H&R Block (HRB)

Underperform
H&R Block is up against the odds. Its underwhelming revenue growth and failure to generate meaningful free cash flow is a concerning trend. StockStory Analyst Team
Adam Hejl, CEO & Founder
Kayode Omotosho, Equity Analyst

2. Summary

Underperform

Why We Think H&R Block Will Underperform

Founded in 1955 by brothers Henry W. Bloch and Richard A. Bloch, H&R Block (NYSE:HRB) is a tax preparation company offering professional tax assistance and financial solutions to individuals and small businesses.

  • 5.3% annual revenue growth over the last five years was slower than its consumer discretionary peers
  • Low free cash flow margin gives it little breathing room, constraining its ability to self-fund growth or return capital to shareholders
  • Demand will likely be soft over the next 12 months as Wall Street’s estimates imply tepid growth of 3.2%
H&R Block’s quality doesn’t meet our expectations. There are more rewarding stocks elsewhere.
StockStory Analyst Team

Why There Are Better Opportunities Than H&R Block

H&R Block’s stock price of $42.76 implies a valuation ratio of 8.6x forward P/E. This is a cheap valuation multiple, but for good reason. You get what you pay for.

We’d rather pay up for companies with elite fundamentals than get a bargain on weak ones. Cheap stocks can be value traps, and as their performance deteriorates, they will stay cheap or get even cheaper.

3. H&R Block (HRB) Research Report: Q3 CY2025 Update

Tax preparation company H&R Block (NYSE:HRB) reported Q3 CY2025 results beating Wall Street’s revenue expectations, with sales up 5% year on year to $203.6 million. The company expects the full year’s revenue to be around $3.89 billion, close to analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP loss of $1.20 per share was 11.3% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

H&R Block (HRB) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $203.6 million vs analyst estimates of $200.6 million (5% year-on-year growth, 1.5% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: -$1.20 vs analyst estimates of -$1.35 (11.3% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: -$170 million vs analyst estimates of -$202.8 million (-83.5% margin, 16.2% beat)
  • The company reconfirmed its revenue guidance for the full year of $3.89 billion at the midpoint
  • Management reiterated its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance of $4.93 at the midpoint
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $1.03 billion at the midpoint, in line with analyst expectations
  • Operating Margin: -106%, up from -118% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow was -$370 million compared to -$347.3 million in the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $6.47 billion

Company Overview

Founded in 1955 by brothers Henry W. Bloch and Richard A. Bloch, H&R Block (NYSE:HRB) is a tax preparation company offering professional tax assistance and financial solutions to individuals and small businesses.

The company primarily operates in the United States, Canada, and Australia and has a strong physical presence with approximately 12,000 advisory offices. These physical locations are complemented by robust digital solutions, including a mobile app and Tax Pro Go for clients who want their taxes prepared remotely by a tax professional. This combination allows H&R Block to cater to a diverse client base with varying preferences for in-person or online services.

A key aspect of H&R Block's services is its focus on individual tax returns, offering assistance with federal, state, and local taxes. The company employs thousands of tax professionals on a seasonal basis who are skilled in identifying potential tax credits and deductions, ensuring clients receive the maximum refund. It also assists customers with refund anticipation loans, audit support, and tax planning assistance with issues like IRS notices and audits for an extra cost.

In addition to its tax offerings, H&R Block provides a range of related services including small business software through Wave Financial, debit cards through Emerald Card, and all-in-one mobile banking solutions through Spruce.

4. Specialized Consumer Services

Some consumer discretionary companies don’t fall neatly into a category because their products or services are unique. Although their offerings may be niche, these companies have often found more efficient or technology-enabled ways of doing or selling something that has existed for a while. Technology can be a double-edged sword, though, as it may lower the barriers to entry for new competitors and allow them to do serve customers better.

H&R Block's primary competitors include Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Liberty Tax (owned by NextPoint Financial, TSX:NPF.U), TaxAct (owned by Blucora, NASDAQ:BCOR), and private company Jackson Hewitt.

5. Revenue Growth

Examining a company’s long-term performance can provide clues about its quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years. Regrettably, H&R Block’s sales grew at a sluggish 5.3% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. This fell short of our benchmark for the consumer discretionary sector and is a tough starting point for our analysis. We note H&R Block is a seasonal business because it generates most of its revenue during tax season, so the charts in our report will look a bit lumpy.

H&R Block Quarterly Revenue

Long-term growth is the most important, but within consumer discretionary, product cycles are short and revenue can be hit-driven due to rapidly changing trends and consumer preferences. H&R Block’s recent performance shows its demand has slowed as its annualized revenue growth of 4.2% over the last two years was below its five-year trend. H&R Block Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

We can better understand the company’s revenue dynamics by analyzing its three most important segments: Tax Preparation, Financial Services, and Wave Financial, which are 49.2%, 32.3%, and 14.7% of revenue. Over the last two years, H&R Block’s revenues in all three segments increased. Its Tax Preparation revenue (DIY, assisted, add-on services) averaged year-on-year growth of 4.5% while its Financial Services (Emerald Card, Spruce, interest income) and Wave Financial (business software) revenues averaged 74.9% and 10.9%. H&R Block Quarterly Revenue by Segment

This quarter, H&R Block reported year-on-year revenue growth of 5%, and its $203.6 million of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 1.5%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 3.2% over the next 12 months, similar to its two-year rate. This projection doesn't excite us and implies its newer products and services will not lead to better top-line performance yet.

6. Operating Margin

Operating margin is an important measure of profitability as it shows the portion of revenue left after accounting for all core expenses – everything from the cost of goods sold to advertising and wages. It’s also useful for comparing profitability across companies with different levels of debt and tax rates because it excludes interest and taxes.

H&R Block’s operating margin might fluctuated slightly over the last 12 months but has generally stayed the same, averaging 22% over the last two years. This profitability was top-notch for a consumer discretionary business, showing it’s an well-run company with an efficient cost structure.

H&R Block Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

In Q3, H&R Block generated an operating margin profit margin of negative 106%, up 11.5 percentage points year on year. Because H&R Block is a seasonal business, we prefer to analyze longer-term performance rather than one quarter.

7. Earnings Per Share

Revenue trends explain a company’s historical growth, but the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) points to the profitability of that growth – for example, a company could inflate its sales through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

H&R Block’s EPS grew at a remarkable 20.2% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, higher than its 5.3% annualized revenue growth. However, this alone doesn’t tell us much about its business quality because its operating margin didn’t improve.

H&R Block Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

In Q3, H&R Block reported adjusted EPS of negative $1.20, down from negative $1.17 in the same quarter last year. Despite falling year on year, this print easily cleared analysts’ estimates. We also like to analyze expected EPS growth based on Wall Street analysts’ consensus projections, but there is insufficient data.

8. Cash Is King

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

H&R Block has shown robust cash profitability, giving it an edge over its competitors and the ability to reinvest or return capital to investors. The company’s free cash flow margin averaged 16.7% over the last two years, quite impressive for a consumer discretionary business.

H&R Block Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

9. Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

EPS and free cash flow tell us whether a company was profitable while growing its revenue. But was it capital-efficient? Enter ROIC, a metric showing how much operating profit a company generates relative to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Although H&R Block hasn’t been the highest-quality company lately because of its poor top-line performance, it found a few growth initiatives in the past that worked out wonderfully. Its five-year average ROIC was 56.3%, splendid for a consumer discretionary business.

H&R Block Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

We like to invest in businesses with high returns, but the trend in a company’s ROIC is what often surprises the market and moves the stock price. On average, H&R Block’s ROIC increased by 1.6 percentage points annually over the last few years. This is a good sign, and if its returns keep rising, there’s a chance it could evolve into an investable business.

10. Balance Sheet Assessment

H&R Block reported $397.4 million of cash and $1.94 billion of debt on its balance sheet in the most recent quarter. As investors in high-quality companies, we primarily focus on two things: 1) that a company’s debt level isn’t too high and 2) that its interest payments are not excessively burdening the business.

H&R Block Net Debt Position

With $993.9 million of EBITDA over the last 12 months, we view H&R Block’s 1.6× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio as safe. We also see its $44.86 million of annual interest expenses as appropriate. The company’s profits give it plenty of breathing room, allowing it to continue investing in growth initiatives.

11. Key Takeaways from H&R Block’s Q3 Results

We were impressed by how significantly H&R Block blew past analysts’ EPS and EBITDA expectations this quarter, as its Financial Services revenue drove the outperformance. Overall, this print had some key positives. The stock remained flat at $51.45 immediately after reporting.

12. Is Now The Time To Buy H&R Block?

Updated: December 4, 2025 at 9:07 PM EST

We think that the latest earnings result is only one piece of the bigger puzzle. If you’re deciding whether to own H&R Block, you should also grasp the company’s longer-term business quality and valuation.

H&R Block falls short of our quality standards. To begin with, its revenue growth was weak over the last five years, and analysts expect its demand to deteriorate over the next 12 months. And while its market-beating ROIC suggests it has been a well-managed company historically, the downside is its projected EPS for the next year is lacking. On top of that, its low free cash flow margins give it little breathing room.

H&R Block’s P/E ratio based on the next 12 months is 8.7x. While this valuation is optically cheap, the potential downside is huge given its shaky fundamentals. There are better investments elsewhere.

Wall Street analysts have a consensus one-year price target of $55 on the company (compared to the current share price of $42.03).

Although the price target is bullish, readers should exercise caution because analysts tend to be overly optimistic. The firms they work for, often big banks, have relationships with companies that extend into fundraising, M&A advisory, and other rewarding business lines. As a result, they typically hesitate to say bad things for fear they will lose out. We at StockStory do not suffer from such conflicts of interest, so we’ll always tell it like it is.