Snap-on (SNA)

Underperform
We aren’t fans of Snap-on. Its poor sales growth and falling returns on capital suggest its growth opportunities are shrinking. StockStory Analyst Team
Anthony Lee, Lead Equity Analyst
Kayode Omotosho, Equity Analyst

2. Summary

Underperform

Why We Think Snap-on Will Underperform

Founded in 1920, Snap-on (NYSE:SNA) is a global provider of tools, equipment, and diagnostics for various industries such as vehicle repair, aerospace, and the military.

  • Organic sales performance over the past two years indicates the company may need to make strategic adjustments or rely on M&A to catalyze faster growth
  • Demand will likely be soft over the next 12 months as Wall Street’s estimates imply tepid growth of 2.9%
  • A silver lining is that its offerings are difficult to replicate at scale and lead to a best-in-class gross margin of 51.4%
Snap-on doesn’t meet our quality standards. There are better opportunities in the market.
StockStory Analyst Team

Why There Are Better Opportunities Than Snap-on

At $344.29 per share, Snap-on trades at 17.2x forward P/E. This multiple is lower than most industrials companies, but for good reason.

Our advice is to pay up for elite businesses whose advantages are tailwinds to earnings growth. Don’t get sucked into lower-quality businesses just because they seem like bargains. These mediocre businesses often never achieve a higher multiple as hoped, a phenomenon known as a “value trap”.

3. Snap-on (SNA) Research Report: Q3 CY2025 Update

Professional tools and equipment manufacturer Snap-on (NYSE:SNA) fell short of the market’s revenue expectations in Q3 CY2025, with sales falling 4.5% year on year to $1.19 billion. Its GAAP profit of $5.02 per share was 8.1% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Snap-on (SNA) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.19 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.26 billion (4.5% year-on-year decline, 5.4% miss)
  • EPS (GAAP): $5.02 vs analyst estimates of $4.65 (8.1% beat)
  • Operating Margin: 29.2%, up from 26% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow Margin: 21.7%, up from 18.7% in the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue rose 3% year on year vs analyst estimates of 1.5% growth (150 basis point beat)
  • Market Capitalization: $17.35 billion

Company Overview

Founded in 1920, Snap-on (NYSE:SNA) is a global provider of tools, equipment, and diagnostics for various industries such as vehicle repair, aerospace, and the military.

Snap-on originally produced 10 sockets that conveniently "snapped on" to five interchangeable handles in transportation vehicles, embodying the company's slogan, "5 do the work of 50". Since then, it has broadened its customer base to include industrial manufacturers, the military, professional vehicle repair shops, and independent and OEM dealership service shops.

Snap-on's products range from automotive test equipment such as voltmeters and alternator testers to torque wrenches, which apply and measure the amount of torque needed to tighten fasteners for the automotive industry, and aviation snips, which are used for cutting and trimming sheet metal in the aerospace industry. Some of its popular brands include Blackhawk and Challenger.

The company utilizes a direct sales approach for a significant proportion of its shop equipment sales and diagnostic products. This strategy focuses on using its in-house sales team to establish accounts with OEMs, franchised dealers, and industrial customers.

Snap-on generates revenue through the sale and financing of its diverse range of tools, equipment, and diagnostics. Additionally, Snap-on enjoys recurring revenue from its aftermarket support services, consumable products, and replacement parts.

Lastly, a substantial amount of revenue is brought in via its mobile franchise van channel. These franchisees primarily serve vehicle repair technicians and service shop owners, providing weekly on-site visits with products on hand. Franchisees purchase products at a discounted rate from Snap-on and resell them at prices they establish, following a route of calls provided by the company.

4. Professional Tools and Equipment

Automation that increases efficiency and connected equipment that collects analyzable data have been trending, creating new demand. Some professional tools and equipment companies also provide software to accompany measurement or automated machinery, adding a stream of recurring revenues to their businesses. On the other hand, professional tools and equipment companies are at the whim of economic cycles. Consumer spending and interest rates, for example, can greatly impact the industrial production that drives demand for these companies’ offerings.

Competitors of Snap-on (NYSE:SNA) include Stanley Black & Decker (NYSE:SWK), Illinois Tool Works (NYSE:ITW), and private company Bosch.

5. Revenue Growth

A company’s long-term sales performance is one signal of its overall quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years. Unfortunately, Snap-on’s 5.6% annualized revenue growth over the last five years was tepid. This was below our standard for the industrials sector and is a rough starting point for our analysis.

Snap-on Quarterly Revenue

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within industrials, a half-decade historical view may miss cycles, industry trends, or a company capitalizing on catalysts such as a new contract win or a successful product line. Snap-on’s recent performance shows its demand has slowed as its revenue was flat over the last two years. Snap-on Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

We can dig further into the company’s sales dynamics by analyzing its organic revenue, which strips out one-time events like acquisitions and currency fluctuations that don’t accurately reflect its fundamentals. Over the last two years, Snap-on’s organic revenue averaged 3.4% year-on-year declines. Because this number is lower than its two-year revenue growth, we can see that some mixture of acquisitions and foreign exchange rates boosted its headline results. Snap-on Organic Revenue Growth

This quarter, Snap-on missed Wall Street’s estimates and reported a rather uninspiring 4.5% year-on-year revenue decline, generating $1.19 billion of revenue.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 4.1% over the next 12 months. Although this projection indicates its newer products and services will fuel better top-line performance, it is still below the sector average.

6. Gross Margin & Pricing Power

Snap-on has best-in-class unit economics for an industrials company, enabling it to invest in areas such as research and development. Its margin also signals it sells differentiated products, not commodities. As you can see below, it averaged an elite 51.4% gross margin over the last five years. That means Snap-on only paid its suppliers $48.63 for every $100 in revenue. Snap-on Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin

Snap-on produced a 50.9% gross profit margin in Q3, marking a 2 percentage point decrease from 52.9% in the same quarter last year. On a wider time horizon, the company’s full-year margin has remained steady over the past four quarters, suggesting its input costs (such as raw materials and manufacturing expenses) have been stable and it isn’t under pressure to lower prices.

7. Operating Margin

Operating margin is a key measure of profitability. Think of it as net income - the bottom line - excluding the impact of taxes and interest on debt, which are less connected to business fundamentals.

Snap-on has been a well-oiled machine over the last five years. It demonstrated elite profitability for an industrials business, boasting an average operating margin of 25.5%. This result isn’t surprising as its high gross margin gives it a favorable starting point.

Looking at the trend in its profitability, Snap-on’s operating margin rose by 2.1 percentage points over the last five years, as its sales growth gave it operating leverage.

Snap-on Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

In Q3, Snap-on generated an operating margin profit margin of 29.2%, up 3.2 percentage points year on year. The increase was encouraging, and because its revenue and gross margin actually decreased, we can assume it was more efficient because it trimmed its operating expenses like marketing, R&D, and administrative overhead.

8. Earnings Per Share

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) for the same reason as long-term revenue growth. Compared to revenue, however, EPS highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

Snap-on’s EPS grew at a remarkable 12.3% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, higher than its 5.6% annualized revenue growth. This tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Snap-on Trailing 12-Month EPS (GAAP)

Diving into the nuances of Snap-on’s earnings can give us a better understanding of its performance. As we mentioned earlier, Snap-on’s operating margin expanded by 2.1 percentage points over the last five years. On top of that, its share count shrank by 3.4%. These are positive signs for shareholders because improving profitability and share buybacks turbocharge EPS growth relative to revenue growth. Snap-on Diluted Shares Outstanding

Like with revenue, we analyze EPS over a shorter period to see if we are missing a change in the business.

For Snap-on, its two-year annual EPS growth of 1.8% was lower than its five-year trend. We hope its growth can accelerate in the future.

In Q3, Snap-on reported EPS of $5.02, up from $4.70 in the same quarter last year. This print beat analysts’ estimates by 8.1%. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Snap-on’s full-year EPS of $19.08 to grow 4.1%.

9. Cash Is King

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

Snap-on has shown terrific cash profitability, putting it in an advantageous position to invest in new products, return capital to investors, and consolidate the market during industry downturns. The company’s free cash flow margin was among the best in the industrials sector, averaging 17.2% over the last five years.

Taking a step back, we can see that Snap-on’s margin dropped by 1.9 percentage points during that time. If its declines continue, it could signal increasing investment needs and capital intensity.

Snap-on Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

Snap-on’s free cash flow clocked in at $258 million in Q3, equivalent to a 21.7% margin. This result was good as its margin was 3 percentage points higher than in the same quarter last year, but we wouldn’t read too much into the short term because investment needs can be seasonal, leading to temporary swings. Long-term trends trump fluctuations.

10. Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

EPS and free cash flow tell us whether a company was profitable while growing its revenue. But was it capital-efficient? A company’s ROIC explains this by showing how much operating profit it makes compared to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Although Snap-on hasn’t been the highest-quality company lately, it found a few growth initiatives in the past that worked out wonderfully. Its five-year average ROIC was 24.6%, splendid for an industrials business.

Snap-on Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

We like to invest in businesses with high returns, but the trend in a company’s ROIC is what often surprises the market and moves the stock price. Unfortunately, Snap-on’s ROIC has decreased over the last few years. We like what management has done in the past, but its declining returns are perhaps a symptom of fewer profitable growth opportunities.

11. Balance Sheet Assessment

Companies with more cash than debt have lower bankruptcy risk.

Snap-on Net Cash Position

Snap-on is a profitable, well-capitalized company with $1.53 billion of cash and $1.27 billion of debt on its balance sheet. This $262 million net cash position gives it the freedom to borrow money, return capital to shareholders, or invest in growth initiatives. Leverage is not an issue here.

12. Key Takeaways from Snap-on’s Q3 Results

We enjoyed seeing Snap-on beat analysts’ organic revenue expectations this quarter. We were also glad its EPS outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its revenue missed. Zooming out, we think this was a mixed quarter. The stock remained flat at $332.59 immediately after reporting.

13. Is Now The Time To Buy Snap-on?

Updated: December 4, 2025 at 10:14 PM EST

We think that the latest earnings result is only one piece of the bigger puzzle. If you’re deciding whether to own Snap-on, you should also grasp the company’s longer-term business quality and valuation.

Snap-on isn’t a terrible business, but it isn’t one of our picks. First off, its revenue growth was mediocre over the last five years, and analysts expect its demand to deteriorate over the next 12 months. And while its admirable gross margins indicate the mission-critical nature of its offerings, the downside is its diminishing returns show management's prior bets haven't worked out. On top of that, its organic revenue declined.

Snap-on’s P/E ratio based on the next 12 months is 17.4x. This valuation is reasonable, but the company’s shakier fundamentals present too much downside risk. We're pretty confident there are superior stocks to buy right now.

Wall Street analysts have a consensus one-year price target of $361 on the company (compared to the current share price of $346.13).