WEX (WEX)

Underperform
WEX doesn’t excite us. It’s recently struggled to grow its revenue, a worrying sign for investors seeking high-quality stocks. StockStory Analyst Team
Anthony Lee, Lead Equity Analyst
Kayode Omotosho, Equity Analyst

2. Summary

Underperform

Why We Think WEX Will Underperform

Originally founded in 1983 as Wright Express to serve the fleet card market, WEX (NYSE:WEX) provides payment processing and business solutions across fleet management, employee benefits, and corporate payments sectors.

  • The good news is that its incremental sales over the last five years have been more profitable as its earnings per share increased by 16.7% annually, topping its revenue gains
WEX is in the doghouse. We see more attractive opportunities in the market.
StockStory Analyst Team

Why There Are Better Opportunities Than WEX

At $144.27 per share, WEX trades at 8.9x forward P/E. WEX’s valuation may seem like a bargain, but we think there are valid reasons why it’s so cheap.

Cheap stocks can look like great bargains at first glance, but you often get what you pay for. These mediocre businesses often have less earnings power, meaning there is more reliance on a re-rating to generate good returns - an unlikely scenario for low-quality companies.

3. WEX (WEX) Research Report: Q4 CY2025 Update

Payment solutions provider WEX (NYSE:WEX) reported Q4 CY2025 results exceeding the market’s revenue expectations, with sales up 5.7% year on year to $672.9 million. On the other hand, the company’s full-year revenue guidance of $2.73 billion at the midpoint came in 1% below analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $4.11 per share was 4.7% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

WEX (WEX) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $672.9 million vs analyst estimates of $664.9 million (5.7% year-on-year growth, 1.2% beat)
  • Pre-tax Profit: $110 million (16.3% margin)
  • Adjusted EPS: $4.11 vs analyst estimates of $3.93 (4.7% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $17.55 at the midpoint, in line with analyst estimates
  • Market Capitalization: $4.95 billion

Company Overview

Originally founded in 1983 as Wright Express to serve the fleet card market, WEX (NYSE:WEX) provides payment processing and business solutions across fleet management, employee benefits, and corporate payments sectors.

WEX operates through three distinct business segments that leverage its payment technology expertise. In its Mobility segment, WEX manages over 19 million vehicles worldwide through its proprietary closed-loop payment network, capturing detailed transaction data that helps fleet managers control spending and prevent fraud. The company's payment cards enable purchases at fuel stations and maintenance providers while delivering analytics that optimize fleet operations.

The Benefits segment simplifies the administration of employee health plans through SaaS platforms with embedded payment capabilities. WEX's technology manages various account types including Health Savings Accounts (HSAs), Flexible Spending Accounts (FSAs), and COBRA administration. As an IRS-designated non-bank custodian, WEX earns revenue from monthly subscription fees, interest on HSA deposits, and interchange fees when participants use their benefit cards.

In the Corporate Payments segment, WEX focuses on complex B2B transactions through two main offerings: Embedded Payments and Accounts Payable Automation. The company's virtual card technology assigns unique card numbers with customized spending limits and controls for each transaction. This technology is particularly valuable in industries like travel, insurance, and media payments where reconciliation, fraud protection, and global currency capabilities are essential.

WEX Bank, a wholly-owned subsidiary, provides funding for many of the company's operations and gives WEX a competitive advantage through access to low-cost capital. The bank enables WEX to design funding solutions that complement its technology offerings while maintaining regulatory compliance across multiple jurisdictions worldwide.

4. Diversified Financial Services

Diversified financial services encompass specialized offerings outside traditional categories. These firms benefit from identifying niche market opportunities, developing tailored financial products, and often facing less direct competition. Challenges include scale limitations, regulatory classification uncertainties, and the need to continuously innovate to maintain market differentiation against larger competitors expanding their offerings.

In the Mobility segment, WEX competes with Fleetcor (NYSE:FLT), U.S. Bank Voyager, and international players like Radius Payment Solutions and Edenred. The Benefits segment faces competition from HealthEquity (NASDAQ:HQY), Alegeus Technologies, and Alight Technologies (NYSE:ALIT). In Corporate Payments, WEX competes with specialized fintech firms like Global Payments (NYSE:GPN), Marqeta (NASDAQ:MQ), and Stripe.

5. Revenue Growth

A company’s long-term sales performance is one signal of its overall quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years. Thankfully, WEX’s 11.3% annualized revenue growth over the last five years was solid. Its growth beat the average financials company and shows its offerings resonate with customers.

WEX Quarterly Revenue

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within financials, a half-decade historical view may miss recent interest rate changes, market returns, and industry trends. WEX’s recent performance shows its demand has slowed as its annualized revenue growth of 2.2% over the last two years was below its five-year trend. WEX Year-On-Year Revenue GrowthNote: Quarters not shown were determined to be outliers, impacted by outsized investment gains/losses that are not indicative of the recurring fundamentals of the business.

This quarter, WEX reported year-on-year revenue growth of 5.7%, and its $672.9 million of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 1.2%.

6. Pre-Tax Profit Margin

Revenue growth is one major determinant of business quality, and the efficiency of operations is another. For Diversified Financial Services companies, we look at pre-tax profit rather than the operating margin that defines sectors such as consumer, tech, and industrials.

This is because for financials businesses, interest income and expense should be factored into the definition of profit but taxes - which are largely out of a company's control - should not.

Over the last five years, WEX’s pre-tax profit margin has fallen by 35.1 percentage points, going from 11% to 15.8%. It has also expanded by 1.3 percentage points on a two-year basis, showing its expenses have consistently grown at a slower rate than revenue. This typically signals prudent management.

WEX Trailing 12-Month Pre-Tax Profit Margin

WEX’s pre-tax profit margin came in at 16.3% this quarter. This result was 3.7 percentage points better than the same quarter last year.

7. Earnings Per Share

Revenue trends explain a company’s historical growth, but the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) points to the profitability of that growth – for example, a company could inflate its sales through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

WEX’s EPS grew at a spectacular 21.7% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, higher than its 11.3% annualized revenue growth. This tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

WEX Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

Like with revenue, we analyze EPS over a more recent period because it can provide insight into an emerging theme or development for the business.

For WEX, its two-year annual EPS growth of 4.5% was lower than its five-year trend. We hope its growth can accelerate in the future.

In Q4, WEX reported adjusted EPS of $4.11, up from $3.57 in the same quarter last year. This print beat analysts’ estimates by 4.7%. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects WEX’s full-year EPS of $16.16 to grow 8.9%.

8. Return on Equity

Return on equity (ROE) reveals the profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity, which represents a key source of bank funding. Banks maintaining elevated ROE levels tend to accelerate wealth creation for shareholders via earnings retention, buybacks, and distributions.

Over the last five years, WEX has averaged an ROE of 14.9%, healthy for a company operating in a sector where the average shakes out around 10% and those putting up 25%+ are greatly admired. This is a bright spot for WEX.

9. Balance Sheet Risk

The debt-to-equity ratio is a widely used measure to assess a company's balance sheet health. A higher ratio means that a business aggressively financed its growth with debt. This can result in higher earnings (if the borrowed funds are invested profitably) but also increases risk.

If debt levels are too high, there could be difficulties in meeting obligations, especially during economic downturns or periods of rising interest rates if the debt has variable-rate payments.

WEX Quarterly Debt-to-Equity Ratio

WEX currently has $4.86 billion of debt and $1.23 billion of shareholder's equity on its balance sheet, and over the past four quarters, has averaged a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.2×. We think this is dangerous - for a financials business, anything above 3.5× raises red flags.

10. Key Takeaways from WEX’s Q4 Results

It was good to see WEX beat analysts’ EPS expectations this quarter. We were also happy its revenue narrowly outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its full-year revenue guidance slightly missed. Zooming out, we think this was a mixed quarter. The stock remained flat at $148.26 immediately after reporting.

11. Is Now The Time To Buy WEX?

Updated: February 4, 2026 at 4:52 PM EST

The latest quarterly earnings matters, sure, but we actually think longer-term fundamentals and valuation matter more. Investors should consider all these pieces before deciding whether or not to invest in WEX.

WEX isn’t a terrible business, but it isn’t one of our picks. Although its revenue growth was solid over the last five years, it’s expected to deteriorate over the next 12 months and its solid ROE suggests it has grown profitably in the past

WEX’s P/E ratio based on the next 12 months is 8.5x. This valuation multiple is fair, but we don’t have much faith in the company. We're pretty confident there are more exciting stocks to buy at the moment.

Wall Street analysts have a consensus one-year price target of $173.60 on the company (compared to the current share price of $148.26).

Although the price target is bullish, readers should exercise caution because analysts tend to be overly optimistic. The firms they work for, often big banks, have relationships with companies that extend into fundraising, M&A advisory, and other rewarding business lines. As a result, they typically hesitate to say bad things for fear they will lose out. We at StockStory do not suffer from such conflicts of interest, so we’ll always tell it like it is.