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JFrog (NASDAQ:FROG) Surprises With Q2 Sales But Contract Wins Slow Down

Jabin Bastian /

August 2, 2023

Software development tools maker JFrog (NASDAQ:FROG) beat analysts' expectations in Q2 FY2023, with revenue up 24.1% year on year to $84.2 million. The company also expects next quarter's revenue to be around $87.5 million, roughly in line with analysts' estimates. JFrog made a GAAP loss of $15.5 million, improving from its loss of $23.8 million in the same quarter last year.

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JFrog (FROG) Q2 FY2023 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $84.2 million vs analyst estimates of $83 million (1.41% beat)
  • EPS (non-GAAP): $0.11 vs analyst estimates of $0.05 ($0.06 beat)
  • Revenue Guidance for Q3 2023 is $87.5 million at the midpoint, roughly in line with what analysts were expecting
  • The company reconfirmed revenue guidance for the full year of $344.5 million at the midpoint
  • Free Cash Flow of $16.2 million is up from -$1.39 million in the previous quarter
  • Net Revenue Retention Rate: 120%, down from 124% in the previous quarter
  • Customers: 813 customers paying more than $100,000 annually
  • Gross Margin (GAAP): 78.1%, in line with the same quarter last year

"The growth in our second-quarter revenue - alongside robust operating performance - demonstrates solid execution aligned with our plans. The continuous adoption of our DevOps and Security solutions as crucial enterprise infrastructure has been a driving force behind these results," stated Shlomi Ben Haim, JFrog CEO and Co-founder.

With the name chosen due to the founders' fondness for frogs, JFrog (NASDAQ:FROG) provides software as a service platform that makes developing and releasing software easier and faster, especially for large teams.

As Marc Andreessen says, "software is eating the world" which means the volume of software produced is exploding. But building software is complex and difficult work which drives demand for software tools that help increase the speed, quality, and security of software deployment.

Sales Growth

As you can see below, JFrog's revenue growth has been over the last two years, growing from $48.7 million in Q2 FY2021 to $84.2 million this quarter.

JFrog Total Revenue

This quarter, JFrog's quarterly revenue was once again up a very solid 24.1% year on year. On top of that, its revenue increased $4.35 million quarter on quarter, a very strong improvement from the $3.27 million increase in Q1 2023. This is a sign of acceleration of growth and great to see.

Next quarter's guidance suggests that JFrog is expecting revenue to grow 21.5% year on year to $87.5 million, slowing down from the 34.1% year-on-year increase it recorded in the same quarter last year. Ahead of the earnings results announcement, the analysts covering the company were expecting sales to grow 21.4% over the next 12 months.

The pandemic fundamentally changed several consumer habits. There is a founder-led company that is massively benefiting from this shift. The business has grown astonishingly fast, with 40%+ free cash flow margins. Its fundamentals are undoubtedly best-in-class. Still, the total addressable market is so big that the company has room to grow many times in size. You can find it on our platform for free.

Product Success

One of the best parts about the software-as-a-service business model (and a reason why SaaS companies trade at such high valuation multiples) is that customers typically spend more on a company's products and services over time.

JFrog Net Revenue Retention Rate

JFrog's net revenue retention rate, a key performance metric measuring how much money existing customers from a year ago are spending today, was 120% in Q2. This means that even if JFrog didn't win any new customers over the last 12 months, it would've grown its revenue by 20%.

Despite falling over the last year, JFrog still has a good net retention rate, proving that customers are satisfied with its software and getting more value from it over time, which is always great to see.

Key Takeaways from JFrog's Q2 Results

With a market capitalization of $3.02 billion, JFrog is among smaller companies, but its $469.8 million cash balance and positive free cash flow over the last 12 months give us confidence that it has the resources needed to pursue a high-growth business strategy.

We were happy that its revenue growth and non-GAAP operating profit outperformed Wall Street's expectations. It was also good to see JFrog improve its gross margin this quarter, even if just slightly. Guidance for the next quarter was above expectations, and the company also maintained full year revenue guidance, which is slightly above expectations. On the other hand, it was unfortunate to see a slowdown in new large contract wins and its net revenue retention rate is moving lower. Overall, this was a solid quarter for JFrog. The stock is up 2.22% after reporting and currently trades at $29 per share.

JFrog may have had a tough quarter, but does that actually create an opportunity to invest right now? When making that decision, it's important to consider its valuation, business qualities, as well as what has happened in the latest quarter. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it's free.

One way to find opportunities in the market is to watch for generational shifts in the economy. Almost every company is slowly finding itself becoming a technology company and facing cybersecurity risks and as a result, the demand for cloud-native cybersecurity is skyrocketing. This company is leading a massive technological shift in the industry and with revenue growth of 50% year on year and best-in-class SaaS metrics it should definitely be on your radar.

The author has no position in any of the stocks mentioned in this report.