Ingersoll Rand (IR)

Underperform
We’re not sold on Ingersoll Rand. Its sales have underperformed and its low returns on capital show it has few growth opportunities. StockStory Analyst Team
Anthony Lee, Lead Equity Analyst
Kayode Omotosho, Equity Analyst

2. Summary

Underperform

Why Ingersoll Rand Is Not Exciting

Started with the invention of the steam drill, Ingersoll Rand (NYSE:IR) provides mission-critical air, gas, liquid, and solid flow creation solutions.

  • Absence of organic revenue growth over the past two years suggests it may have to lean into acquisitions to drive its expansion
  • ROIC of 5.9% reflects management’s challenges in identifying attractive investment opportunities
  • On the plus side, its impressive free cash flow profitability enables the company to fund new investments or reward investors with share buybacks/dividends, and its improved cash conversion implies it’s becoming a less capital-intensive business
Ingersoll Rand’s quality is inadequate. We see more lucrative opportunities elsewhere.
StockStory Analyst Team

Why There Are Better Opportunities Than Ingersoll Rand

Ingersoll Rand’s stock price of $98.52 implies a valuation ratio of 27.2x forward P/E. The current valuation may be appropriate, but we’re still not buyers of the stock.

There are stocks out there similarly priced with better business quality. We prefer owning these.

3. Ingersoll Rand (IR) Research Report: Q4 CY2025 Update

Industrial manufacturing company Ingersoll Rand (NYSE:IR) reported Q4 CY2025 results exceeding the market’s revenue expectations, with sales up 10.1% year on year to $2.09 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.96 per share was 6.6% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Ingersoll Rand (IR) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $2.09 billion vs analyst estimates of $2.04 billion (10.1% year-on-year growth, 2.6% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.96 vs analyst estimates of $0.90 (6.6% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $580.1 million vs analyst estimates of $560.3 million (27.7% margin, 3.5% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $3.51 at the midpoint, missing analyst estimates by 1.3%
  • EBITDA guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $2.16 billion at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $2.19 billion
  • Operating Margin: 18.7%, down from 20% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow Margin: 25.7%, similar to the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $38.23 billion

Company Overview

Started with the invention of the steam drill, Ingersoll Rand (NYSE:IR) provides mission-critical air, gas, liquid, and solid flow creation solutions.

Ingersoll Rand is known for its range of industrial products, including air compressors and various construction and mining equipment. Today, the company manufactures an extensive range of compressors, pumps, vacuum, and blower products sold under many brands, including Gardner Denver and CompAir. These products are essential in industries such as life sciences, food and beverage, clean energy, and water treatment, where the cost of downtime is significant.

Due to this implication, customers place a high value on minimizing any operational downtime, allowing Ingersoll Rand to capitalize heavily on aftermarket parts and services associated with wear and tear replacement cycles of its products. Other examples of Ingersoll Rand products range from fastening systems and pneumatic bolting tools, used for the precision fastening of bolted joints in industrial machinery and vehicles, to liquid ring vacuum pumps and compressors, primarily used for applications such as flare gas recovery and chlorine compression.

Ingersoll Rand serves its customer base through a direct sales force for OEMs and end users requiring specialized support, complemented by a network of distributors for broader market coverage. It generates revenue through the sale of its products as well as its aftermarket services, which provide a source of recurring revenue.

The company pursues an aggressive acquisition strategy, consistently acquiring numerous companies to bolster its market position and expand its product portfolio. A notable example is its merger with Gardner Denver in 2020, which significantly expanded its capabilities in areas such as compression, blower, and vacuum technologies.

4. Gas and Liquid Handling

Gas and liquid handling companies possess the technical know-how and specialized equipment to handle valuable (and sometimes dangerous) substances. Lately, water conservation and carbon capture–which requires hydrogen and other gasses as well as specialized infrastructure–have been trending up, creating new demand for products such as filters, pumps, and valves. On the other hand, gas and liquid handling companies are at the whim of economic cycles. Consumer spending and interest rates, for example, can greatly impact the industrial production that drives demand for these companies’ offerings.

Competitors offering similar products include Dover (NYSE:DOV), Xylem (NYSE:XYL), and Parker Hannifin (NYSE:PH).

5. Revenue Growth

A company’s long-term sales performance is one signal of its overall quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years. Unfortunately, Ingersoll Rand’s 7.3% annualized revenue growth over the last five years was mediocre. This fell short of our benchmark for the industrials sector and is a tough starting point for our analysis.

Ingersoll Rand Quarterly Revenue

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within industrials, a half-decade historical view may miss cycles, industry trends, or a company capitalizing on catalysts such as a new contract win or a successful product line. Ingersoll Rand’s recent performance shows its demand has slowed as its annualized revenue growth of 5.5% over the last two years was below its five-year trend. We’re wary when companies in the sector see decelerations in revenue growth, as it could signal changing consumer tastes aided by low switching costs. Ingersoll Rand Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

This quarter, Ingersoll Rand reported year-on-year revenue growth of 10.1%, and its $2.09 billion of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 2.6%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 4.1% over the next 12 months, similar to its two-year rate. This projection doesn't excite us and implies its products and services will see some demand headwinds.

6. Gross Margin & Pricing Power

Gross profit margin is a critical metric to track because it sheds light on its pricing power, complexity of products, and ability to procure raw materials, equipment, and labor.

Ingersoll Rand’s unit economics are great compared to the broader industrials sector and signal that it enjoys product differentiation through quality or brand. As you can see below, it averaged an excellent 41.7% gross margin over the last five years. Said differently, roughly $41.74 was left to spend on selling, marketing, R&D, and general administrative overhead for every $100 in revenue. Ingersoll Rand Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin

Ingersoll Rand produced a 42.6% gross profit margin in Q4, in line with the same quarter last year. On a wider time horizon, the company’s full-year margin has remained steady over the past four quarters, suggesting its input costs (such as raw materials and manufacturing expenses) have been stable and it isn’t under pressure to lower prices.

7. Operating Margin

Operating margin is a key measure of profitability. Think of it as net income - the bottom line - excluding the impact of taxes and interest on debt, which are less connected to business fundamentals.

Ingersoll Rand has been an efficient company over the last five years. It was one of the more profitable businesses in the industrials sector, boasting an average operating margin of 15.2%. This result isn’t surprising as its high gross margin gives it a favorable starting point.

Analyzing the trend in its profitability, Ingersoll Rand’s operating margin rose by 4 percentage points over the last five years, as its sales growth gave it operating leverage.

Ingersoll Rand Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

This quarter, Ingersoll Rand generated an operating margin profit margin of 18.7%, down 1.3 percentage points year on year. Since Ingersoll Rand’s operating margin decreased more than its gross margin, we can assume it was less efficient because expenses such as marketing, R&D, and administrative overhead increased.

8. Earnings Per Share

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) for the same reason as long-term revenue growth. Compared to revenue, however, EPS highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

Ingersoll Rand’s EPS grew at an astounding 17.5% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, higher than its 7.3% annualized revenue growth. This tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Ingersoll Rand Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

We can take a deeper look into Ingersoll Rand’s earnings quality to better understand the drivers of its performance. As we mentioned earlier, Ingersoll Rand’s operating margin declined this quarter but expanded by 4 percentage points over the last five years. Its share count also shrank by 6.8%, and these factors together are positive signs for shareholders because improving profitability and share buybacks turbocharge EPS growth relative to revenue growth. Ingersoll Rand Diluted Shares Outstanding

Like with revenue, we analyze EPS over a more recent period because it can provide insight into an emerging theme or development for the business.

For Ingersoll Rand, its two-year annual EPS growth of 6.2% was lower than its five-year trend. We hope its growth can accelerate in the future.

In Q4, Ingersoll Rand reported adjusted EPS of $0.96, up from $0.84 in the same quarter last year. This print beat analysts’ estimates by 6.6%. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Ingersoll Rand’s full-year EPS of $3.34 to grow 6.6%.

9. Cash Is King

Although earnings are undoubtedly valuable for assessing company performance, we believe cash is king because you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

Ingersoll Rand has shown terrific cash profitability, putting it in an advantageous position to invest in new products, return capital to investors, and consolidate the market during industry downturns. The company’s free cash flow margin was among the best in the industrials sector, averaging 15.7% over the last five years.

Taking a step back, we can see that Ingersoll Rand’s margin expanded by 6 percentage points during that time. This is encouraging, and we can see it became a less capital-intensive business because its free cash flow profitability rose more than its operating profitability.

Ingersoll Rand Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

Ingersoll Rand’s free cash flow clocked in at $536.5 million in Q4, equivalent to a 25.7% margin. This cash profitability was in line with the comparable period last year and above its five-year average.

10. Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

EPS and free cash flow tell us whether a company was profitable while growing its revenue. But was it capital-efficient? A company’s ROIC explains this by showing how much operating profit it makes compared to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Ingersoll Rand historically did a mediocre job investing in profitable growth initiatives. Its five-year average ROIC was 6%, somewhat low compared to the best industrials companies that consistently pump out 20%+.

Ingersoll Rand Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

We like to invest in businesses with high returns, but the trend in a company’s ROIC is what often surprises the market and moves the stock price. On average, Ingersoll Rand’s ROIC increased by 1.5 percentage points annually each year over the last few years. This is a good sign, and if its returns keep rising, there’s a chance it could evolve into an investable business.

11. Balance Sheet Assessment

Ingersoll Rand reported $1.25 billion of cash and $4.78 billion of debt on its balance sheet in the most recent quarter. As investors in high-quality companies, we primarily focus on two things: 1) that a company’s debt level isn’t too high and 2) that its interest payments are not excessively burdening the business.

Ingersoll Rand Net Debt Position

With $2.09 billion of EBITDA over the last 12 months, we view Ingersoll Rand’s 1.7× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio as safe. We also see its $109.9 million of annual interest expenses as appropriate. The company’s profits give it plenty of breathing room, allowing it to continue investing in growth initiatives.

12. Key Takeaways from Ingersoll Rand’s Q4 Results

We enjoyed seeing Ingersoll Rand beat analysts’ revenue expectations this quarter. We were also happy its EBITDA outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its full-year EBITDA guidance slightly missed. Overall, this print had some key positives. The stock traded up 3.1% to $97.30 immediately following the results.

13. Is Now The Time To Buy Ingersoll Rand?

Updated: February 12, 2026 at 10:06 PM EST

Before making an investment decision, investors should account for Ingersoll Rand’s business fundamentals and valuation in addition to what happened in the latest quarter.

When it comes to Ingersoll Rand’s business quality, there are some positives, but it ultimately falls short. Although its revenue growth was mediocre over the last five years and analysts expect growth to slow over the next 12 months, its powerful free cash flow generation enables it to stay ahead of the competition through consistent reinvestment of profits. Tread carefully with this one, however, as its organic revenue declined.

Ingersoll Rand’s P/E ratio based on the next 12 months is 27.2x. While this valuation is fair, the upside isn’t great compared to the potential downside. We're fairly confident there are better stocks to buy right now.

Wall Street analysts have a consensus one-year price target of $90.17 on the company (compared to the current share price of $98.52).