silgan Holdings’s operating margin might fluctuated slightly over the last 12 months but has remained more or less the same, averaging 9.6% over the last five years. This profitability was higher than the broader industrials sector, showing it did a decent job managing its expenses.

Looking at the trend in its profitability, Silgan Holdings’s operating margin might fluctuated slightly but has generally stayed the same over the last five years. We like to see margin expansion, but we’re still happy with Silgan Holdings’s performance considering most Industrial Packaging companies saw their margins plummet.

Silgan Holdings Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

This quarter, Silgan Holdings generated an operating margin profit margin of 9.9%, in line with the same quarter last year. This indicates the company’s cost structure has recently been stable.

8. Earnings Per Share

Revenue trends explain a company’s historical growth, but the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) points to the profitability of that growth – for example, a company could inflate its sales through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

Silgan Holdings’s unimpressive 6.5% annual EPS growth over the last five years aligns with its revenue performance. This tells us it maintained its per-share profitability as it expanded.

Silgan Holdings Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

Like with revenue, we analyze EPS over a more recent period because it can provide insight into an emerging theme or development for the business.

For Silgan Holdings, its two-year annual EPS growth of 3.9% was lower than its five-year trend. We hope its growth can accelerate in the future.

In Q3, Silgan Holdings reported adjusted EPS of $1.22, up from $1.21 in the same quarter last year. This print was close to analysts’ estimates. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Silgan Holdings’s full-year EPS of $3.90 to grow 6.3%.

9. Cash Is King

Free cash flow isn't a prominently featured metric in company financials and earnings releases, but we think it's telling because it accounts for all operating and capital expenses, making it tough to manipulate. Cash is king.

Silgan Holdings has shown poor cash profitability over the last five years, giving the company limited opportunities to return capital to shareholders. Its free cash flow margin averaged 1.9%, lousy for an industrials business.

Silgan Holdings Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

Silgan Holdings’s free cash flow clocked in at $260.8 million in Q3, equivalent to a 13% margin. The company’s cash profitability regressed as it was 1.2 percentage points lower than in the same quarter last year, but it’s still above its five-year average. We wouldn’t read too much into this quarter’s decline because investment needs can be seasonal, leading to short-term swings. Long-term trends carry greater meaning.

10. Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

EPS and free cash flow tell us whether a company was profitable while growing its revenue. But was it capital-efficient? Enter ROIC, a metric showing how much operating profit a company generates relative to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Silgan Holdings historically did a mediocre job investing in profitable growth initiatives. Its five-year average ROIC was 9.6%, somewhat low compared to the best industrials companies that consistently pump out 20%+.

Silgan Holdings Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

We like to invest in businesses with high returns, but the trend in a company’s ROIC is what often surprises the market and moves the stock price. Unfortunately, Silgan Holdings’s ROIC averaged 2.3 percentage point decreases over the last few years. Paired with its already low returns, these declines suggest its profitable growth opportunities are few and far between.

11. Balance Sheet Risk

Debt is a tool that can boost company returns but presents risks if used irresponsibly. As long-term investors, we aim to avoid companies taking excessive advantage of this instrument because it could lead to insolvency.

Silgan Holdings’s $6.26 billion of debt exceeds the $389.2 million of cash on its balance sheet. Furthermore, its 6× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio (based on its EBITDA of $971.1 million over the last 12 months) shows the company is overleveraged.

Silgan Holdings Net Debt Position

At this level of debt, incremental borrowing becomes increasingly expensive and credit agencies could downgrade the company’s rating if profitability falls. Silgan Holdings could also be backed into a corner if the market turns unexpectedly – a situation we seek to avoid as investors in high-quality companies.

We hope Silgan Holdings can improve its balance sheet and remain cautious until it increases its profitability or pays down its debt.

12. Key Takeaways from Silgan Holdings’s Q3 Results

We were impressed by how significantly Silgan Holdings beat analysts’ revenue expectations this quarter. On the other hand, its full-year EPS guidance missed and its EPS guidance for next quarter fell short of Wall Street’s estimates. Overall, this was a weaker quarter. The stock traded down 10.6% to $40 immediately after reporting.

13. Is Now The Time To Buy Silgan Holdings?

Updated: December 4, 2025 at 10:51 PM EST

We think that the latest earnings result is only one piece of the bigger puzzle. If you’re deciding whether to own Silgan Holdings, you should also grasp the company’s longer-term business quality and valuation.

We cheer for all companies making their customers lives easier, but in the case of Silgan Holdings, we’ll be cheering from the sidelines. To kick things off, its revenue growth was mediocre over the last five years, and analysts expect its demand to deteriorate over the next 12 months. And while its operating margins are in line with the overall industrials sector, the downside is its projected EPS for the next year is lacking. On top of that, its organic revenue declined.

Silgan Holdings’s P/E ratio based on the next 12 months is 10.5x. This valuation multiple is fair, but we don’t have much confidence in the company. There are better stocks to buy right now.

Wall Street analysts have a consensus one-year price target of $49.64 on the company (compared to the current share price of $38.56).

Although the price target is bullish, readers should exercise caution because analysts tend to be overly optimistic. The firms they work for, often big banks, have relationships with companies that extend into fundraising, M&A advisory, and other rewarding business lines. As a result, they typically hesitate to say bad things for fear they will lose out. We at StockStory do not suffer from such conflicts of interest, so we’ll always tell it like it is.