Thermon (THR)

InvestableTimely Buy
Thermon doesn’t impress us. Its underwhelming returns on capital show it struggled to generate meaningful profits for shareholders. StockStory Analyst Team
Anthony Lee, Lead Equity Analyst
Kayode Omotosho, Equity Analyst

2. Summary

InvestableTimely Buy

Why Thermon Is Not Exciting

Creating the first packaged tracing systems, Thermon (NYSE:THR) is a leading provider of engineered industrial process heating solutions for process industries.

  • Estimated sales growth of 4.7% for the next 12 months is soft and implies weaker demand
  • Below-average returns on capital indicate management struggled to find compelling investment opportunities
  • One positive is that its performance over the past five years shows its incremental sales were extremely profitable, as its annual earnings per share growth of 46.6% outpaced its revenue gains
Thermon lacks the business quality we seek. We’re looking for better stocks elsewhere.
StockStory Analyst Team

Why There Are Better Opportunities Than Thermon

Thermon is trading at $46.17 per share, or 22.9x forward P/E. Thermon’s multiple may seem like a great deal among industrials peers, but we think there are valid reasons why it’s this cheap.

Cheap stocks can look like a great deal at first glance, but they can be value traps. They often have less earnings power, meaning there is more reliance on a re-rating to generate good returns - an unlikely scenario for low-quality companies.

3. Thermon (THR) Research Report: Q4 CY2025 Update

Industrial process heating solutions provider Thermon (NYSE:THR) reported Q4 CY2025 results beating Wall Street’s revenue expectations, with sales up 9.6% year on year to $147.3 million. The company’s full-year revenue guidance of $521 million at the midpoint came in 0.8% above analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.66 per share was 13.4% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Thermon (THR) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $147.3 million vs analyst estimates of $138.3 million (9.6% year-on-year growth, 6.5% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.66 vs analyst estimates of $0.58 (13.4% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $35.6 million vs analyst estimates of $32.07 million (24.2% margin, 11% beat)
  • The company slightly lifted its revenue guidance for the full year to $521 million at the midpoint from $516.5 million
  • Management raised its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $2.12 at the midpoint, a 2.2% increase
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $117 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $115.7 million
  • Operating Margin: 18.1%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow Margin: 8.9%, up from 6.3% in the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $1.52 billion

Company Overview

Creating the first packaged tracing systems, Thermon (NYSE:THR) is a leading provider of engineered industrial process heating solutions for process industries.

Thermon is involved in the industrial heating sector and offers products, services, and software required to deliver solutions for some of the world's largest and most complex projects. Specifically, its product portfolio includes heating units, electrode and gas-fired boilers, heating cables, industrial heating blankets, temporary power solutions, and tubing bundles. In addition to hardware, the company provides engineering, installation, and maintenance services, as well as software for wireless and network control systems.

The company operates across the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia while maintaining multiple manufacturing facilities on two continents and a network of sales and service professionals in more than 30 countries. Its main manufacturing operations are concentrated in North America, with its main heat tracing products manufactured in San Marcos, Texas.

Thermon serves a wide range of industries, with a particular focus on energy, chemical processing, and power generation sectors. The company's customer base includes many of the largest multinational oil, gas, chemical processing, power, and engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) companies in the world. Notably, Thermon reports that no single customer represented more than 10% of total revenue in fiscal years 2024, 2023, or 2022.

4. Electrical Systems

Like many equipment and component manufacturers, electrical systems companies are buoyed by secular trends such as connectivity and industrial automation. More specific pockets of strong demand include Internet of Things (IoT) connectivity and the 5G telecom upgrade cycle, which can benefit companies whose cables and conduits fit those needs. But like the broader industrials sector, these companies are also at the whim of economic cycles. Interest rates, for example, can greatly impact projects that drive demand for these products.

Competitors of Thermon include nVent Electric (NYSE:NVT), Pentair (NYSE:PNR), and private company Chromalox.

5. Revenue Growth

Examining a company’s long-term performance can provide clues about its quality. Even a bad business can shine for one or two quarters, but a top-tier one grows for years. Luckily, Thermon’s sales grew at an excellent 12.4% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. Its growth beat the average industrials company and shows its offerings resonate with customers.

Thermon Quarterly Revenue

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within industrials, a half-decade historical view may miss cycles, industry trends, or a company capitalizing on catalysts such as a new contract win or a successful product line. Thermon’s recent performance shows its demand has slowed significantly as its annualized revenue growth of 3.3% over the last two years was well below its five-year trend. Thermon Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

This quarter, Thermon reported year-on-year revenue growth of 9.6%, and its $147.3 million of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 6.5%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 3.5% over the next 12 months, similar to its two-year rate. This projection is underwhelming and implies its newer products and services will not lead to better top-line performance yet.

6. Gross Margin & Pricing Power

Cost of sales for an industrials business is usually comprised of the direct labor, raw materials, and supplies needed to offer a product or service. These costs can be impacted by inflation and supply chain dynamics.

Thermon has best-in-class unit economics for an industrials company, enabling it to invest in areas such as research and development. Its margin also signals it sells differentiated products, not commodities. As you can see below, it averaged an elite 43.2% gross margin over the last five years. Said differently, roughly $43.22 was left to spend on selling, marketing, R&D, and general administrative overhead for every $100 in revenue. Thermon Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin

Thermon produced a 46.6% gross profit margin in Q4, in line with the same quarter last year. Zooming out, the company’s full-year margin has remained steady over the past 12 months, suggesting its input costs (such as raw materials and manufacturing expenses) have been stable and it isn’t under pressure to lower prices.

7. Operating Margin

Thermon has been an efficient company over the last five years. It was one of the more profitable businesses in the industrials sector, boasting an average operating margin of 14.6%. This result isn’t surprising as its high gross margin gives it a favorable starting point.

Looking at the trend in its profitability, Thermon’s operating margin rose by 8.8 percentage points over the last five years, as its sales growth gave it immense operating leverage.

Thermon Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

This quarter, Thermon generated an operating margin profit margin of 18.1%, in line with the same quarter last year. This indicates the company’s cost structure has recently been stable.

8. Earnings Per Share

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) for the same reason as long-term revenue growth. Compared to revenue, however, EPS highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

Thermon’s EPS grew at an astounding 46.1% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, higher than its 12.4% annualized revenue growth. This tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Thermon Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

We can take a deeper look into Thermon’s earnings quality to better understand the drivers of its performance. As we mentioned earlier, Thermon’s operating margin was flat this quarter but expanded by 8.8 percentage points over the last five years. This was the most relevant factor (aside from the revenue impact) behind its higher earnings; interest expenses and taxes can also affect EPS but don’t tell us as much about a company’s fundamentals.

Like with revenue, we analyze EPS over a shorter period to see if we are missing a change in the business.

For Thermon, its two-year annual EPS growth of 6.2% was lower than its five-year trend. We hope its growth can accelerate in the future.

In Q4, Thermon reported adjusted EPS of $0.66, up from $0.56 in the same quarter last year. This print easily cleared analysts’ estimates, and shareholders should be content with the results. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Thermon’s full-year EPS of $2.13 to stay about the same.

9. Cash Is King

Free cash flow isn't a prominently featured metric in company financials and earnings releases, but we think it's telling because it accounts for all operating and capital expenses, making it tough to manipulate. Cash is king.

Thermon has shown robust cash profitability, enabling it to comfortably ride out cyclical downturns while investing in plenty of new offerings and returning capital to investors. The company’s free cash flow margin averaged 9.6% over the last five years, quite impressive for an industrials business.

Taking a step back, we can see that Thermon’s margin expanded by 3.7 percentage points during that time. This is encouraging because it gives the company more optionality.

Thermon Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

Thermon’s free cash flow clocked in at $13.06 million in Q4, equivalent to a 8.9% margin. This result was good as its margin was 2.6 percentage points higher than in the same quarter last year, building on its favorable historical trend.

10. Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

EPS and free cash flow tell us whether a company was profitable while growing its revenue. But was it capital-efficient? A company’s ROIC explains this by showing how much operating profit it makes compared to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Thermon historically did a mediocre job investing in profitable growth initiatives. Its five-year average ROIC was 9.3%, somewhat low compared to the best industrials companies that consistently pump out 20%+.

Thermon Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

We like to invest in businesses with high returns, but the trend in a company’s ROIC is what often surprises the market and moves the stock price. Fortunately, Thermon’s ROIC averaged 3.9 percentage point increases each year over the last few years. This is a good sign, and if its returns keep rising, there’s a chance it could evolve into an investable business.

11. Balance Sheet Assessment

Thermon reported $46.86 million of cash and $140.5 million of debt on its balance sheet in the most recent quarter. As investors in high-quality companies, we primarily focus on two things: 1) that a company’s debt level isn’t too high and 2) that its interest payments are not excessively burdening the business.

Thermon Net Debt Position

With $117.9 million of EBITDA over the last 12 months, we view Thermon’s 0.8× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio as safe. We also see its $8.30 million of annual interest expenses as appropriate. The company’s profits give it plenty of breathing room, allowing it to continue investing in growth initiatives.

12. Key Takeaways from Thermon’s Q4 Results

We were impressed by how significantly Thermon blew past analysts’ EBITDA expectations this quarter. We were also excited its revenue outperformed Wall Street’s estimates by a wide margin. Zooming out, we think this was a good print with some key areas of upside. The stock traded up 6% to $48.95 immediately after reporting.

13. Is Now The Time To Buy Thermon?

Updated: February 5, 2026 at 7:31 AM EST

A common mistake we notice when investors are deciding whether to buy a stock or not is that they simply look at the latest earnings results. Business quality and valuation matter more, so we urge you to understand these dynamics as well.

Thermon has a few positive attributes, but it doesn’t top our wishlist. First off, its revenue growth was impressive over the last five years. And while its projected EPS for the next year is lacking, its expanding operating margin shows the business has become more efficient. On top of that, its astounding EPS growth over the last five years shows its profits are trickling down to shareholders.

Thermon’s P/E ratio based on the next 12 months is 21.9x. While this valuation is reasonable, we don’t really see a big opportunity at the moment. We're pretty confident there are superior stocks to buy right now.

Wall Street analysts have a consensus one-year price target of $50 on the company (compared to the current share price of $48.95).