HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI)

Underperform
We’re not sold on HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital. Its poor returns on capital indicate it barely generated any profits, a must for high-quality companies. StockStory Analyst Team
Adam Hejl, CEO & Founder
Kayode Omotosho, Equity Analyst

2. Summary

Underperform

Why HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Is Not Exciting

With a proprietary "CarbonCount" metric that quantifies the environmental impact of each dollar invested, HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (NYSE:HASI) is an investment firm that finances and develops climate-positive infrastructure projects across renewable energy, energy efficiency, and ecological restoration.

  • ROE of 8% reflects management’s challenges in identifying attractive investment opportunities
  • 29× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio makes lenders less willing to extend additional capital, potentially necessitating dilutive equity offerings
HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital doesn’t pass our quality test. There are superior opportunities elsewhere.
StockStory Analyst Team

Why There Are Better Opportunities Than HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital

At $33.33 per share, HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital trades at 11.7x forward P/E. HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital’s valuation may seem like a bargain, especially when stacked up against other financials companies. We remind you that you often get what you pay for, though.

It’s better to pay up for high-quality businesses with higher long-term earnings potential rather than to buy lower-quality stocks because they appear cheap. These challenged businesses often don’t re-rate, a phenomenon known as a “value trap”.

3. HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI) Research Report: Q3 CY2025 Update

Climate investment firm HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (NYSE:HASI) reported revenue ahead of Wall Streets expectations in Q3 CY2025, with sales up 12.2% year on year to $103.1 million. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.80 per share was 16.1% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $103.1 million vs analyst estimates of $87.86 million (12.2% year-on-year growth, 17.3% beat)
  • Pre-tax Profit: $119.4 million (116% margin)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.80 vs analyst estimates of $0.69 (16.1% beat)
  • Market Capitalization: $3.59 billion
  • Company Overview

    With a proprietary "CarbonCount" metric that quantifies the environmental impact of each dollar invested, HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (NYSE:HASI) is an investment firm that finances and develops climate-positive infrastructure projects across renewable energy, energy efficiency, and ecological restoration.

    HASI structures its investments across three primary climate markets. In the Behind-the-Meter segment, which represents nearly half its portfolio, the company finances distributed energy projects like solar installations, battery storage systems, and energy efficiency upgrades for buildings. Its Grid-Connected investments focus on utility-scale renewable energy projects such as solar and wind farms that feed into the power grid. The third segment, Fuels, Transport, and Nature, targets emissions reduction in sectors beyond electricity generation, including renewable natural gas facilities and ecological restoration projects.

    The company employs various investment structures, including equity investments in project entities, secured debt financing, and direct ownership of land leased to renewable energy projects. HASI quantifies the environmental impact of its investments using a proprietary metric called CarbonCount, which measures the estimated carbon emissions avoided per dollar invested.

    As a climate-focused investment firm, HASI maintains relationships with renewable energy developers, utilities, and energy service companies that provide ongoing investment opportunities. For example, HASI might finance a commercial solar installation that allows a business to reduce its electricity costs while generating renewable energy, or provide capital for a utility-scale wind farm that sells power to the grid.

    HASI funds its investments through multiple financing sources, including corporate bonds, bank debt, and equity. The company's status as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) requires it to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders annually, making it a potential option for income-focused investors interested in the renewable energy sector.

    4. Specialty Finance

    Specialty finance companies provide targeted lending or financial services for specific industries or needs. They benefit from expertise in particular sectors, often reduced competition in specialized niches, and tailored underwriting that can yield higher margins. Challenges include concentration risk in specific industries, difficulty achieving scale efficiencies, and potential vulnerability during sector-specific downturns affecting their specialized markets.

    HASI's competitors include other renewable energy and infrastructure investors such as Brookfield Renewable Partners (NYSE:BEP), NextEra Energy Partners (NYSE:NEP), and Clearway Energy (NYSE:CWEN), as well as larger asset managers with dedicated renewable energy investment platforms.

    5. Revenue Growth

    A company’s long-term performance is an indicator of its overall quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years. Luckily, HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital’s revenue grew at an exceptional 23.4% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. Its growth beat the average financials company and shows its offerings resonate with customers.

    HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Quarterly Revenue

    We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within financials, a half-decade historical view may miss recent interest rate changes, market returns, and industry trends. HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital’s annualized revenue growth of 17% over the last two years is below its five-year trend, but we still think the results suggest healthy demand. HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Year-On-Year Revenue GrowthNote: Quarters not shown were determined to be outliers, impacted by outsized investment gains/losses that are not indicative of the recurring fundamentals of the business.

    This quarter, HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital reported year-on-year revenue growth of 12.2%, and its $103.1 million of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 17.3%.

    6. Pre-Tax Profit Margin

    Revenue growth is one major determinant of business quality, and the efficiency of operations is another. For Specialty Finance companies, we look at pre-tax profit rather than the operating margin that defines sectors such as consumer, tech, and industrials.

    Financials companies manage interest-bearing assets and liabilities, making the interest income and expenses included in pre-tax profit essential to their profit calculation. Taxes, being external factors beyond management control, are appropriately excluded from this alternative margin measure.

    Over the last four years, HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital’s pre-tax profit margin has fallen by 52.9 percentage points, going from 48.3% to 101%. It has also expanded by 92.2 percentage points on a two-year basis, showing its expenses have consistently grown at a slower rate than revenue. This typically signals prudent management.

    HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Trailing 12-Month Pre-Tax Profit Margin

    HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital’s pre-tax profit margin came in at 116% this quarter. This result was 144.5 percentage points better than the same quarter last year.

    7. Earnings Per Share

    We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) for the same reason as long-term revenue growth. Compared to revenue, however, EPS highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

    HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital’s EPS grew at a decent 10.7% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. Despite its pre-tax profit margin improvement during that time, this performance was lower than its 23.4% annualized revenue growth, telling us that non-fundamental factors such as interest and taxes affected its ultimate earnings.

    HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

    Like with revenue, we analyze EPS over a shorter period to see if we are missing a change in the business.

    For HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, its two-year annual EPS growth of 11.2% is similar to its five-year trend, implying stable earnings power.

    In Q3, HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital reported adjusted EPS of $0.80, up from $0.52 in the same quarter last year. This print easily cleared analysts’ estimates, and shareholders should be content with the results. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital’s full-year EPS of $2.66 to grow 7.7%.

    8. Return on Equity

    Return on equity, or ROE, tells us how much profit a company generates for each dollar of shareholder equity, a key funding source for banks. Over a long period, banks with high ROE tend to compound shareholder wealth faster through retained earnings, buybacks, and dividends.

    Over the last five years, HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital has averaged an ROE of 8.2%, uninspiring for a company operating in a sector where the average shakes out around 10%.

    HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Return on Equity

    9. Balance Sheet Risk

    HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital reported $301.8 million of cash and $5.03 billion of debt on its balance sheet in the most recent quarter.

    As investors in high-quality companies, we primarily focus on whether a company’s profits can support its debt.

    HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Net Debt Position

    With $195.3 million of EBITDA over the last 12 months, we view HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital’s 24.2× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio as inadequate. The company’s lacking profits relative to its borrowings give it little breathing room, raising red flags.

    10. Key Takeaways from HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital’s Q3 Results

    We were impressed by how significantly HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital blew past analysts’ revenue expectations this quarter. We were also excited its EBITDA outperformed Wall Street’s estimates by a wide margin. Zooming out, we think this was a good print with some key areas of upside. The stock traded up 1.7% to $29.05 immediately after reporting.

    11. Is Now The Time To Buy HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital?

    Updated: December 3, 2025 at 11:19 PM EST

    Before investing in or passing on HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, we urge you to understand the company’s business quality (or lack thereof), valuation, and the latest quarterly results - in that order.

    HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital is a pretty decent company if you ignore its balance sheet. To kick things off, its revenue growth was exceptional over the last five years. And while HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital’s mediocre ROE lags the market and is a headwind for its stock price, its expanding pre-tax profit margin shows the business has become more efficient.

    HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital’s P/E ratio based on the next 12 months is 11.7x. All that said, we aren’t investing at the moment because its balance sheet makes us balk. We recommend investors interested in the company wait until it generates sufficient cash flows or raises money before getting involved.

    Wall Street analysts have a consensus one-year price target of $39.14 on the company (compared to the current share price of $33.33).