IDEX (IEX)

Underperform
IDEX keeps us up at night. Its weak sales growth and declining returns on capital show its demand and profits are shrinking. StockStory Analyst Team
Adam Hejl, CEO & Founder
Kayode Omotosho, Equity Analyst

2. Summary

Underperform

Why We Think IDEX Will Underperform

Founded in 1988, IDEX (NYSE:IEX) is a global manufacturer specializing in highly engineered products such as pumps, flow meters, and fluidics systems for various industries.

  • Incremental sales over the last two years were much less profitable as its earnings per share fell by 3.1% annually while its revenue grew
  • Core business is underperforming as its organic revenue has disappointed over the past two years, suggesting it might need acquisitions to stimulate growth
  • Muted 1.9% annual revenue growth over the last two years shows its demand lagged behind its industrials peers
IDEX doesn’t live up to our standards. You should search for better opportunities.
StockStory Analyst Team

Why There Are Better Opportunities Than IDEX

IDEX’s stock price of $201.66 implies a valuation ratio of 24.2x forward P/E. This multiple rich for the business quality. Not a great combination.

We’d rather pay up for companies with elite fundamentals than get a decent price on a poor one. High-quality businesses often have more durable earnings power, helping us sleep well at night.

3. IDEX (IEX) Research Report: Q4 CY2025 Update

Manufacturing company IDEX (NYSE:IEX) reported Q4 CY2025 results beating Wall Street’s revenue expectations, with sales up 4.2% year on year to $899.1 million. Its non-GAAP profit of $2.10 per share was 2.9% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

IDEX (IEX) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $899.1 million vs analyst estimates of $879.7 million (4.2% year-on-year growth, 2.2% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $2.10 vs analyst estimates of $2.04 (2.9% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $240.9 million vs analyst estimates of $236 million (26.8% margin, 2.1% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $8.25 at the midpoint, missing analyst estimates by 0.7%
  • Operating Margin: 20.4%, up from 19.2% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow Margin: 21.1%, up from 18.2% in the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue rose 1% year on year (beat)
  • Market Capitalization: $15.09 billion

Company Overview

Founded in 1988, IDEX (NYSE:IEX) is a global manufacturer specializing in highly engineered products such as pumps, flow meters, and fluidics systems for various industries.

IDEX was formed when KKR purchased several divisions of Houdaille Industries, a diversified manufacturing company. From the beginning, IDEX’s strategy was to acquire businesses in niche markets and focus on products that moved, measured, and controlled fluids.

The early years were marked by significant acquisitions such as the 1988 acquisition of Viking Pump Company, which produced different pumps for industrial and chemical applications. If you enjoy chocolate, there's a good chance it was processed using a Viking Pump. Throughout the 1990s and 2000s, IDEX expanded its portfolio through further acquisitions, adding companies like Band-It, a leader in stainless steel banding systems, and Hale Products, which specializes in fire and rescue pumping solutions, known for the Hurst "Jaws of Life".

Today, IDEX operates in three distinct categories: fluid and meter technologies, health and science technologies, and fire & safety products. These products serve various markets such as life sciences, industrial processes, such as food and beverage, and fire safety. For instance, its foam systems tackle fire scenarios involving flammable liquids.

A substantial portion of the company’s revenue comes from the sale of equipment. However, IDEX also benefits from recurring revenue streams, including aftermarket parts, maintenance services, and consumables, which are needed for the ongoing operation of the equipment they sell. Additionally, IDEX secures long-term contracts, particularly in the health and science technologies sector, where regular upgrades and service agreements provide steady revenue

IDEX continues to employ an aggressive acquisition strategy. The company targets companies that lead in niche markets or possess specialized technology that complements or enhances IDEX’s existing product offerings.

4. Gas and Liquid Handling

Gas and liquid handling companies possess the technical know-how and specialized equipment to handle valuable (and sometimes dangerous) substances. Lately, water conservation and carbon capture–which requires hydrogen and other gasses as well as specialized infrastructure–have been trending up, creating new demand for products such as filters, pumps, and valves. On the other hand, gas and liquid handling companies are at the whim of economic cycles. Consumer spending and interest rates, for example, can greatly impact the industrial production that drives demand for these companies’ offerings.

Competitors offering similar products include Dover (NYSE:DOV), Xylem (NYSE:XYL), and Parker Hannifin (NYSE:PH).

5. Revenue Growth

A company’s long-term sales performance is one signal of its overall quality. Any business can experience short-term success, but top-performing ones enjoy sustained growth for years. Thankfully, IDEX’s 8% annualized revenue growth over the last five years was decent. Its growth was slightly above the average industrials company and shows its offerings resonate with customers.

IDEX Quarterly Revenue

Long-term growth is the most important, but within industrials, a half-decade historical view may miss new industry trends or demand cycles. IDEX’s recent performance shows its demand has slowed as its annualized revenue growth of 2.8% over the last two years was below its five-year trend. IDEX Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

IDEX also reports organic revenue, which strips out one-time events like acquisitions and currency fluctuations that don’t accurately reflect its fundamentals. Over the last two years, IDEX’s organic revenue was flat. Because this number is lower than its two-year revenue growth, we can see that some mixture of acquisitions and foreign exchange rates boosted its headline results. IDEX Organic Revenue Growth

This quarter, IDEX reported modest year-on-year revenue growth of 4.2% but beat Wall Street’s estimates by 2.2%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 2.2% over the next 12 months, similar to its two-year rate. This projection is underwhelming and indicates its newer products and services will not lead to better top-line performance yet.

6. Gross Margin & Pricing Power

IDEX has best-in-class unit economics for an industrials company, enabling it to invest in areas such as research and development. Its margin also signals it sells differentiated products, not commodities. As you can see below, it averaged an elite 44.5% gross margin over the last five years. That means IDEX only paid its suppliers $55.45 for every $100 in revenue. IDEX Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin

IDEX produced a 43.1% gross profit margin in Q4, in line with the same quarter last year. On a wider time horizon, the company’s full-year margin has remained steady over the past four quarters, suggesting its input costs (such as raw materials and manufacturing expenses) have been stable and it isn’t under pressure to lower prices.

7. Operating Margin

Operating margin is a key measure of profitability. Think of it as net income - the bottom line - excluding the impact of taxes and interest on debt, which are less connected to business fundamentals.

IDEX has been a well-oiled machine over the last five years. It demonstrated elite profitability for an industrials business, boasting an average operating margin of 22%. This result isn’t surprising as its high gross margin gives it a favorable starting point.

Looking at the trend in its profitability, IDEX’s operating margin decreased by 2.8 percentage points over the last five years. This raises questions about the company’s expense base because its revenue growth should have given it leverage on its fixed costs, resulting in better economies of scale and profitability.

IDEX Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

This quarter, IDEX generated an operating margin profit margin of 20.4%, up 1.3 percentage points year on year. The increase was encouraging, and because its operating margin rose more than its gross margin, we can infer it was more efficient with expenses such as marketing, R&D, and administrative overhead.

8. Earnings Per Share

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) for the same reason as long-term revenue growth. Compared to revenue, however, EPS highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

IDEX’s decent 8.9% annual EPS growth over the last five years aligns with its revenue performance. This tells us it maintained its per-share profitability as it expanded.

IDEX Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

Like with revenue, we analyze EPS over a shorter period to see if we are missing a change in the business.

For IDEX, its two-year annual EPS declines of 1.7% mark a reversal from its five-year trend. We hope IDEX can return to earnings growth in the future.

In Q4, IDEX reported adjusted EPS of $2.10, up from $2.04 in the same quarter last year. This print beat analysts’ estimates by 2.9%. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects IDEX’s full-year EPS of $7.95 to grow 4.5%.

9. Cash Is King

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

IDEX has shown terrific cash profitability, putting it in an advantageous position to invest in new products, return capital to investors, and consolidate the market during industry downturns. The company’s free cash flow margin was among the best in the industrials sector, averaging 17.8% over the last five years.

IDEX Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

IDEX’s free cash flow clocked in at $189.8 million in Q4, equivalent to a 21.1% margin. This result was good as its margin was 2.9 percentage points higher than in the same quarter last year, but we wouldn’t read too much into the short term because investment needs can be seasonal, causing temporary swings. Long-term trends are more important.

10. Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

EPS and free cash flow tell us whether a company was profitable while growing its revenue. But was it capital-efficient? Enter ROIC, a metric showing how much operating profit a company generates relative to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Although IDEX hasn’t been the highest-quality company lately, it historically found a few growth initiatives that worked. Its five-year average ROIC was 12.9%, higher than most industrials businesses.

IDEX Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

We like to invest in businesses with high returns, but the trend in a company’s ROIC is what often surprises the market and moves the stock price. Unfortunately, IDEX’s ROIC has decreased over the last few years. We like what management has done in the past, but its declining returns are perhaps a symptom of fewer profitable growth opportunities.

11. Balance Sheet Assessment

IDEX reported $580 million of cash and $1.82 billion of debt on its balance sheet in the most recent quarter. As investors in high-quality companies, we primarily focus on two things: 1) that a company’s debt level isn’t too high and 2) that its interest payments are not excessively burdening the business.

IDEX Net Debt Position

With $925.9 million of EBITDA over the last 12 months, we view IDEX’s 1.3× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio as safe. We also see its $32 million of annual interest expenses as appropriate. The company’s profits give it plenty of breathing room, allowing it to continue investing in growth initiatives.

12. Key Takeaways from IDEX’s Q4 Results

We enjoyed seeing IDEX beat analysts’ revenue expectations this quarter. We were also happy its organic revenue narrowly outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its EPS guidance for next quarter missed and its full-year EPS guidance fell slightly short of Wall Street’s estimates. Overall, this print was mixed but still had some key positives. The stock remained flat at $201.66 immediately after reporting.

13. Is Now The Time To Buy IDEX?

Updated: February 4, 2026 at 7:37 AM EST

The latest quarterly earnings matters, sure, but we actually think longer-term fundamentals and valuation matter more. Investors should consider all these pieces before deciding whether or not to invest in IDEX.

IDEX falls short of our quality standards. Although its revenue growth was decent over the last five years, it’s expected to deteriorate over the next 12 months and its diminishing returns show management's prior bets haven't worked out. And while the company’s powerful free cash flow generation enables it to stay ahead of the competition through consistent reinvestment of profits, the downside is its flat organic revenue disappointed.

IDEX’s P/E ratio based on the next 12 months is 24.3x. This valuation tells us a lot of optimism is priced in - we think there are better stocks to buy right now.

Wall Street analysts have a consensus one-year price target of $198.62 on the company (compared to the current share price of $201.66).