Spectrum Brands (SPB)

Underperform
Spectrum Brands keeps us up at night. Its low returns on capital and plummeting sales suggest it struggles to generate demand and profits, a red flag. StockStory Analyst Team
Anthony Lee, Lead Equity Analyst
Kayode Omotosho, Equity Analyst

2. Summary

Underperform

Why We Think Spectrum Brands Will Underperform

A leader in multiple consumer product categories, Spectrum Brands (NYSE:SPB) is a diversified company with a portfolio of trusted brands spanning home appliances, garden care, personal care, and pet care.

  • Sales tumbled by 3.6% annually over the last three years, showing consumer trends are working against its favor
  • Core business is underperforming as its organic revenue has disappointed over the past two years, suggesting it might need acquisitions to stimulate growth
  • Below-average returns on capital indicate management struggled to find compelling investment opportunities
Spectrum Brands’s quality isn’t up to par. There are superior opportunities elsewhere.
StockStory Analyst Team

Why There Are Better Opportunities Than Spectrum Brands

Spectrum Brands is trading at $68.45 per share, or 15x forward P/E. Spectrum Brands’s multiple may seem like a great deal among consumer staples peers, but we think there are valid reasons why it’s this cheap.

Cheap stocks can look like great bargains at first glance, but you often get what you pay for. These mediocre businesses often have less earnings power, meaning there is more reliance on a re-rating to generate good returns - an unlikely scenario for low-quality companies.

3. Spectrum Brands (SPB) Research Report: Q4 CY2025 Update

Household products company Spectrum Brands (NYSE:SPB) reported Q4 CY2025 results beating Wall Street’s revenue expectations, but sales fell by 3.3% year on year to $677 million. Its non-GAAP profit of $1.40 per share was 84.7% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Spectrum Brands (SPB) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $677 million vs analyst estimates of $668.8 million (3.3% year-on-year decline, 1.2% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.40 vs analyst estimates of $0.76 (84.7% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $62.6 million vs analyst estimates of $61.43 million (9.2% margin, 1.9% beat)
  • Operating Margin: 4%, down from 6.4% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow was $59.3 million, up from -$78.3 million in the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue fell 6% year on year (miss)
  • Market Capitalization: $1.6 billion

Company Overview

A leader in multiple consumer product categories, Spectrum Brands (NYSE:SPB) is a diversified company with a portfolio of trusted brands spanning home appliances, garden care, personal care, and pet care.

The company’s history traces back to the early 20th century when it was originally founded as the "U.S. Electrical Manufacturing Company" in 1906, playing a key role in the development of the first electrically lit Christmas tree lights. In 1955, it changed its name to Rayovac Corporation and merged with Spectrum Brands in 2005 to form the company we know today.

Spectrum Brands’s portfolio was largely built up via acquisitions and now includes household names such as Black + Decker in home appliances, Spectracide in lawn and garden care, Nature's Miracle in pet care, and Remington in personal care. The company continues to be quite acquisitive and seeks to buy complementary brands, allowing it to enter new markets, benefit from synergies, and adapt to changing consumer preferences.

Spectrum Brands has a global footprint and its products are available in North America, Europe, Latin America, and other select markets, making it a significant player in the global consumer goods industry. It sells its products through various channels, including e-commerce and retail partnerships with companies like Best Buy and The Home Depot.

4. Household Products

Household products stocks are generally stable investments, as many of the industry's products are essential for a comfortable and functional living space. Recently, there's been a growing emphasis on eco-friendly and sustainable offerings, reflecting the evolving consumer preferences for environmentally conscious options. These trends can be double-edged swords that benefit companies who innovate quickly to take advantage of them and hurt companies that don't invest enough to meet consumers where they want to be with regards to trends.

Competitors include General Electric (NYSE:GE) in home appliances, Central Garden & Pet (NASDAQ:CENT) in pet care, Scotts Miracle-Gro (NYSE:SMG) in lawn and garden care, and Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG) in personal care.

5. Revenue Growth

Reviewing a company’s long-term sales performance reveals insights into its quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years.

With $2.79 billion in revenue over the past 12 months, Spectrum Brands carries some recognizable products but is a mid-sized consumer staples company. Its size could bring disadvantages compared to larger competitors benefiting from better brand awareness and economies of scale.

As you can see below, Spectrum Brands’s revenue declined by 3.4% per year over the last three years, a poor baseline for our analysis.

Spectrum Brands Quarterly Revenue

This quarter, Spectrum Brands’s revenue fell by 3.3% year on year to $677 million but beat Wall Street’s estimates by 1.2%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 1.8% over the next 12 months. While this projection suggests its newer products will catalyze better top-line performance, it is still below the sector average.

6. Organic Revenue Growth

When analyzing revenue growth, we care most about organic revenue growth. This metric captures a business’s performance excluding one-time events such as mergers, acquisitions, and divestitures as well as foreign currency fluctuations.

Spectrum Brands’s demand has been falling over the last eight quarters, and on average, its organic sales have declined by 2% year on year. Spectrum Brands Year-On-Year Organic Revenue Growth

In the latest quarter, Spectrum Brands’s organic sales fell by 6% year on year. This decrease represents a further deceleration from its historical levels. We hope the business can get back on track.

7. Gross Margin & Pricing Power

Spectrum Brands has good unit economics for a consumer staples company, giving it the opportunity to invest in areas such as marketing and talent to stay competitive. As you can see below, it averaged an impressive 37.1% gross margin over the last two years. That means for every $100 in revenue, $62.87 went towards paying for raw materials, production of goods, transportation, and distribution. Spectrum Brands Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin

Spectrum Brands produced a 35.7% gross profit margin in Q4, down 1.1 percentage points year on year. Spectrum Brands’s full-year margin has also been trending down over the past 12 months, decreasing by 1.3 percentage points. If this move continues, it could suggest a more competitive environment with some pressure to lower prices and higher input costs (such as raw materials and manufacturing expenses).

8. Operating Margin

Spectrum Brands was profitable over the last two years but held back by its large cost base. Its average operating margin of 5.2% was weak for a consumer staples business. This result is surprising given its high gross margin as a starting point.

Analyzing the trend in its profitability, Spectrum Brands’s operating margin decreased by 2.5 percentage points over the last year. Spectrum Brands’s performance was poor no matter how you look at it - it shows that costs were rising and it couldn’t pass them onto its customers.

Spectrum Brands Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

This quarter, Spectrum Brands generated an operating margin profit margin of 4%, down 2.4 percentage points year on year. Since Spectrum Brands’s operating margin decreased more than its gross margin, we can assume it was less efficient because expenses such as marketing, and administrative overhead increased.

9. Earnings Per Share

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) for the same reason as long-term revenue growth. Compared to revenue, however, EPS highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

Spectrum Brands’s EPS grew at an astounding 74.8% compounded annual growth rate over the last three years, higher than its 3.4% annualized revenue declines. This tells us management adapted its cost structure in response to a challenging demand environment.

Spectrum Brands Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

In Q4, Spectrum Brands reported adjusted EPS of $1.40, up from $1.02 in the same quarter last year. This print easily cleared analysts’ estimates, and shareholders should be content with the results. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Spectrum Brands’s full-year EPS of $5.93 to shrink by 23.8%.

10. Cash Is King

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

Spectrum Brands has shown decent cash profitability, giving it some flexibility to reinvest or return capital to investors. The company’s free cash flow margin averaged 6.2% over the last two years, slightly better than the broader consumer staples sector.

Taking a step back, we can see that Spectrum Brands’s margin expanded by 9.1 percentage points over the last year. This is encouraging, and we can see it became a less capital-intensive business because its free cash flow profitability rose while its operating profitability fell.

Spectrum Brands Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

Spectrum Brands’s free cash flow clocked in at $59.3 million in Q4, equivalent to a 8.8% margin. Its cash flow turned positive after being negative in the same quarter last year, building on its favorable historical trend.

11. Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

EPS and free cash flow tell us whether a company was profitable while growing its revenue. But was it capital-efficient? A company’s ROIC explains this by showing how much operating profit it makes compared to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Spectrum Brands historically did a mediocre job investing in profitable growth initiatives. Its five-year average ROIC was 0.9%, lower than the typical cost of capital (how much it costs to raise money) for consumer staples companies.

Spectrum Brands Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

12. Balance Sheet Assessment

Spectrum Brands reported $126.6 million of cash and $697.6 million of debt on its balance sheet in the most recent quarter. As investors in high-quality companies, we primarily focus on two things: 1) that a company’s debt level isn’t too high and 2) that its interest payments are not excessively burdening the business.

Spectrum Brands Net Debt Position

With $273.9 million of EBITDA over the last 12 months, we view Spectrum Brands’s 2.1× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio as safe. We also see its $16 million of annual interest expenses as appropriate. The company’s profits give it plenty of breathing room, allowing it to continue investing in growth initiatives.

13. Key Takeaways from Spectrum Brands’s Q4 Results

It was good to see Spectrum Brands beat analysts’ EPS expectations this quarter. We were also happy its EBITDA outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its gross margin missed. Overall, we think this was a decent quarter with some key metrics above expectations. The stock remained flat at $68.45 immediately after reporting.

14. Is Now The Time To Buy Spectrum Brands?

Updated: February 5, 2026 at 6:43 AM EST

Before making an investment decision, investors should account for Spectrum Brands’s business fundamentals and valuation in addition to what happened in the latest quarter.

We cheer for all companies serving everyday consumers, but in the case of Spectrum Brands, we’ll be cheering from the sidelines. To kick things off, its revenue has declined over the last three years. And while its EPS growth over the last three years has been fantastic, the downside is its projected EPS for the next year is lacking. On top of that, its relatively low ROIC suggests management has struggled to find compelling investment opportunities.

Spectrum Brands’s P/E ratio based on the next 12 months is 15.2x. This valuation tells us it’s a bit of a market darling with a lot of good news priced in - we think there are better stocks to buy right now.

Wall Street analysts have a consensus one-year price target of $77.71 on the company (compared to the current share price of $68.45).